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Game Recap
MTL3
Final/SOSat, Dec 9, 2023Every game that night
BUF2

MTL beat BUF 3-2 in a shootout despite fewer good chances: 3.11 expected goals to 4.59. BUF outshot MTL 48 to 31. C. Primeau stopped 46 of 48.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdSOT
MTL02013
BUF00202
  1. 2nd 12:59MTLJ. Struble0.03 xG
  2. 2nd 13:13MTLN. SuzukiPP0.06 xG
  3. 3rd 1:06BUFJ. Skinner0.16 xG
  4. 3rd 6:36BUFK. Okposo0.03 xG

Team Stats

MTLBUF
31Shots on goal48
3.11Expected goals4.59
55Shot attempts78
195v5 shots on goal32
1/4Power play0/5
16Hits25
15Blocked shots9
15Penalty minutes24
3Giveaways7
3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MTL 3.11 xGBUF 4.59 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTMTL goal, 12:59MTL goal, 13:13BUF goal, 1:06BUF goal, 6:36

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MTL29 on goal, 2 scored
BUF48 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. SuzukiC1013100022:264:09
S. MonahanC011100-1018:404:31
C. CaufieldRW0009200021:474:21
J. EvansC000001-1021:210:00
J. SlafkovskýLW000212-1518:104:30
C. DvorakC0003000217:212:28
J. AndersonRW000440-1016:582:24
J. ArmiaRW0001000014:330:03
B. GallagherRW0002110012:522:42
J. YlonenRW000001009:442:13
M. StephensC000000007:540:06
T. PearsonLW000001002:500:00
M. MathesonD0112010029:484:43
J. KovacevicD011111+1220:500:00
J. StrubleD1011300014:270:00
K. GuhleD000015-1422:030:32
J. BarronD000122-1021:302:18
G. LindstromD000100-1215:090:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Primeau48462.95864:37Win
S. Montembeault000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC011230+1224:035:43
J. SkinnerLW101700+1023:255:56
K. OkposoRW1016310015:283:25
C. MittelstadtC000511+1027:015:56
J. PeterkaRW0005000019:423:34
D. CozensC000320-1018:504:58
Z. BensonLW0001100018:373:11
V. OlofssonLW0002100011:363:31
P. KrebsC000110+1011:150:00
T. JostC000100+109:030:00
E. RobinsonLW0002100156:320:00
I. RosenRW000001004:120:00
C. CliftonD011115+1513:210:00
R. DahlinD000581+1029:286:08
O. PowerD000100-1023:543:08
M. SamuelssonD0002200222:460:08
H. JokiharjuD000310+1020:460:33
E. JohnsonD0001000011:010:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi31292.93565:00OT loss
E. Comrie000–0:00