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Game Recap
LAK4
FinalThu, Mar 26, 2026Every game that night
VAN0

LAK beat VAN 4-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.99 expected goals to 1.58. LAK outshot VAN 38 to 19. T. Moore led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). S. Laughton had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.5. D. Kuemper stopped 19 of 19.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
LAK1214
VAN0000
  1. 1st 17:34LAKS. LaughtonPP0.17 xG
  2. 2nd 1:21LAKT. Moore0.10 xG
  3. 2nd 19:21LAKA. Panarin0.08 xG
  4. 3rd 17:36LAKQ. ByfieldEN0.35 xG

Team Stats

LAKVAN
38Shots on goal19
3.99Expected goals1.58
67Shot attempts46
285v5 shots on goal14
1/2Power play0/2
23Hits14
13Blocked shots13
29Penalty minutes39
10Giveaways16
2Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

LAK 3.99 xGVAN 1.58 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdLAK goal, 17:34LAK goal, 1:21LAK goal, 19:21LAK goal, 17:36

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

LAK38 on goal, 4 scored
VAN18 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

LAK Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. MooreLW112510+2017:571:27
Q. ByfieldRW112420+3217:531:27
A. LaferriereRW011340+2020:431:07
A. PanarinLW101401+1020:222:00
A. KempeRW011000+1017:311:30
S. LaughtonC1015100016:001:27
A. KopitarC0003000019:021:30
J. ArmiaRW0002310214:120:57
M. JosephRW0000310012:170:00
J. WrightRW000001007:560:00
J. MalottLW0000210107:190:00
S. HeleniusC000230007:160:00
M. AndersonD022213+2021:010:00
D. DoughtyD011310+2023:521:27
B. ClarkeD000303+11521:001:30
J. EdmundsonD000120+1020:410:23
C. CeciD0001010016:520:00
B. DumoulinD0000010014:060:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Kuemper191901.00060:00Win
A. Forsberg000–0:00

VAN Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. O'ConnorLW000200-1219:342:06
E. KaneLW0001020018:411:57
T. BluegerC0003100017:340:00
J. DeBruskLW000301-1017:121:54
L. KarlssonC000020-11017:062:00
E. PetterssonC000202-2016:542:00
B. BoeserRW000000-2014:362:00
M. RossiC000100-2014:292:00
L. OhgrenLW000200-1013:360:00
A. RätyC0000300012:100:00
M. SassonC0000110010:160:03
N. HoglanderLW000010009:580:00
F. HronekD000122-1025:071:53
Z. BuiumD000001-11721:301:59
T. WillanderD000011-11021:292:00
M. PetterssonD000111-2019:070:08
E. PetterssonD000111-1015:350:00
P. JosephD0002110015:210:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Lankinen37343.91956:48Loss
N. Tolopilo000–0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

LAK

Line 1A. Kopitar16:11A. Panarin16:49A. Kempe14:35
Line 2A. Laferriere15:52T. Moore13:19Q. Byfield13:26
Line 3S. Laughton12:34M. Joseph12:17J. Armia11:57
Pair 1D. Doughty18:07M. Anderson17:01
Pair 2B. Clarke19:30J. Edmundson17:21
Pair 3B. Dumoulin14:06C. Ceci13:39

VAN

Line 1E. Kane15:35D. O'Connor15:17E. Pettersson12:46
Line 2T. Blueger15:44J. DeBrusk13:22L. Karlsson13:45
Line 3L. Ohgren12:00B. Boeser10:13M. Rossi10:19
Pair 2F. Hronek18:29Z. Buium17:35
Pair 3P. Joseph13:42E. Pettersson15:03

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

We projectedIt finished
ScoreLAK 3.0, VAN 2.8LAK 4, VAN 0
Total goals5.84
Shots on goalLAK 27.4, VAN 25.8LAK 38, VAN 19
Win chanceLAK 54%LAK won

Players

PlayerSOG projectedSOGPoints projectedPointsGoal chanceGoals
LAK A. Panarin3.041.34136%1
LAK A. Kempe2.801.02135%0
LAK A. Laferriere2.730.66124%0
LAK T. Moore2.450.61223%1
LAK Q. Byfield2.140.70223%1
VAN J. DeBrusk2.130.51023%0
VAN B. Boeser2.100.68027%0
VAN E. Kane2.110.45021%0
LAK B. Clarke2.030.60011%0
VAN D. O'Connor1.820.43019%0
VAN L. Karlsson1.700.48018%0
VAN L. Ohgren1.620.34015%0
VAN F. Hronek1.610.5809%0
VAN E. Pettersson1.620.71024%0
LAK A. Kopitar1.530.85024%0
VAN M. Rossi1.510.65021%0
LAK S. Laughton1.550.43117%1
LAK J. Wright1.400.21010%0
LAK D. Doughty1.430.53113%0
VAN T. Blueger1.430.41013%0
VAN N. Hoglander1.100.31014%0
LAK J. Edmundson1.010.2405%0
VAN M. Sasson1.000.27015%0
LAK J. Armia1.020.31013%0
VAN A. Räty1.000.26012%0
LAK M. Joseph0.900.3109%0
VAN Z. Buium0.900.2906%0
VAN T. Willander0.900.3407%0
LAK M. Anderson0.920.2926%0
VAN M. Pettersson0.910.2804%0
LAK J. Malott0.900.1706%0
LAK C. Ceci0.810.1904%0
VAN E. Pettersson0.710.1604%0
VAN P. Joseph0.720.1603%0
LAK S. Helenius0.720.2009%0
LAK B. Dumoulin0.700.2204%0

Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.