Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
MTL3
Final/OTThu, Dec 21, 2023Every game that night
MIN4

MIN beat MTL 4-3 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 2.95 expected goals to 1.75. M. Rossi led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). F. Gustavsson stopped 22 of 25.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
MTL01203
MIN20114
  1. 1st 13:19MINM. BoldyPP0.16 xG
  2. 1st 14:54MINM. Rossi0.09 xG
  3. 2nd 8:17MTLD. Savard0.07 xG
  4. 3rd 1:09MTLN. SuzukiPP0.25 xG
  5. 3rd 8:57MINB. FaberPP0.04 xG
  6. 3rd 16:57MTLJ. Slafkovský0.09 xG
  7. OT 4:55MINK. Kaprizov0.16 xG

Team Stats

MTLMIN
25Shots on goal24
1.75Expected goals2.95
52Shot attempts52
165v5 shots on goal12
1/5Power play2/6
17Hits21
14Blocked shots11
17Penalty minutes25
6Giveaways11
2Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MTL 1.75 xGMIN 2.95 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdOTMIN goal, 13:19MIN goal, 14:54MTL goal, 8:17MTL goal, 1:09MIN goal, 8:57MTL goal, 16:57MIN goal, 4:55

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MTL25 on goal, 3 scored
MIN23 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. SuzukiC112613+1024:175:34
J. SlafkovskýLW112200+2017:415:18
C. CaufieldRW011400+1221:565:22
S. MonahanC000110-1020:094:23
J. EvansC000000-1018:070:00
C. DvorakC0000000016:480:51
J. AndersonRW000110-1216:451:21
J. ArmiaRW0002100215:160:00
B. GallagherRW0001110214:571:14
M. StephensC000010006:460:00
J. YlonenRW000100006:040:50
E. HeinemanLW000020005:560:00
M. MathesonD022303+1228:465:34
D. SavardD112112+1223:250:20
J. BarronD0001210021:261:08
K. GuhleD000221-1520:010:00
J. KovacevicD0000220014:130:00
J. StrubleD0000210014:060:15
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Montembeault24204.83364:55OT loss
J. Allen000–0:00

MIN Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. KaprizovLW123201+2029:096:08
M. RossiC123300+11716:003:52
M. BoldyLW101102-1022:396:14
M. JohanssonLW011311+1020:412:50
M. FolignoLW011230+1214:481:05
J. Eriksson EkC0004120023:226:21
F. GaudreauC000000-1019:021:12
P. MaroonLW000000-1014:041:15
C. DewarC000000-1010:090:00
B. DuhaimeLW000001-109:250:00
V. LettieriC000221-128:180:00
B. FaberD112231-1033:256:19
Z. BogosianD011220+1419:420:14
J. MiddletonD000130-2026:560:00
A. GoligoskiD0001310016:171:07
J. MerrillD000010+1010:310:00
D. MermisD000100009:010:00
D. HuntD000021004:280:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
F. Gustavsson25223.88064:37Win
M. Fleury000–0:00