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Game Recap
MIN3
WPG0
MIN beat WPG 3-0, with the chances close: 2.14 expected goals to 2.58. G. Nyquist had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.0. J. Wallstedt stopped 32 of 32.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| WPG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 2nd 8:23MIND. Yurov0.24 xG
- 2nd 18:12MINB. FaberSH0.08 xG
- 3rd 6:29MINK. Kaprizov0.07 xG
Team Stats
MINWPG
30Shots on goal32
2.14Expected goals2.58
46Shot attempts66
235v5 shots on goal27
0/1Power play0/4
28Hits20
18Blocked shots11
15Penalty minutes9
14Giveaways8
4Takeaways3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
MIN 2.14 xGWPG 2.58 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
MIN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kaprizov | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:53 | 1:28 |
| M. Zuccarello | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:23 | 1:28 |
| Y. Trenin | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 15:31 | 0:00 |
| D. Yurov | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 0 | 14:37 | 0:00 |
| M. Johansson | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:13 | 0:00 |
| J. Eriksson Ek | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:35 | 1:28 |
| M. Boldy | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:42 | 1:28 |
| M. Foligno | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:23 | 0:00 |
| N. Sturm | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0:00 |
| L. Ohgren | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:56 | 0:00 |
| B. Jones | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:44 | 0:00 |
| T. Pitlick | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:32 | 0:00 |
| B. Faber | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 24:53 | 0:00 |
| J. Middleton | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:40 | 0:00 |
| J. Brodin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 23:22 | 0:00 |
| Z. Buium | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:08 | 1:28 |
| J. Spurgeon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:02 | 0:00 |
| Z. Bogosian | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:32 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallstedt | 32 | 32 | 0 | 1.000 | 59:18 | Win |
| F. Gustavsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
WPG Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Scheifele | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 22:01 | 4:25 |
| K. Connor | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 21:56 | 4:26 |
| G. Vilardi | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 20:36 | 4:26 |
| J. Toews | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 16:37 | 2:55 |
| N. Niederreiter | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 16:01 | 2:49 |
| V. Namestnikov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 | 2:20 |
| C. Perfetti | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 14:38 | 3:53 |
| G. Nyquist | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 14:28 | 2:48 |
| A. Lowry | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:21 | 0:06 |
| A. Iafallo | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:35 | 0:09 |
| M. Barron | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 9:30 | 0:10 |
| C. Koepke | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 7:02 | 0:00 |
| J. Morrissey | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 25:49 | 4:40 |
| D. Samberg | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 24:21 | 0:30 |
| D. DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:04 | 0:30 |
| C. Miller | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 | 2:06 |
| L. Stanley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 18:04 | 0:07 |
| N. Pionk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:05 | 0:28 |
Lines at 5-on-5
MIN
Line 1M. Zuccarello15:46K. Kaprizov17:39D. Yurov14:06
Line 2J. Ek13:43M. Boldy12:18M. Johansson10:26
Line 3Y. Trenin12:59N. Sturm12:33M. Foligno11:20
Line 4T. Pitlick7:32B. Jones7:44L. Ohgren8:56
Pair 2Z. Bogosian16:19Z. Buium16:28
Pair 3J. Spurgeon14:23J. Middleton14:01
WPG
Line 1M. Scheifele15:57K. Connor15:29G. Vilardi15:28
Line 2J. Toews13:10N. Niederreiter13:12G. Nyquist11:08
Line 3V. Namestnikov12:46A. Lowry12:30C. Perfetti10:45
Line 4M. Barron8:32C. Koepke6:15A. Iafallo9:45
Pair 1D. DeMelo21:04J. Morrissey19:30
Pair 2C. Miller17:14D. Samberg21:14
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MIN 2.5, WPG 3.2 | MIN 3, WPG 0 |
| Total goals | 5.7 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | MIN 25.4, WPG 29.5 | MIN 30, WPG 32 |
| Win chance | WPG 61% | MIN won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG K. Connor | 3.3 | 2 | 1.06 | 0 | 37% | 0 |
| MIN K. Kaprizov | 3.1 | 3 | 1.03 | 1 | 39% | 1 |
| MIN M. Boldy | 2.9 | 1 | 0.81 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| MIN J. Ek | 2.8 | 2 | 0.63 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| WPG M. Scheifele | 2.2 | 2 | 1.01 | 0 | 34% | 0 |
| WPG J. Morrissey | 2.1 | 1 | 0.81 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| WPG G. Vilardi | 2.1 | 2 | 0.74 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| WPG N. Pionk | 2.0 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| MIN M. Zuccarello | 1.9 | 2 | 0.73 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| WPG C. Perfetti | 1.9 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| MIN B. Faber | 1.7 | 4 | 0.35 | 1 | 8% | 1 |
| WPG N. Niederreiter | 1.6 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| WPG D. Samberg | 1.5 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| WPG J. Toews | 1.5 | 2 | 0.46 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| WPG A. Iafallo | 1.4 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| WPG A. Lowry | 1.4 | 2 | 0.38 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| MIN M. Johansson | 1.4 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 14% | 0 |
| MIN J. Spurgeon | 1.3 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| WPG V. Namestnikov | 1.3 | 2 | 0.42 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| WPG M. Barron | 1.3 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| MIN J. Brodin | 1.3 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| MIN Y. Trenin | 1.2 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG C. Miller | 1.1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WPG C. Koepke | 1.1 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| WPG D. DeMelo | 1.1 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| MIN J. Middleton | 1.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 1 | 5% | 0 |
| MIN L. Ohgren | 1.0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| MIN D. Yurov | 1.0 | 3 | 0.29 | 1 | 11% | 1 |
| MIN Z. Buium | 1.0 | 1 | 0.34 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| MIN M. Foligno | 1.0 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| WPG G. Nyquist | 1.0 | 4 | 0.36 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG L. Stanley | 1.0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| MIN B. Jones | 0.8 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| MIN Z. Bogosian | 0.8 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| MIN N. Sturm | 0.7 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| MIN T. Pitlick | 0.7 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 22 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.