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Game Recap
MIN2
FinalFri, Nov 10, 2023Every game that night
BUF3

BUF beat MIN 3-2 despite fewer good chances: 1.99 expected goals to 4.39. MIN outshot BUF 35 to 25. J. Skinner led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). D. Levi stopped 33 of 35.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
MIN1012
BUF1113
  1. 1st 18:02BUFH. Jokiharju0.04 xG
  2. 1st 19:30MINK. KaprizovPP0.13 xG
  3. 2nd 19:02BUFJ. Skinner0.14 xG
  4. 3rd 3:33BUFJ. Peterka0.24 xG
  5. 3rd 12:27MINJ. Eriksson EkPP0.21 xG

Team Stats

MINBUF
35Shots on goal25
4.39Expected goals1.99
79Shot attempts53
175v5 shots on goal15
2/5Power play0/4
31Hits20
18Blocked shots22
8Penalty minutes10
4Giveaways5
6Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MIN 4.39 xGBUF 1.99 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdBUF goal, 18:02MIN goal, 19:30BUF goal, 19:02BUF goal, 3:33MIN goal, 12:27

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MIN35 on goal, 2 scored
BUF24 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MIN Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. KaprizovLW112400-1220:564:20
M. ZuccarelloRW022600-1019:164:12
J. Eriksson EkC101700-1219:474:13
M. BoldyLW011401-1017:024:29
M. JohanssonLW000110-1016:554:28
M. FolignoLW000091-1015:290:41
R. HartmanRW000511-2015:222:12
M. RossiC0001100015:021:42
P. MaroonLW000220-1014:482:21
V. LettieriC0002300011:111:42
C. DewarC0000110010:590:00
B. DuhaimeLW000041009:550:00
J. BrodinD000104-2023:311:21
J. SpurgeonD000023-1021:521:18
B. FaberD000011-2219:260:20
J. MiddletonD000122-1016:080:00
Z. BogosianD0001210213:300:06
D. MermisD0000220012:360:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Gustavsson25223.88058:15Loss
M. Fleury000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. SkinnerLW112420+2018:424:54
J. PeterkaRW112200+2215:471:07
T. ThompsonC011202+2021:165:15
J. GreenwayLW000123+1222:312:40
C. MittelstadtC000102+1422:185:12
K. OkposoRW0002110014:400:56
Z. GirgensonsC0001310014:290:07
D. CozensC000200+1014:052:32
L. RousekRW0000000013:140:46
T. JostC0000100010:290:00
P. KrebsC000001006:050:56
M. SavoieC000000003:550:00
O. PowerD011203+2022:180:45
H. JokiharjuD101110+1017:460:07
R. DahlinD000252+2025:435:23
R. JohnsonD0004100218:000:00
C. CliftonD000032+1015:470:00
E. JohnsonD0001150014:220:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi35332.94360:00Win
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.