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Game Recap
MIN4
FinalFri, Mar 4, 2022Every game that night
BUF5

BUF beat MIN 5-4, with the chances close: 3.16 expected goals to 2.49. K. Kaprizov led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). C. Anderson stopped 29 of 33.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
MIN1034
BUF1135
  1. 1st 8:51BUFC. MittelstadtPP0.10 xG
  2. 1st 15:25MINR. Hartman0.12 xG
  3. 2nd 6:01BUFK. OkposoPP0.16 xG
  4. 3rd 3:20MINK. Fiala0.02 xG
  5. 3rd 4:59MINK. KaprizovPP0.02 xG
  6. 3rd 12:20BUFJ. Skinner0.17 xG
  7. 3rd 16:40BUFJ. Skinner0.18 xG
  8. 3rd 18:54BUFV. OlofssonEN0.51 xG
  9. 3rd 19:26MINK. Kaprizov0.06 xG

Team Stats

MINBUF
33Shots on goal38
2.49Expected goals3.16
58Shot attempts56
295v5 shots on goal24
1/2Power play2/3
14Hits11
9Blocked shots17
13Penalty minutes21
8Giveaways5
1Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MIN 2.49 xGBUF 3.16 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdBUF goal, 8:51MIN goal, 15:25BUF goal, 6:01MIN goal, 3:20MIN goal, 4:59BUF goal, 12:20BUF goal, 16:40BUF goal, 18:54MIN goal, 19:26

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MIN32 on goal, 4 scored
BUF38 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MIN Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. KaprizovLW213320+1019:502:37
K. FialaLW1122010019:282:37
R. HartmanRW101400+2018:320:32
M. BoldyLW011010-1016:582:30
F. GaudreauC011100-1015:470:31
J. Eriksson EkC0003100020:292:36
M. FolignoLW000240+1217:370:31
C. DewarC000400-1012:420:00
B. DuhaimeLW000001-1211:540:00
M. ShawC000440059:100:00
N. BjugstadC000200008:240:00
N. SturmC000111008:070:00
J. SpurgeonD022200+2224:382:27
J. BrodinD011001-1222:310:38
A. GoligoskiD011102+1020:070:00
D. KulikovD000311-1020:390:00
J. MerrillD0000010014:520:00
C. AddisonD000101-1014:350:41
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Kahkonen37334.89258:35Loss
C. Talbot000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. SkinnerLW202700+1017:064:19
K. OkposoRW1121100016:330:54
C. MittelstadtC1123000016:261:14
T. ThompsonC011701+1019:213:51
P. KrebsC0112000015:404:09
V. OlofssonLW1014000013:140:52
A. TuchRW000203+2018:323:48
D. CozensC000210+11017:270:48
R. AsplundC0003200012:160:00
J. HaydenC000100-2012:070:00
A. BjorkLW000100-1011:590:00
C. EakinC000011-2210:490:00
R. DahlinD022204+2224:584:31
M. PysykD0002200019:040:00
J. BrysonD000003+2018:250:27
M. SamuelssonD000021-2018:110:07
R. HaggD0000230217:460:00
C. FitzgeraldD000101-2516:580:25
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson33294.87960:00Win
D. Tokarski000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.