Game Recap: LAK 2, WPG 1 (OT), January 10, 2025

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Game Recap

LAK2

Final/OTFri, Jan 10, 2025Every game that night

WPG1

LAK beat WPG 2-1 in overtime, with the chances close: 2.15 expected goals to 1.77. A. Kempe led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). D. Kuemper stopped 18 of 19.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
LAK	0	1	0	1	2
WPG	0	0	1	0	1

2nd 4:39LAKA. Turcotte0.05 xG
3rd 10:22WPGM. ScheifelePP0.10 xG
OT 1:14LAKA. Kempe0.17 xG

Team Stats

LAKWPG

23Shots on goal19

2.15Expected goals1.77

49Shot attempts49

195v5 shots on goal15

0/3Power play1/2

33Hits31

11Blocked shots11

4Penalty minutes6

8Giveaways11

7Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

LAK 2.15 xGWPG 1.77 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

LAK22 on goal, 2 scored

WPG19 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
A. Kempe	RW	1	1	2	2	0	0	+2	0	21:16	4:13
A. Kopitar	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	+2	0	22:02	4:35
A. Turcotte	C	1	0	1	3	0	1	+1	0	15:13	1:46
Q. Byfield	RW	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	20:24	4:08
K. Fiala	LW	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	18:46	5:46
P. Danault	C	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	0	18:10	1:25
A. Laferriere	RW	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	2	17:53	1:52
T. Moore	LW	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	16:17	0:00
W. Foegele	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	15:14	0:00
T. Lewis	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	10:28	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	10:00	0:00
J. Moverare	D	0	1	1	0	3	2	+1	0	19:11	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	17:52	4:06
V. Gavrikov	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	25:54	0:11
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	2	24:12	0:14
J. Spence	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	+1	0	19:33	1:44
A. Englund	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5:48	0:00
K. Burroughs	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3:05	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	19	18	1	.947	61:14	Win
D. Rittich	0	0	0	–	0:00

WPG Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Scheifele	C	1	0	1	1	1	1	-1	4	23:28	1:16
K. Connor	LW	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	23:19	1:19
G. Vilardi	C	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	18:54	1:19
A. Iafallo	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	17:32	0:51
A. Lowry	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	16:48	0:00
N. Ehlers	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	15:21	1:31
V. Namestnikov	C	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	14:47	0:53
C. Perfetti	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	14:24	1:07
N. Niederreiter	RW	0	0	0	2	9	0	-1	0	14:04	0:55
M. Barron	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7:18	0:10
R. Kupari	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	7:06	0:00
D. Gustafsson	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5:48	0:00
N. Pionk	D	0	0	0	1	5	1	-1	0	23:13	1:06
D. Samberg	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	22:35	0:15
J. Morrissey	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	-1	0	22:22	1:13
D. DeMelo	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	2	20:44	0:05
L. Stanley	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	16:43	0:00
D. Coghlan	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	13:52	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
E. Comrie	23	21	2	.913	60:38	OT loss
C. Hellebuyck	0	0	0	–	0:00

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamAlex Iafallo WPG Faces LAK, his team until Apr 20230 SOG
Old teamGabriel Vilardi WPG Faces LAK, his team until Apr 20231 A, 0 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	LAK 2.7, WPG 3.0	LAK 2, WPG 1
Total goals	5.7	3
Shots on goal	LAK 27.7, WPG 26.7	LAK 23, WPG 19
Win chance	WPG 55%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK A. Kempe	3.0	2	0.86	2	34%	1
WPG K. Connor	2.9	3	0.93	1	35%	0
LAK K. Fiala	2.7	4	0.75	0	28%	0
WPG N. Ehlers	2.4	1	0.75	0	25%	0
LAK W. Foegele	2.4	0	0.50	0	20%	0
LAK T. Moore	2.3	0	0.51	0	20%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.3	1	0.47	0	20%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	2.0	4	0.57	0	19%	0
WPG G. Vilardi	1.9	0	0.71	1	30%	0
WPG M. Scheifele	1.9	1	0.87	1	32%	1
WPG N. Niederreiter	1.8	2	0.43	0	20%	0
WPG D. Coghlan	1.8	1	0.18	0	4%	0
WPG J. Morrissey	1.7	1	0.66	0	11%	0
WPG C. Perfetti	1.7	2	0.52	0	18%	0
LAK P. Danault	1.7	4	0.52	0	18%	0
LAK B. Clarke	1.7	1	0.35	1	5%	0
WPG N. Pionk	1.6	1	0.46	0	7%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.5	1	0.74	1	23%	0
WPG A. Lowry	1.4	1	0.45	0	18%	0
LAK M. Anderson	1.4	1	0.29	0	6%	0
LAK V. Gavrikov	1.4	1	0.33	0	6%	0
WPG A. Iafallo	1.4	0	0.36	0	15%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	1.2	3	0.34	1	11%	1
LAK T. Lewis	1.1	0	0.16	0	8%	0
WPG V. Namestnikov	1.1	1	0.42	0	15%	0
LAK J. Spence	1.1	1	0.29	0	4%	0
WPG L. Stanley	1.0	2	0.23	0	4%	0
WPG M. Barron	1.0	1	0.19	0	10%	0
WPG D. Samberg	1.0	0	0.21	0	4%	0
WPG D. DeMelo	1.0	1	0.29	0	4%	0
LAK T. Jeannot	0.9	0	0.22	0	11%	0
WPG D. Gustafsson	0.8	0	0.14	0	6%	0
WPG R. Kupari	0.7	1	0.12	0	5%	0
LAK J. Moverare	0.7	0	0.09	1	2%	0
LAK A. Englund	0.4	0	0.08	0	1%	0
LAK K. Burroughs	0.3	0	0.04	0	1%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.