Game Recap: MIN 5, DET 4, April 5, 2026

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Game Recap

MIN5

FinalSun, Apr 5, 2026Every game that night

DET4

MIN beat DET 5-4, with the chances close: 2.66 expected goals to 2.88. K. Kaprizov scored three for MIN. F. Gustavsson stopped 20 of 24.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
MIN	0	4	1	5
DET	1	0	3	4

1st 1:40DETA. Johansson0.06 xG
2nd 0:18MINM. Boldy0.06 xG
2nd 1:25MINK. Kaprizov0.13 xG
2nd 7:03MINV. Tarasenko0.08 xG
2nd 12:32MINK. Kaprizov0.08 xG
3rd 7:18DETA. Sandin-Pellikka0.03 xG
3rd 11:14DETJ. Compher0.30 xG
3rd 14:36DETP. Kane0.14 xG
3rd 18:09MINK. KaprizovPP0.09 xG

Team Stats

MINDET

20Shots on goal24

2.66Expected goals2.88

45Shot attempts71

185v5 shots on goal19

1/2Power play0/1

25Hits18

25Blocked shots8

2Penalty minutes4

12Giveaways14

4Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MIN 2.66 xGDET 2.88 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MIN20 on goal, 5 scored

DET24 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
K. Kaprizov	LW	3	0	3	5	0	1	0	0	19:53	3:13
M. Boldy	LW	1	1	2	3	0	2	0	0	19:03	2:56
M. Zuccarello	RW	0	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	18:11	3:15
R. Hartman	RW	0	2	2	1	0	0	+1	0	16:00	0:31
J. Eriksson Ek	C	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	19:11	3:00
V. Tarasenko	RW	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	13:14	0:46
M. Johansson	LW	0	0	0	2	2	1	+1	0	14:57	0:50
Y. Trenin	C	0	0	0	1	10	1	-1	0	13:36	0:00
M. McCarron	C	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	12:28	0:00
N. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	12:04	0:00
M. Foligno	LW	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	11:28	0:00
D. Yurov	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	2	11:02	0:00
B. Faber	D	0	1	1	1	0	4	0	0	23:33	0:27
J. Middleton	D	0	1	1	0	0	4	0	0	18:15	0:04
Q. Hughes	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	25:05	3:15
J. Brodin	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	+2	0	17:17	0:00
J. Spurgeon	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	17:00	0:33
J. Petry	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-2	0	15:43	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
F. Gustavsson	24	20	4	.833	60:00	Win
J. Wallstedt	0	0	0	–	0:00

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
P. Kane	RW	1	1	2	5	0	0	0	2	19:09	1:37
A. Copp	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	+1	0	19:22	0:24
A. DeBrincat	RW	0	1	1	1	1	0	+2	0	18:58	1:35
D. Larkin	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	-1	0	17:55	1:39
L. Raymond	LW	0	1	1	3	0	0	-1	0	17:25	1:36
J. Compher	LW	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	15:42	0:00
M. Kasper	C	0	1	1	3	3	0	-1	0	12:02	0:00
E. Finnie	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	-2	0	16:08	0:23
D. Perron	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	+2	0	12:55	0:25
M. Rasmussen	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	12:08	0:00
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	10:10	0:21
C. Mazur	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9:40	0:00
A. Sandin-Pellikka	D	1	1	2	2	0	1	+1	2	15:04	0:26
S. Edvinsson	D	0	1	1	0	2	3	+1	0	23:13	0:00
A. Johansson	D	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	13:52	0:00
M. Seider	D	0	0	0	2	2	2	-1	0	27:54	1:34
B. Chiarot	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	0	21:39	0:00
J. Bernard-Docker	D	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	14:34	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Talbot	20	15	5	.750	58:24	Loss
J. Gibson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

MIN

Line 1M. Zuccarello14:56K. Kaprizov15:40R. Hartman14:53

Line 2J. Ek14:46M. Boldy14:44M. Johansson13:31

Line 3V. Tarasenko11:52Y. Trenin12:50D. Yurov11:02

Line 4N. Foligno10:52M. McCarron12:02M. Foligno10:39

Pair 1Q. Hughes21:50B. Faber20:17

Pair 2J. Spurgeon15:45J. Brodin16:31

Pair 3J. Petry15:43J. Middleton15:17

DET

Line 1P. Kane15:56A. DeBrincat15:47A. Copp16:06

Line 2E. Finnie14:37L. Raymond14:13D. Larkin13:10

Line 3D. Perron12:30J. Compher13:43M. Kasper11:44

Line 4J. Riemsdyk9:49C. Mazur9:40M. Rasmussen10:48

Pair 1M. Seider22:49S. Edvinsson21:45

Pair 2B. Chiarot19:47J. Bernard-Docker13:54

Pair 3A. Sandin-Pellikka14:38A. Johansson12:14

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

BirthdayMatt Boldy MIN Turns 25 that day1 G, 1 A, 3 SOG
HometownMichael McCarron MIN Plays near home (born in Grosse Pointe)0 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	MIN 3.3, DET 3.1	MIN 5, DET 4
Total goals	6.4	9
Shots on goal	MIN 28.7, DET 29.6	MIN 20, DET 24
Win chance	MIN 52%	MIN won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DET A. DeBrincat	3.6	1	0.97	1	36%	0
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.1	5	1.07	3	40%	3
MIN M. Boldy	2.9	3	0.88	2	32%	1
DET D. Larkin	2.9	1	0.78	1	31%	0
DET P. Kane	2.8	5	0.87	2	26%	1
MIN J. Ek	2.6	0	0.65	1	25%	0
DET M. Seider	2.5	2	0.64	0	10%	0
MIN Q. Hughes	2.4	2	0.97	0	13%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.2	3	0.87	1	27%	0
MIN R. Hartman	2.2	1	0.52	2	23%	0
MIN M. Zuccarello	2.0	0	0.75	2	21%	0
MIN B. Faber	1.8	1	0.43	1	10%	0
MIN V. Tarasenko	1.8	2	0.51	1	22%	1
DET A. Copp	1.6	1	0.55	1	17%	0
DET E. Finnie	1.5	0	0.35	0	15%	0
DET D. Perron	1.5	0	0.43	0	19%	0
DET M. Kasper	1.4	3	0.26	1	13%	0
DET J. Compher	1.4	2	0.40	1	16%	1
DET B. Chiarot	1.3	2	0.17	0	6%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.3	0	0.34	1	10%	0
MIN Y. Trenin	1.2	1	0.24	0	11%	0
MIN M. Johansson	1.2	2	0.41	0	13%	0
MIN M. McCarron	1.1	0	0.20	0	10%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.1	0	0.35	0	14%	0
DET M. Rasmussen	1.1	0	0.25	0	12%	0
MIN M. Foligno	1.1	1	0.27	0	14%	0
MIN J. Brodin	1.0	2	0.24	0	5%	0
MIN J. Spurgeon	1.0	0	0.26	0	7%	0
MIN D. Yurov	1.0	0	0.33	0	13%	0
MIN N. Foligno	1.0	0	0.28	0	11%	0
DET A. Sandin-Pellikka	0.9	2	0.24	2	6%	1
MIN J. Middleton	0.9	0	0.21	1	5%	0
DET A. Johansson	0.8	1	0.13	1	4%	1
MIN J. Petry	0.7	0	0.17	0	3%	0
DET J. Bernard-Docker	0.7	1	0.12	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 17 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.