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Game Recap
LAK3
SJS4
SJS beat LAK 4-3 in a shootout despite fewer good chances: 2.77 expected goals to 3.73. LAK outshot SJS 34 to 24. A. Kopitar led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). J. Armia had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.2. Y. Askarov stopped 31 of 34.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | SO | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| SJS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
- 1st 2:33SJSA. Gaudette0.06 xG
- 1st 16:04LAKJ. ArmiaSH0.17 xG
- 1st 19:50SJST. Dellandrea0.12 xG
- 2nd 1:47LAKA. Kopitar0.16 xG
- 2nd 17:04SJSP. Kurashev0.14 xG
- 3rd 19:01LAKA. Kempe0.04 xG
Team Stats
LAKSJS
34Shots on goal24
3.73Expected goals2.77
80Shot attempts45
185v5 shots on goal19
0/4Power play0/3
12Hits26
10Blocked shots24
8Penalty minutes10
15Giveaways15
6Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
LAK 3.73 xGSJS 2.77 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kopitar | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:31 | 5:09 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 24:36 | 5:34 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:47 | 6:01 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:40 | 1:44 |
| J. Armia | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 11:05 | 0:00 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:59 | 2:54 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 | 2:04 |
| A. Kuzmenko | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:47 | 5:38 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 | 2:00 |
| C. Perry | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:20 | 6:00 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:00 | 0:00 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 6:53 | 0:03 |
| C. Ceci | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 15:36 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:56 | 2:31 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 19:56 | 0:15 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 19:32 | 0:00 |
| B. Dumoulin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:50 | 0:00 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:16 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Forsberg | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 63:24 | OT loss |
| P. Copley | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SJS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Graf | RW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 | 0:00 |
| T. Dellandrea | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:37 | 0:00 |
| M. Celebrini | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 | 3:47 |
| W. Smith | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:44 | 3:47 |
| P. Kurashev | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:16 | 2:12 |
| A. Gaudette | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:34 | 2:08 |
| A. Wennberg | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 4 | 22:27 | 3:49 |
| W. Eklund | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 20:45 | 3:46 |
| B. Goodrow | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:15 | 0:02 |
| T. Toffoli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 | 2:16 |
| R. Reaves | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:45 | 0:04 |
| Z. Ostapchuk | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:16 | 0:03 |
| D. Orlov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 0 | 23:07 | 2:01 |
| T. Liljegren | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:15 | 2:09 |
| M. Ferraro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 21:34 | 0:00 |
| J. Klingberg | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:52 | 3:51 |
| V. Desharnais | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:49 | 0:05 |
| S. Dickinson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Askarov | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 64:42 | Win |
| A. Nedeljkovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
LAK
Line 1K. Fiala13:03A. Kempe14:18Q. Byfield11:05
Line 2A. Laferriere11:52P. Danault13:17W. Foegele11:39
Line 3A. Kopitar10:43A. Kuzmenko10:09T. Moore9:10
Line 4J. Armia9:33A. Turcotte6:48C. Perry6:58
Pair 1J. Edmundson15:27B. Clarke16:08
Pair 2B. Dumoulin14:11M. Anderson14:03
Pair 3C. Ceci13:15J. Moverare10:16
SJS
Line 1A. Wennberg12:22W. Eklund14:13T. Toffoli11:12
Line 2M. Celebrini12:44W. Smith10:57P. Kurashev10:53
Line 3R. Reaves9:41B. Goodrow10:53Z. Ostapchuk9:06
Line 4T. Dellandrea9:34C. Graf8:13A. Gaudette7:08
Pair 1D. Orlov15:45T. Liljegren15:02
Pair 2J. Klingberg14:16M. Ferraro14:49
Pair 3S. Dickinson12:44V. Desharnais12:23
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAK 3.5, SJS 2.5 | LAK 3, SJS 4 |
| Total goals | 6.0 | 7 |
| Shots on goal | LAK 30.5, SJS 24.8 | LAK 34, SJS 24 |
| Win chance | LAK 64% | SJS won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK K. Fiala | 3.3 | 6 | 0.95 | 1 | 35% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.1 | 5 | 1.03 | 1 | 37% | 1 |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 2.8 | 3 | 0.93 | 1 | 29% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.4 | 2 | 0.85 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.4 | 1 | 0.56 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 2.3 | 1 | 0.59 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.2 | 2 | 0.55 | 1 | 23% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.0 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| SJS W. Eklund | 2.0 | 1 | 0.68 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 2.0 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| SJS W. Smith | 1.9 | 1 | 0.74 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| LAK C. Perry | 1.9 | 2 | 0.61 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.5 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SJS J. Klingberg | 1.5 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| SJS D. Orlov | 1.5 | 0 | 0.40 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| SJS P. Kurashev | 1.4 | 3 | 0.46 | 1 | 16% | 1 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.4 | 2 | 0.85 | 2 | 25% | 1 |
| SJS A. Gaudette | 1.3 | 4 | 0.36 | 1 | 19% | 1 |
| LAK A. Kuzmenko | 1.3 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| LAK J. Armia | 1.2 | 4 | 0.37 | 1 | 16% | 1 |
| SJS A. Wennberg | 1.1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| SJS T. Liljegren | 1.1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 1.1 | 2 | 0.24 | 2 | 9% | 1 |
| SJS C. Graf | 1.0 | 0 | 0.33 | 2 | 13% | 0 |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 1.0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS M. Ferraro | 1.0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK C. Ceci | 1.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 1 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 0.9 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK B. Dumoulin | 0.9 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 0.8 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.8 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.6 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS V. Desharnais | 0.5 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 1% | 0 |
| SJS R. Reaves | 0.5 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.5 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.