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Game Recap
MTL4
Final/OTTue, Mar 5, 2024Every game that night
NSH3

MTL beat NSH 4-3 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 1.75 expected goals to 3.24. R. O'Reilly led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). J. Allen stopped 25 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
MTL02114
NSH11103
  1. 1st 15:24NSHF. Forsberg0.08 xG
  2. 2nd 5:11NSHG. Nyquist0.25 xG
  3. 2nd 16:39MTLB. Gallagher0.07 xG
  4. 2nd 16:45MTLD. Savard0.00 xG
  5. 3rd 12:19NSHR. O'Reilly0.10 xG
  6. 3rd 14:55MTLJ. Roy0.03 xG
  7. OT 0:17MTLN. Suzuki0.04 xG

Team Stats

MTLNSH
30Shots on goal28
1.75Expected goals3.24
56Shot attempts57
265v5 shots on goal21
0/2Power play0/2
21Hits16
15Blocked shots18
9Penalty minutes7
6Giveaways3
2Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MTL 1.75 xGNSH 3.24 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTNSH goal, 15:24NSH goal, 5:11MTL goal, 16:39MTL goal, 16:45NSH goal, 12:19MTL goal, 14:55MTL goal, 0:17

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MTL30 on goal, 4 scored
NSH26 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. SuzukiC112120-1019:372:49
C. CaufieldRW022601-1018:472:46
J. EvansC011102+1016:060:00
B. GallagherRW101400+1014:441:12
J. AndersonRW011020+1514:091:14
J. RoyRW101120+1014:041:12
J. SlafkovskýLW000121-2017:562:37
A. NewhookC000211+1016:112:37
J. ArmiaRW000200+1014:210:00
T. PearsonLW0002110011:480:00
J. YlonenRW0000200011:211:07
R. Harvey-PinardLW0001010010:430:00
M. MathesonD011221-1027:023:21
D. SavardD101200+3019:410:00
A. XhekajD000231+3020:200:39
K. GuhleD000114-1218:320:11
J. HarrisD000112-1217:190:04
J. StrubleD000120-1014:270:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Allen28253.89360:17Win
S. Montembeault000–0:00

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. O'ReillyC123402+2019:082:33
G. NyquistRW112101+1018:492:32
F. ForsbergLW112410+2018:262:29
L. EvangelistaRW011100-1013:511:29
C. SmithRW000130-1015:180:04
C. SissonsC000304-1014:391:19
K. SherwoodLW000020-1014:150:00
M. McCarronC000100-1014:130:00
T. NovakC000001-1013:481:29
M. JankowskiLW000100-1013:161:23
Y. TreninC0002110012:490:00
C. GlassC0002000011:302:31
J. LauzonD011162+1018:460:03
R. JosiD000113-2024:572:31
R. McDonaghD0001020022:141:28
A. CarrierD000300+2220:260:09
D. FabbroD000102-2016:020:00
L. SchennD000120-1514:410:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Saros30264.86760:17OT loss
K. Lankinen000–0:00