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Game Recap
MTL4
Final/SOMon, Mar 27, 2023Every game that night
BUF3

MTL beat BUF 4-3 in a shootout, and the chances backed it up: 4.64 expected goals to 2.13. MTL outshot BUF 41 to 33. L. Rousek led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). J. Allen stopped 30 of 33.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdSOT
MTL11114
BUF12003
  1. 1st 1:22MTLJ. Harris0.12 xG
  2. 1st 3:49BUFL. Rousek0.02 xG
  3. 2nd 4:28MTLA. Belzile0.02 xG
  4. 2nd 5:49BUFJ. PeterkaPP0.05 xG
  5. 2nd 8:31BUFR. Stillman0.06 xG
  6. 3rd 8:35MTLB. Gallagher0.04 xG

Team Stats

MTLBUF
41Shots on goal33
4.64Expected goals2.13
65Shot attempts53
295v5 shots on goal22
0/3Power play1/4
16Hits10
13Blocked shots15
8Penalty minutes6
7Giveaways8
10Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MTL 4.64 xGBUF 2.13 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTMTL goal, 1:22BUF goal, 3:49MTL goal, 4:28BUF goal, 5:49BUF goal, 8:31MTL goal, 8:35

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MTL41 on goal, 3 scored
BUF32 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. DrouinLW011200+1217:240:06
J. EvansC0113000016:440:07
J. YlonenRW0112020015:060:01
B. GallagherRW101410+1213:190:55
A. BelzileRW101321-1010:400:00
K. DachC000311+1022:294:00
N. SuzukiC0002100022:093:54
R. Harvey-PinardLW0004100019:223:08
M. HoffmanC0004000218:161:56
D. GurianovRW000210+1016:050:06
C. TierneyC000000008:490:04
M. PezzettaLW000040006:250:00
M. MathesonD011511-1029:054:00
D. SavardD011211+1024:480:04
J. HarrisD101201+1018:530:00
J. KovacevicD000103+2019:410:00
J. EdmundsonD0001100217:000:07
J. BarronD000123-1013:500:07
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Allen33303.90965:00Win
S. Montembeault000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
L. RousekRW112101+109:030:00
A. TuchRW0116000021:433:09
C. MittelstadtC011100-1019:372:49
J. PeterkaRW101200-2014:322:05
V. OlofssonLW011200+1013:002:42
T. JostC011000+1010:010:07
J. SkinnerLW0002100218:282:49
J. QuinnRW000201-2018:041:40
D. CozensC000200-1016:581:56
P. KrebsC0001200216:532:13
Z. GirgensonsC0003000016:340:22
K. OkposoRW0001100214:090:22
O. PowerD0112040027:391:33
R. StillmanD101100+108:590:00
R. DahlinD000222-2029:583:36
I. LyubushkinD000225+1023:500:00
H. JokiharjuD000221-2022:220:22
J. BrysonD000101009:350:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie41383.92764:42OT loss
U. Luukkonen000–0:00