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Game Recap
LAK2
WPG3
WPG beat LAK 3-2, with the chances close: 3.38 expected goals to 3.43. M. Scheifele led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Kempe had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.8. C. Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 32.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| WPG | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
- 1st 4:48WPGA. IafalloPP0.18 xG
- 2nd 0:50LAKM. Anderson0.03 xG
- 2nd 9:12LAKA. Kempe0.10 xG
- 2nd 18:57WPGM. Scheifele0.07 xG
- 3rd 11:47WPGM. Scheifele0.07 xG
Team Stats
LAKWPG
32Shots on goal27
3.43Expected goals3.38
72Shot attempts58
205v5 shots on goal16
0/5Power play1/4
23Hits26
11Blocked shots28
13Penalty minutes15
18Giveaways18
8Takeaways5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
LAK 3.43 xGWPG 3.38 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kempe | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:41 | 5:22 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:53 | 5:15 |
| A. Kuzmenko | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:05 | 5:19 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 19:26 | 5:13 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 | 2:30 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 18:06 | 5:14 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 14:52 | 0:00 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 13:57 | 0:00 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:13 | 2:20 |
| J. Armia | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:08 | 2:34 |
| J. Malott | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6:37 | 0:00 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:34 | 0:00 |
| D. Doughty | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 22:10 | 2:08 |
| M. Anderson | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:44 | 0:05 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:21 | 2:22 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:57 | 0:00 |
| B. Dumoulin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0:00 |
| C. Ceci | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 15:09 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 58:21 | Loss |
| A. Forsberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
WPG Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Scheifele | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:45 | 4:18 |
| G. Vilardi | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:20 | 4:22 |
| K. Connor | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:11 | 4:16 |
| A. Iafallo | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 16:02 | 4:22 |
| M. Barron | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:20 | 0:00 |
| V. Namestnikov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:28 | 2:16 |
| J. Toews | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:04 | 2:01 |
| N. Niederreiter | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 2:18 |
| G. Nyquist | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 12:43 | 2:18 |
| T. Pearson | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:43 | 0:00 |
| C. Koepke | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:17 | 0:00 |
| N. Chibrikov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:25 | 0:00 |
| J. Morrissey | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 25:49 | 4:22 |
| D. DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | 23:39 | 0:06 |
| N. Pionk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:25 | 2:18 |
| L. Stanley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 0 | 17:42 | 0:17 |
| L. Schenn | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14:59 | 0:04 |
| H. Fleury | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:42 | 0:02 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hellebuyck | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 60:00 | Win |
| E. Comrie | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
LAK
Line 1A. Kopitar13:10A. Kempe13:15A. Kuzmenko13:34
Line 2P. Danault12:28T. Moore12:12W. Foegele11:53
Line 3K. Fiala11:40Q. Byfield11:07A. Laferriere10:01
Line 4A. Turcotte6:34J. Malott6:37J. Armia8:55
Pair 1D. Doughty17:26M. Anderson15:26
Pair 2B. Clarke15:59J. Edmundson14:08
Pair 3B. Dumoulin12:36C. Ceci12:09
WPG
Line 1M. Scheifele14:03K. Connor14:04G. Vilardi14:53
Line 2J. Toews12:16A. Iafallo10:03N. Chibrikov9:25
Line 3G. Nyquist10:25N. Niederreiter11:12V. Namestnikov9:29
Line 4T. Pearson9:17M. Barron8:19C. Koepke7:50
Pair 1J. Morrissey19:06D. DeMelo18:34
Pair 3L. Schenn11:00L. Stanley13:57
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAK 2.6, WPG 3.1 | LAK 2, WPG 3 |
| Total goals | 5.6 | 5 |
| Shots on goal | LAK 25.3, WPG 28.1 | LAK 32, WPG 27 |
| Win chance | WPG 59% | WPG won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG K. Connor | 3.3 | 4 | 1.07 | 1 | 37% | 0 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.9 | 5 | 0.72 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kempe | 2.8 | 6 | 0.75 | 2 | 30% | 1 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.3 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.3 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.2 | 2 | 0.49 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.2 | 1 | 0.65 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| WPG M. Scheifele | 2.1 | 3 | 0.93 | 2 | 32% | 2 |
| WPG G. Vilardi | 2.0 | 5 | 0.73 | 2 | 29% | 0 |
| WPG J. Morrissey | 1.9 | 2 | 0.61 | 1 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG N. Pionk | 1.9 | 2 | 0.43 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| WPG N. Niederreiter | 1.8 | 1 | 0.42 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.6 | 0 | 0.55 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| WPG J. Toews | 1.6 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kuzmenko | 1.5 | 3 | 0.58 | 1 | 24% | 0 |
| LAK D. Doughty | 1.5 | 2 | 0.48 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| WPG A. Iafallo | 1.4 | 2 | 0.36 | 1 | 15% | 1 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 1.4 | 1 | 0.31 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WPG V. Namestnikov | 1.2 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.2 | 3 | 0.67 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| WPG N. Chibrikov | 1.2 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| WPG M. Barron | 1.2 | 1 | 0.22 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| WPG C. Koepke | 1.1 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| WPG D. DeMelo | 1.1 | 3 | 0.28 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Armia | 1.1 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| LAK B. Dumoulin | 1.1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.1 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK C. Ceci | 1.1 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.1 | 2 | 0.25 | 1 | 5% | 1 |
| WPG T. Pearson | 1.0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| WPG L. Schenn | 1.0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG G. Nyquist | 1.0 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| WPG H. Fleury | 1.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 0.7 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| WPG L. Stanley | 0.7 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| LAK J. Malott | 0.6 | 0 | 0.10 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.