Game Recap: MIN 3, BOS 6, March 28, 2026

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Game Recap

MIN3

FinalSat, Mar 28, 2026Every game that night

BOS6

BOS beat MIN 6-3, with the chances close: 3.85 expected goals to 3.51. C. Mittelstadt led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). J. Swayman stopped 31 of 34.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
MIN	0	1	2	3
BOS	2	1	3	6

1st 1:01BOSA. Peeke0.02 xG
1st 14:00BOSP. Zacha0.23 xG
2nd 10:27BOSV. Arvidsson0.05 xG
2nd 14:46MINK. Kaprizov0.16 xG
3rd 3:48BOSE. Lindholm0.64 xG
3rd 7:57MINM. ZuccarelloPP0.11 xG
3rd 13:44MINR. Hartman0.21 xG
3rd 16:50BOSP. Zacha0.09 xG
3rd 19:26BOSE. LindholmEN0.90 xG

Team Stats

MINBOS

34Shots on goal31

3.51Expected goals3.85

81Shot attempts64

245v5 shots on goal26

1/3Power play0/2

19Hits20

11Blocked shots23

11Penalty minutes13

22Giveaways17

7Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MIN 3.51 xGBOS 3.85 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MIN31 on goal, 3 scored

BOS29 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Zuccarello	RW	1	1	2	4	0	0	-1	2	17:54	3:20
R. Hartman	RW	1	1	2	3	0	0	-2	0	17:06	0:29
K. Kaprizov	LW	1	0	1	3	0	0	-1	0	19:58	3:30
M. Boldy	LW	0	0	0	5	0	1	-1	0	20:28	3:29
J. Eriksson Ek	C	0	0	0	0	3	2	-1	0	19:58	3:12
V. Tarasenko	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	16:50	0:48
N. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	3	3	0	-1	2	14:33	0:00
M. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	2	4	0	-1	0	12:39	0:00
Y. Trenin	C	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	11:46	0:00
M. Johansson	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	0	11:05	0:31
B. Brink	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	0	10:49	0:26
M. McCarron	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	5	9:10	0:00
Q. Hughes	D	0	2	2	3	0	4	-3	0	31:03	3:43
B. Faber	D	0	1	1	1	1	2	-2	0	26:34	0:30
J. Brodin	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	2	14:58	0:02
J. Middleton	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	14:43	0:00
Z. Bogosian	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	14:30	0:00
J. Petry	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	12:08	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
F. Gustavsson	30	25	5	.833	57:48	Loss
J. Wallstedt	0	0	0	–	0:00

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	3	3	1	2	0	+4	0	14:01	1:21
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	2	2	1	1	1	+1	0	20:48	2:55
E. Lindholm	C	2	0	2	3	0	2	+1	0	17:49	2:36
P. Zacha	C	2	0	2	4	0	0	+3	0	15:32	2:41
V. Arvidsson	LW	1	1	2	2	0	1	+3	0	12:24	1:24
F. Minten	C	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	2	18:01	1:19
L. Reichel	LW	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	11:58	1:04
M. Geekie	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	+1	0	18:12	2:39
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	2	13:10	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	2	11:35	0:00
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	11:27	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	5	11:18	0:00
H. Lindholm	D	0	2	2	3	0	4	+2	0	19:48	0:59
A. Peeke	D	1	0	1	3	4	3	0	0	20:55	0:00
C. McAvoy	D	0	0	0	4	1	3	+3	0	26:16	3:02
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	+1	2	22:25	0:00
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	+1	0	14:46	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	11:47	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	34	31	3	.912	60:00	Win
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

MIN

Line 1M. Boldy13:26J. Ek13:43V. Tarasenko14:37

Line 2M. Zuccarello13:04K. Kaprizov13:45R. Hartman14:46

Line 3N. Foligno11:29M. Foligno10:00Y. Trenin10:56

Line 4M. McCarron8:00B. Brink9:47M. Johansson9:58

Pair 1Q. Hughes23:53B. Faber21:52

Pair 2Z. Bogosian12:53J. Middleton12:05

Pair 3J. Petry11:36J. Brodin13:10

BOS

Line 1D. Pastrnak15:30F. Minten15:34M. Khusnutdinov12:39

Line 2E. Lindholm12:03M. Geekie14:22L. Reichel10:54

Line 3S. Kuraly10:22T. Jeannot11:04M. Kastelic10:05

Line 4C. Mittelstadt11:34P. Zacha10:10V. Arvidsson9:11

Pair 1N. Zadorov19:09A. Peeke19:25

Pair 2C. McAvoy17:15J. Aspirot14:33

Pair 3H. Lindholm14:07M. Lohrei11:03

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	MIN 3.1, BOS 3.0	MIN 3, BOS 6
Total goals	6.2	9
Shots on goal	MIN 30.4, BOS 28.6	MIN 34, BOS 31
Win chance	MIN 51%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.7	1	1.28	2	41%	0
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.4	3	1.11	1	41%	1
MIN M. Boldy	3.2	5	0.93	0	32%	0
MIN J. Ek	2.8	0	0.65	0	24%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.5	2	0.61	2	23%	1
MIN Q. Hughes	2.4	3	1.02	2	12%	0
MIN R. Hartman	2.3	3	0.52	2	22%	1
MIN M. Zuccarello	2.1	4	0.75	2	21%	1
BOS M. Geekie	2.1	1	0.70	0	28%	0
MIN V. Tarasenko	2.0	3	0.56	0	22%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.9	4	0.68	0	11%	0
MIN B. Faber	1.9	1	0.45	1	10%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.8	3	0.62	2	22%	2
BOS F. Minten	1.8	4	0.51	1	22%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.6	4	0.62	2	20%	2
BOS H. Lindholm	1.5	3	0.34	2	6%	0
MIN B. Brink	1.4	1	0.43	0	16%	0
MIN M. Johansson	1.4	1	0.46	0	14%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.4	1	0.27	0	7%	0
MIN M. McCarron	1.3	0	0.22	0	10%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	1	0.53	3	17%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.2	0	0.38	0	8%	0
MIN Y. Trenin	1.2	2	0.24	0	11%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.1	1	0.20	0	9%	0
MIN M. Foligno	1.1	2	0.28	0	13%	0
MIN J. Brodin	1.1	1	0.26	0	5%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.1	3	0.19	1	4%	1
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	1.1	0	0.38	0	15%	0
BOS L. Reichel	1.0	1	0.30	1	12%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.0	1	0.19	0	10%	0
MIN N. Foligno	1.0	3	0.27	0	11%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.9	0	0.25	0	5%	0
MIN J. Middleton	0.8	1	0.20	0	4%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	0.8	1	0.20	0	9%	0
MIN J. Petry	0.8	1	0.19	0	3%	0
MIN Z. Bogosian	0.7	0	0.15	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.