Game Recap: LAK 5, SEA 3, April 13, 2026

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Game Recap

LAK5

FinalMon, Apr 13, 2026Every game that night

SEA3

LAK beat SEA 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.59 expected goals to 2.48. Q. Byfield led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). Q. Byfield had 8 shots on goal against our projection of 2.0. A. Forsberg stopped 30 of 33.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
LAK	2	1	2	5
SEA	0	0	3	3

1st 2:43LAKQ. Byfield0.13 xG
1st 13:19LAKQ. Byfield0.22 xG
2nd 7:13LAKT. Moore0.10 xG
3rd 1:53SEAA. Larsson0.02 xG
3rd 8:08SEAF. Gaudreau0.06 xG
3rd 12:29LAKA. Kempe0.11 xG
3rd 17:33SEAB. McMann0.19 xG
3rd 19:58LAKA. LaferriereEN0.50 xG

Team Stats

LAKSEA

30Shots on goal33

4.59Expected goals2.48

65Shot attempts72

265v5 shots on goal30

1/2Power play0/0

16Hits20

18Blocked shots11

7Penalty minutes11

18Giveaways11

2Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

LAK 4.59 xGSEA 2.48 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

LAK30 on goal, 5 scored

SEA33 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Laferriere	RW	1	1	2	5	1	0	+3	0	21:10	2:15
Q. Byfield	RW	2	0	2	8	1	0	+3	0	20:17	1:49
T. Moore	LW	1	1	2	1	0	1	+3	0	18:31	0:14
A. Kopitar	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	19:05	2:51
A. Kempe	RW	1	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	17:18	2:51
A. Panarin	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	16:27	1:46
S. Laughton	C	0	0	0	2	2	1	-2	0	16:19	0:44
J. Armia	RW	0	0	0	0	2	1	-1	0	13:44	0:00
J. Wright	RW	0	0	0	3	2	1	-2	0	13:00	0:00
M. Joseph	RW	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	8:30	0:00
T. Ward	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	8:20	0:00
S. Helenius	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7	6:44	0:00
J. Edmundson	D	0	1	1	0	0	3	-1	0	16:39	0:45
D. Doughty	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2	0	22:31	1:37
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	+2	0	22:17	1:04
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	19:45	0:13
B. Clarke	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	18:58	1:46
B. Dumoulin	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	18:25	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Forsberg	33	30	3	.909	60:00	Win
D. Kuemper	0	0	0	–	0:00

SEA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Beniers	C	0	2	2	0	0	1	-1	0	18:06	0:00
F. Gaudreau	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	18:17	0:00
B. McMann	C	1	0	1	4	4	0	-2	0	17:54	0:00
J. Schwartz	LW	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	16:49	0:00
C. Stephenson	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	16:29	0:00
K. Kakko	RW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	14:07	0:00
J. Eberle	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-2	0	17:03	0:00
R. Winterton	C	0	0	0	2	3	1	+1	0	15:07	0:00
E. Tolvanen	RW	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	2	14:44	0:00
B. Catton	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	11:20	0:00
O. Fisker Molgaard	C	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	9:26	0:00
J. Melanson	RW	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	7	7:41	0:00
A. Larsson	D	1	0	1	1	0	1	+2	0	19:16	0:00
B. Montour	D	0	0	0	5	0	0	-2	0	23:58	0:00
R. Evans	D	0	0	0	2	2	2	-1	0	22:37	0:00
J. Oleksiak	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	19:24	0:00
R. Lindgren	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-3	0	18:42	0:00
V. Dunn	D	0	0	0	5	0	2	+3	2	15:44	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
N. Kokko	29	25	4	.862	57:41	Loss
V. Ostman	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

LAK

Line 1T. Moore17:07A. Laferriere17:22Q. Byfield16:56

Line 2A. Kopitar15:46A. Panarin13:58A. Kempe13:44

Line 3J. Armia13:03S. Laughton14:54J. Wright12:19

Line 4M. Joseph8:30T. Ward8:20S. Helenius6:44

Pair 1D. Doughty19:18M. Anderson19:39

Pair 2B. Dumoulin17:57C. Ceci18:26

Pair 3J. Edmundson14:34B. Clarke16:28

SEA

Line 1J. Schwartz15:53E. Tolvanen14:44C. Stephenson12:23

Line 2F. Gaudreau16:18K. Kakko14:07R. Winterton12:41

Line 3B. McMann15:06M. Beniers14:57J. Eberle14:19

Line 4O. Molgaard9:26J. Melanson7:41B. Catton11:20

Pair 1J. Oleksiak19:08R. Evans19:58

Pair 2R. Lindgren17:02B. Montour19:41

Pair 3A. Larsson16:44V. Dunn13:37

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	LAK 3.1, SEA 2.9	LAK 5, SEA 3
Total goals	6.0	8
Shots on goal	LAK 28.2, SEA 26.0	LAK 30, SEA 33
Win chance	LAK 52%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK A. Panarin	2.7	0	1.14	0	33%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.7	5	0.62	2	24%	1
SEA B. McMann	2.6	4	0.62	1	28%	1
LAK A. Kempe	2.5	5	0.91	1	33%	1
LAK T. Moore	2.4	1	0.55	2	22%	1
SEA B. Montour	2.3	5	0.46	0	14%	0
SEA J. Eberle	2.0	2	0.71	0	24%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	2.0	8	0.59	2	22%	2
SEA M. Beniers	1.9	0	0.62	2	23%	0
LAK B. Clarke	1.9	1	0.49	0	8%	0
SEA V. Dunn	1.8	5	0.53	0	11%	0
SEA J. Schwartz	1.6	2	0.48	1	20%	0
SEA R. Winterton	1.5	2	0.29	0	8%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.5	2	0.73	1	23%	0
SEA E. Tolvanen	1.5	3	0.36	0	16%	0
LAK D. Doughty	1.4	0	0.45	0	10%	0
LAK S. Laughton	1.4	2	0.36	0	15%	0
SEA B. Catton	1.3	0	0.30	0	12%	0
SEA A. Larsson	1.2	1	0.28	1	6%	1
LAK J. Wright	1.2	3	0.20	0	8%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.2	0	0.31	0	14%	0
SEA K. Kakko	1.2	0	0.51	1	16%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.1	0	0.22	1	3%	0
SEA F. Gaudreau	1.1	2	0.33	1	14%	1
SEA C. Stephenson	1.1	1	0.63	1	18%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.9	0	0.27	0	5%	0
LAK T. Ward	0.9	1	0.18	0	9%	0
SEA J. Oleksiak	0.8	1	0.17	0	4%	0
SEA J. Melanson	0.7	2	0.14	0	7%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.7	1	0.16	0	3%	0
SEA R. Evans	0.7	2	0.26	0	7%	0
LAK M. Joseph	0.7	0	0.21	0	7%	0
SEA O. Molgaard	0.6	0	0.20	0	8%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.6	0	0.19	0	3%	0
SEA R. Lindgren	0.6	1	0.18	0	3%	0
LAK S. Helenius	0.6	1	0.16	0	8%	0

Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.