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Game Recap
LAK2
SJS7
SJS beat LAK 7-2 despite fewer good chances: 1.84 expected goals to 2.73. M. Celebrini led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). Y. Askarov stopped 22 of 24.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| SJS | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
- 1st 1:47SJSN. Sturm0.17 xG
- 2nd 2:32LAKB. Clarke0.12 xG
- 2nd 8:58LAKA. Kopitar0.39 xG
- 2nd 13:59SJSF. Zetterlund0.06 xG
- 3rd 1:03SJSM. Celebrini0.02 xG
- 3rd 2:14SJST. Liljegren0.05 xG
- 3rd 3:43SJSM. CelebriniPP0.12 xG
- 3rd 10:46SJSA. WennbergPP0.08 xG
- 3rd 18:39SJSL. Kunin0.13 xG
Team Stats
LAKSJS
24Shots on goal21
2.73Expected goals1.84
55Shot attempts37
225v5 shots on goal18
0/2Power play2/6
18Hits20
6Blocked shots16
10Penalty minutes4
20Giveaways15
4Takeaways6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
LAK 2.73 xGSJS 1.84 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kopitar | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:38 | 2:33 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:03 | 2:45 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:18 | 0:00 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 17:10 | 1:27 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 17:05 | 1:25 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 6 | 16:43 | 2:53 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:53 | 2:35 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:03 | 0:59 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:53 | 2:43 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 | 0:08 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 | 0:00 |
| A. Thomas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 10:32 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:31 | 1:15 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | 27:19 | 0:00 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 26:45 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 | 0:00 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:32 | 1:17 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 11:32 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rittich | 21 | 14 | 7 | .667 | 60:00 | Loss |
| E. Portillo | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SJS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Celebrini | C | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:08 | 5:15 |
| W. Eklund | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 20:12 | 4:57 |
| W. Smith | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:49 | 3:24 |
| A. Wennberg | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:28 | 4:51 |
| L. Kunin | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:19 | 3:12 |
| F. Zetterlund | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 17:06 | 2:06 |
| N. Sturm | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:54 | 0:17 |
| T. Toffoli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:34 | 4:59 |
| B. Goodrow | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:24 | 3:12 |
| C. Grundstrom | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 11:03 | 0:15 |
| T. Dellandrea | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 10:51 | 0:17 |
| G. Smith | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:42 | 0:00 |
| J. Walman | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:18 | 5:02 |
| M. Ferraro | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:44 | 0:11 |
| J. Rutta | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 17:58 | 0:00 |
| T. Liljegren | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:40 | 3:00 |
| H. Thrun | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:01 | 0:00 |
| C. Ceci | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:49 | 1:02 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Askarov | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 60:00 | Win |
| M. Blackwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAK 3.4, SJS 2.4 | LAK 2, SJS 7 |
| Total goals | 5.9 | 9 |
| Shots on goal | LAK 32.1, SJS 24.9 | LAK 24, SJS 21 |
| Win chance | LAK 65% | SJS won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.2 | 4 | 1.02 | 2 | 38% | 0 |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 2.8 | 1 | 0.70 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 2.7 | 4 | 0.58 | 3 | 23% | 2 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.7 | 0 | 0.92 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.6 | 0 | 0.65 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 2.5 | 3 | 0.60 | 1 | 9% | 1 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.4 | 4 | 0.55 | 1 | 23% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.2 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| SJS F. Zetterlund | 2.1 | 4 | 0.53 | 1 | 22% | 1 |
| SJS J. Walman | 2.0 | 1 | 0.39 | 1 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 1.9 | 1 | 0.65 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.8 | 2 | 0.61 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.6 | 1 | 0.96 | 2 | 27% | 1 |
| SJS W. Eklund | 1.6 | 0 | 0.62 | 2 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.5 | 1 | 0.40 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.4 | 1 | 0.36 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK A. Thomas | 1.4 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 1.4 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| SJS W. Smith | 1.3 | 0 | 0.29 | 2 | 14% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.2 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| SJS C. Grundstrom | 1.2 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 1.1 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| SJS A. Wennberg | 1.1 | 1 | 0.41 | 1 | 15% | 1 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 1.1 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| SJS T. Liljegren | 1.1 | 3 | 0.31 | 1 | 6% | 1 |
| SJS C. Ceci | 1.1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS M. Ferraro | 1.0 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| SJS L. Kunin | 1.0 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 13% | 1 |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 1.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 0.9 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| SJS J. Rutta | 0.8 | 0 | 0.17 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| SJS N. Sturm | 0.7 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 8% | 1 |
| SJS G. Smith | 0.7 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS H. Thrun | 0.7 | 0 | 0.22 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.5 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.