LAK beat VAN 4-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.99 expected goals to 1.58. LAK outshot VAN 38 to 19. T. Moore led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). S. Laughton had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.5. D. Kuemper stopped 19 of 19.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 1st 17:34LAKS. LaughtonPP0.17 xG
- 2nd 1:21LAKT. Moore0.10 xG
- 2nd 19:21LAKA. Panarin0.08 xG
- 3rd 17:36LAKQ. ByfieldEN0.35 xG
Team Stats
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
LAK 3.99 xGVAN 1.58 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Moore | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:57 | 1:27 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 17:53 | 1:27 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:43 | 1:07 |
| A. Panarin | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:22 | 2:00 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:31 | 1:30 |
| S. Laughton | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 | 1:27 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:02 | 1:30 |
| J. Armia | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0:57 |
| M. Joseph | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:17 | 0:00 |
| J. Wright | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:56 | 0:00 |
| J. Malott | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7:19 | 0:00 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:16 | 0:00 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 21:01 | 0:00 |
| D. Doughty | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:52 | 1:27 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 15 | 21:00 | 1:30 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:41 | 0:23 |
| C. Ceci | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:52 | 0:00 |
| B. Dumoulin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:06 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 19 | 19 | 0 | 1.000 | 60:00 | Win |
| A. Forsberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
VAN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. O'Connor | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 19:34 | 2:06 |
| E. Kane | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:41 | 1:57 |
| T. Blueger | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 | 0:00 |
| J. DeBrusk | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:12 | 1:54 |
| L. Karlsson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 17:06 | 2:00 |
| E. Pettersson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 16:54 | 2:00 |
| B. Boeser | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:36 | 2:00 |
| M. Rossi | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:29 | 2:00 |
| L. Ohgren | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0:00 |
| A. Räty | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0:00 |
| M. Sasson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:16 | 0:03 |
| N. Hoglander | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:58 | 0:00 |
| F. Hronek | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 25:07 | 1:53 |
| Z. Buium | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 17 | 21:30 | 1:59 |
| T. Willander | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 | 21:29 | 2:00 |
| M. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 19:07 | 0:08 |
| E. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:35 | 0:00 |
| P. Joseph | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lankinen | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 56:48 | Loss |
| N. Tolopilo | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
LAK
VAN
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAK 3.0, VAN 2.8 | LAK 4, VAN 0 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 4 |
| Shots on goal | LAK 27.4, VAN 25.8 | LAK 38, VAN 19 |
| Win chance | LAK 54% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Panarin | 3.0 | 4 | 1.34 | 1 | 36% | 1 |
| LAK A. Kempe | 2.8 | 0 | 1.02 | 1 | 35% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.7 | 3 | 0.66 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.4 | 5 | 0.61 | 2 | 23% | 1 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.1 | 4 | 0.70 | 2 | 23% | 1 |
| VAN J. DeBrusk | 2.1 | 3 | 0.51 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| VAN B. Boeser | 2.1 | 0 | 0.68 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| VAN E. Kane | 2.1 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 2.0 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN D. O'Connor | 1.8 | 2 | 0.43 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| VAN L. Karlsson | 1.7 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| VAN L. Ohgren | 1.6 | 2 | 0.34 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| VAN F. Hronek | 1.6 | 1 | 0.58 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 1.6 | 2 | 0.71 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.5 | 3 | 0.85 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| VAN M. Rossi | 1.5 | 1 | 0.65 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK S. Laughton | 1.5 | 5 | 0.43 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| LAK J. Wright | 1.4 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| LAK D. Doughty | 1.4 | 3 | 0.53 | 1 | 13% | 0 |
| VAN T. Blueger | 1.4 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| VAN N. Hoglander | 1.1 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.0 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| VAN M. Sasson | 1.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| LAK J. Armia | 1.0 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| VAN A. Räty | 1.0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK M. Joseph | 0.9 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| VAN Z. Buium | 0.9 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| VAN T. Willander | 0.9 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 0.9 | 2 | 0.29 | 2 | 6% | 0 |
| VAN M. Pettersson | 0.9 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Malott | 0.9 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK C. Ceci | 0.8 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 0.7 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| VAN P. Joseph | 0.7 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.7 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| LAK B. Dumoulin | 0.7 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.