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Game Recap
MIN5
Final/OTSat, Jan 7, 2023Every game that night
BUF6

BUF beat MIN 6-5 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.94 expected goals to 4.23. R. Dahlin led the way with 5 points (2 G, 3 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 39 of 44.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
MIN03205
BUF13116
  1. 1st 13:00BUFV. Olofsson0.06 xG
  2. 2nd 2:52MINB. Duhaime0.06 xG
  3. 2nd 6:46MINK. KaprizovPP0.24 xG
  4. 2nd 10:30BUFT. ThompsonPP0.07 xG
  5. 2nd 12:02BUFR. Dahlin0.10 xG
  6. 2nd 13:55BUFD. CozensPP0.14 xG
  7. 2nd 18:45MINR. Hartman0.17 xG
  8. 3rd 0:26MINM. Foligno0.14 xG
  9. 3rd 7:48MINJ. Eriksson EkPP0.11 xG
  10. 3rd 17:36BUFR. Dahlin0.02 xG
  11. OT 4:41BUFV. Olofsson0.14 xG

Team Stats

MINBUF
44Shots on goal37
4.23Expected goals2.94
57Shot attempts64
275v5 shots on goal28
2/4Power play2/3
21Hits7
16Blocked shots4
6Penalty minutes8
0Giveaways1
5Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MIN 4.23 xGBUF 2.94 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTBUF goal, 13:00MIN goal, 2:52MIN goal, 6:46BUF goal, 10:30BUF goal, 12:02BUF goal, 13:55MIN goal, 18:45MIN goal, 0:26MIN goal, 7:48BUF goal, 17:36BUF goal, 4:41

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MIN44 on goal, 5 scored
BUF37 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MIN Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. Eriksson EkC112400+1020:104:08
R. HartmanRW112420+1016:051:21
S. SteelC011111-1021:543:54
K. KaprizovLW101610-2420:374:09
F. GaudreauC011301+2016:061:11
M. FolignoLW101441+1015:420:59
J. GreenwayLW011210+1014:541:01
B. DuhaimeLW101350+2012:210:09
M. BoldyLW000400-2020:254:10
M. ShawC000300-2012:250:00
C. DewarC000021-2211:280:00
R. ReavesRW000010-109:060:00
C. AddisonD022401-1018:533:54
M. DumbaD011112+2025:430:04
J. BrodinD000312+2026:190:49
J. SpurgeonD000102-2017:230:46
J. MiddletonD000011-2016:310:00
J. MerrillD0001140014:470:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
M. Fleury37316.83864:36OT loss
Z. McIntyre000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC033200+2014:180:52
D. CozensC1122010014:302:34
V. OlofssonLW202600+3013:350:44
T. ThompsonC101400-1022:432:34
A. TuchRW011310-1022:252:33
P. KrebsC011100+1017:130:00
T. JostC011110+1212:050:00
J. SkinnerLW000400-1020:532:27
K. OkposoRW0001000016:480:00
Z. GirgensonsC0003000014:320:00
J. PeterkaRW000100-109:000:45
J. QuinnRW000001-128:520:46
R. DahlinD235430+2029:252:35
O. PowerD011200+1028:530:45
M. SamuelssonD000101-1023:510:00
K. ClagueD0001000217:280:00
J. BrysonD000101-1012:250:00
I. LyubushkinD000020029:540:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen44395.88664:41Win
C. Anderson000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.