Game Recap: MIN 0, WPG 5, December 21, 2024

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

MIN0

FinalSat, Dec 21, 2024Every game that night

WPG5

WPG beat MIN 5-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.31 expected goals to 2.31. C. Perfetti led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). C. Hellebuyck stopped 19 of 19.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
MIN	0	0	0	0
WPG	2	1	2	5

1st 6:51WPGN. EhlersPP0.13 xG
1st 17:54WPGM. Barron0.50 xG
2nd 5:19WPGN. PionkPP0.07 xG
3rd 2:07WPGC. Perfetti0.11 xG
3rd 7:36WPGV. Namestnikov0.08 xG

Team Stats

MINWPG

19Shots on goal24

2.31Expected goals3.31

54Shot attempts57

115v5 shots on goal18

0/4Power play2/5

12Hits7

14Blocked shots16

10Penalty minutes10

13Giveaways3

4Takeaways1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MIN 2.31 xGWPG 3.31 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MIN19 on goal, 0 scored

WPG24 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Boldy	LW	1	0	0	-1	0	20:09	6:17
K. Kaprizov	LW	3	1	0	-1	4	19:56	6:18
M. Zuccarello	RW	3	0	2	0	0	18:00	6:18
M. Rossi	C	1	1	0	-1	0	17:59	6:16
M. Johansson	LW	1	1	1	-1	0	16:04	1:42
M. Foligno	LW	0	3	0	-1	0	15:49	1:40
F. Gaudreau	C	1	1	0	-1	0	14:40	1:32
M. Khusnutdinov	C	1	0	0	0	0	14:20	0:00
R. Hartman	RW	1	0	0	-1	0	13:57	1:40
B. Gaunce	C	2	0	0	-1	2	10:28	0:02
D. Shore	C	1	0	0	0	0	9:52	0:02
T. Boyd	C	0	0	1	0	0	8:08	0:02
B. Faber	D	1	0	1	-1	0	23:45	1:39
J. Spurgeon	D	1	2	1	-2	2	21:23	6:10
J. Brodin	D	1	0	2	-1	0	21:22	0:09
Z. Bogosian	D	1	2	4	-1	0	18:26	0:02
J. Merrill	D	0	1	0	0	2	14:50	0:02
D. Chisholm	D	0	0	2	-2	0	12:48	0:09

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Wallstedt	24	19	5	.792	59:44	Loss
M. Fleury	0	0	0	–	0:00

WPG Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Perfetti	C	1	2	3	2	0	0	+2	0	14:37	2:55
K. Connor	LW	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	19:53	3:06
A. Iafallo	LW	0	1	1	2	0	2	+1	0	16:17	2:37
V. Namestnikov	C	1	0	1	1	0	1	+2	2	15:21	2:50
N. Ehlers	LW	1	0	1	3	0	0	+1	2	13:39	2:59
A. Lowry	C	0	1	1	3	0	2	0	0	13:14	0:00
M. Barron	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	11:50	0:00
N. Niederreiter	RW	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	10:38	2:48
M. Scheifele	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	21:19	3:08
G. Vilardi	C	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	17:09	3:11
M. Appleton	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	12:14	0:00
D. Gustafsson	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	+1	0	9:11	0:00
N. Pionk	D	1	1	2	1	3	0	+1	0	23:27	3:04
J. Morrissey	D	0	1	1	3	0	1	+2	2	19:43	2:55
H. Fleury	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	20:37	0:00
V. Heinola	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	17:07	0:00
C. Miller	D	0	0	0	1	2	0	+1	2	17:06	0:20
D. DeMelo	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+2	2	16:38	0:02

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Hellebuyck	19	19	0	1.000	60:00	Win
E. Comrie	0	0	0	–	0:00

Storylines That Played Out

BirthdayAlex Iafallo WPG Turns 31 that day1 A, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	MIN 2.7, WPG 3.3	MIN 0, WPG 5
Total goals	6.0	5
Shots on goal	MIN 28.8, WPG 29.7	MIN 19, WPG 24
Win chance	WPG 60%	WPG won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.6	3	1.15	0	42%	0
WPG K. Connor	3.2	0	1.04	1	38%	0
MIN M. Boldy	3.0	1	0.73	0	27%	0
WPG N. Ehlers	2.4	3	0.75	1	25%	1
WPG J. Morrissey	2.1	3	0.84	1	13%	0
WPG G. Vilardi	2.1	0	0.80	0	33%	0
WPG M. Scheifele	2.1	2	0.99	0	35%	0
MIN M. Zuccarello	2.1	3	0.71	0	19%	0
MIN M. Rossi	2.1	1	0.56	0	23%	0
WPG C. Perfetti	2.0	2	0.62	3	21%	1
MIN R. Hartman	2.0	1	0.41	0	19%	0
WPG N. Niederreiter	1.8	0	0.46	1	22%	0
MIN J. Spurgeon	1.7	1	0.37	0	8%	0
WPG N. Pionk	1.7	1	0.52	2	7%	1
MIN M. Johansson	1.6	1	0.37	0	14%	0
MIN J. Brodin	1.5	1	0.29	0	6%	0
WPG M. Appleton	1.4	1	0.39	0	14%	0
MIN B. Faber	1.4	1	0.45	0	7%	0
WPG A. Lowry	1.4	3	0.46	1	18%	0
MIN F. Gaudreau	1.4	1	0.30	0	13%	0
WPG H. Fleury	1.4	1	0.22	0	4%	0
WPG V. Namestnikov	1.3	1	0.50	1	17%	1
WPG C. Miller	1.2	1	0.23	0	6%	0
MIN M. Foligno	1.2	0	0.33	0	15%	0
MIN D. Chisholm	1.1	0	0.24	0	5%	0
WPG A. Iafallo	1.1	2	0.33	1	14%	0
MIN B. Gaunce	1.1	2	0.17	0	10%	0
WPG M. Barron	1.1	2	0.19	1	10%	1
WPG D. DeMelo	1.0	0	0.31	0	4%	0
WPG V. Heinola	1.0	0	0.20	0	2%	0
MIN Z. Bogosian	0.9	1	0.14	0	3%	0
WPG D. Gustafsson	0.7	2	0.15	0	6%	0
MIN D. Shore	0.6	1	0.14	0	5%	0
MIN J. Merrill	0.6	0	0.13	0	3%	0
MIN T. Boyd	0.6	0	0.20	0	9%	0
MIN M. Khusnutdinov	0.4	1	0.13	0	7%	0

Shots on goal: 26 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.