Game Recap: MIN 1, CGY 4, December 4, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

MIN1

FinalThu, Dec 4, 2025Every game that night

CGY4

CGY beat MIN 4-1, with the chances close: 3.45 expected goals to 2.74. R. Andersson led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). R. Andersson had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.3. D. Wolf stopped 26 of 27.

Team Stats

MINCGY

27Shots on goal31

2.74Expected goals3.45

57Shot attempts61

175v5 shots on goal28

0/5Power play0/1

24Hits22

17Blocked shots14

2Penalty minutes10

14Giveaways13

5Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MIN 2.74 xGCGY 3.45 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MIN27 on goal, 1 scored

CGY29 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
Y. Trenin	C	1	0	1	2	5	0	+1	0	12:10	0:13
M. Boldy	LW	0	0	0	2	1	1	-4	0	21:51	5:03
M. Zuccarello	RW	0	0	0	4	0	1	-1	0	21:06	5:01
K. Kaprizov	LW	0	0	0	3	0	1	-4	0	20:34	5:09
J. Eriksson Ek	C	0	0	0	3	4	1	-3	0	19:15	4:43
R. Hartman	RW	0	0	0	0	3	1	-1	0	18:46	3:10
M. Johansson	LW	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	18:34	3:10
V. Tarasenko	RW	0	0	0	1	1	2	+1	0	14:45	3:01
N. Sturm	C	0	0	0	3	2	1	+1	0	11:10	0:14
L. Ohgren	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	10:36	0:10
B. Jones	C	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	10:16	0:00
T. Pitlick	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8:18	0:00
Z. Buium	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	19:14	3:35
Z. Bogosian	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	12:44	0:00
B. Faber	D	0	0	0	3	1	4	-2	2	24:22	4:55
J. Brodin	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	20:22	0:46
J. Spurgeon	D	0	0	0	4	0	2	-1	0	19:53	2:56
J. Middleton	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	-2	0	16:44	0:04

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
F. Gustavsson	30	27	3	.900	57:20	Loss
J. Wallstedt	0	0	0	–	0:00

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Coronato	RW	1	1	2	1	0	0	+2	0	13:26	0:26
M. Backlund	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	+2	2	20:11	0:00
B. Coleman	LW	0	1	1	4	3	0	+2	2	19:01	0:00
J. Huberdeau	LW	1	0	1	3	2	2	+3	0	17:32	0:26
C. Zary	C	1	0	1	3	1	0	+1	0	13:11	0:00
M. Frost	C	0	1	1	0	0	1	+2	0	13:04	0:26
Y. Sharangovich	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	18:22	0:00
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	18:02	0:00
N. Kadri	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	6	15:28	0:26
J. Beecher	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	0	9:53	0:00
R. Lomberg	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	6:13	0:00
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	5:41	0:00
R. Andersson	D	1	1	2	6	1	3	+3	0	23:31	0:26
J. Hanley	D	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	0	12:02	0:00
K. Bahl	D	0	0	0	0	5	2	+2	0	24:07	0:00
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	0	0	0	5	2	0	0	23:42	0:00
M. Weegar	D	0	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	23:27	0:00
J. Bean	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:07	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Wolf	27	26	1	.963	60:00	Win
D. Cooley	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

MIN

Line 1M. Zuccarello14:01R. Hartman14:51M. Johansson13:20

Line 2J. Ek11:14M. Boldy13:31K. Kaprizov12:41

Line 3Y. Trenin11:21V. Tarasenko11:04N. Sturm10:15

Line 4B. Jones10:16L. Ohgren9:48T. Pitlick8:18

Pair 1J. Brodin18:40B. Faber17:52

Pair 2J. Spurgeon15:19J. Middleton15:38

Pair 3Z. Bogosian12:44Z. Buium13:37

CGY

Line 1M. Backlund15:57B. Coleman14:53C. Zary13:11

Line 2J. Farabee13:52Y. Sharangovich13:58N. Kadri13:19

Line 3M. Frost12:20M. Coronato12:19J. Huberdeau12:44

Line 4R. Lomberg6:13A. Klapka5:41J. Beecher6:01

Pair 1M. Weegar17:01Y. Kuznetsov16:56

Pair 2R. Andersson16:58K. Bahl18:16

Pair 3J. Hanley11:53J. Bean12:58

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamBlake Coleman MIN Faces CGY, his team until Apr 20261 A, 4 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	MIN 2.8, CGY 2.9	MIN 1, CGY 4
Total goals	5.6	5
Shots on goal	MIN 26.8, CGY 32.1	MIN 27, CGY 31
Win chance	CGY 52%	CGY won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.5	3	1.18	0	44%	0
CGY N. Kadri	3.3	2	0.80	0	29%	0
MIN M. Boldy	3.1	2	0.89	0	32%	0
MIN J. Ek	3.1	3	0.68	0	26%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.5	1	0.53	2	22%	1
CGY M. Backlund	2.3	1	0.48	1	18%	0
CGY R. Andersson	2.3	6	0.53	2	12%	1
CGY M. Weegar	2.3	2	0.43	0	9%	0
MIN R. Hartman	2.2	0	0.48	0	21%	0
CGY B. Coleman	2.2	4	0.45	1	21%	0
MIN M. Zuccarello	2.1	4	0.79	0	22%	0
CGY J. Farabee	2.0	1	0.39	0	18%	0
CGY M. Frost	1.9	0	0.51	1	18%	0
MIN B. Faber	1.8	3	0.37	0	9%	0
CGY J. Huberdeau	1.7	3	0.68	1	22%	1
CGY Y. Sharangovich	1.7	3	0.45	0	21%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.6	3	0.37	1	17%	1
MIN V. Tarasenko	1.6	1	0.46	0	19%	0
MIN M. Johansson	1.6	1	0.49	0	17%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.4	0	0.24	0	6%	0
MIN Y. Trenin	1.3	2	0.24	1	13%	1
MIN J. Brodin	1.2	1	0.33	0	6%	0
MIN J. Spurgeon	1.2	4	0.31	0	7%	0
CGY J. Bean	1.2	0	0.17	0	5%	0
CGY A. Klapka	1.1	0	0.25	0	12%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.1	0	0.22	0	4%	0
MIN L. Ohgren	1.0	0	0.14	0	7%	0
MIN J. Middleton	1.0	0	0.22	0	5%	0
MIN N. Sturm	1.0	3	0.20	0	10%	0
CGY R. Lomberg	0.9	2	0.14	0	7%	0
MIN Z. Buium	0.9	0	0.35	1	6%	0
MIN B. Jones	0.8	0	0.04	0	5%	0
MIN Z. Bogosian	0.8	0	0.14	1	3%	0
CGY J. Hanley	0.7	1	0.13	1	3%	0
CGY J. Beecher	0.7	2	0.14	0	7%	0
MIN T. Pitlick	0.6	0	0.11	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 14 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.