Game Recap: MTL 4, NYI 1, April 12, 2026

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Game Recap

MTL4

FinalSun, Apr 12, 2026Every game that night

NYI1

MTL beat NYI 4-1, with the chances close: 3.83 expected goals to 3.99. NYI outshot MTL 33 to 22. N. Suzuki led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). J. Fowler stopped 32 of 33.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
MTL	0	3	1	4
NYI	0	0	1	1

2nd 15:56MTLN. Suzuki0.27 xG
2nd 16:24MTLI. DemidovPP0.18 xG
2nd 16:51MTLA. Newhook0.11 xG
3rd 8:45NYIC. Cizikas0.15 xG
3rd 19:45MTLZ. Bolduc0.24 xG

Team Stats

MTLNYI

22Shots on goal33

3.83Expected goals3.99

47Shot attempts65

155v5 shots on goal28

1/2Power play0/2

23Hits16

13Blocked shots11

6Penalty minutes6

11Giveaways9

5Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

MTL 3.83 xGNYI 3.99 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

MTL21 on goal, 4 scored

NYI32 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

MTL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
N. Suzuki	C	1	1	2	4	1	0	+1	0	18:29	1:54
Z. Bolduc	RW	1	1	2	1	5	1	+1	0	14:15	0:27
A. Newhook	C	1	1	2	1	0	0	+2	0	13:16	0:00
J. Slafkovský	LW	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	0	18:53	1:54
K. Dach	C	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	0	11:59	1:02
I. Demidov	RW	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	11:45	1:54
P. Danault	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	17:43	0:07
C. Caufield	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	+1	0	17:12	1:26
J. Evans	C	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	17:03	0:00
J. Anderson	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	15:41	0:00
O. Kapanen	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	10:31	0:27
A. Texier	LW	0	0	0	1	3	0	+1	0	9:27	0:34
L. Hutson	D	0	2	2	0	0	0	+2	0	22:51	1:54
D. Reinbacher	D	0	1	1	2	1	2	+1	0	11:17	0:00
M. Matheson	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	26:16	0:34
K. Guhle	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	26:05	0:07
J. Struble	D	0	0	0	1	3	3	0	0	18:43	0:00
A. Xhekaj	D	0	0	0	0	4	0	+1	4	12:41	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Fowler	33	32	1	.970	59:53	Win
J. Dobes	0	0	0	–	0:00

NYI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Cizikas	C	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	11:24	0:00
M. Barzal	C	0	0	0	4	0	1	-1	0	22:40	3:06
B. Horvat	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	-2	0	20:43	2:43
B. Schenn	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	2	20:38	2:55
C. Ritchie	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	19:11	2:58
J. Pageau	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	16:30	0:48
S. Holmstrom	RW	0	0	0	1	1	1	-2	0	16:08	1:15
A. Lee	LW	0	0	0	3	2	1	-1	0	16:06	1:04
E. Heineman	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	13:03	1:11
A. Duclair	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	11:46	0:00
M. Gatcomb	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	8:57	0:00
K. MacLean	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	8:45	0:00
R. Pulock	D	0	1	1	2	1	1	0	0	17:15	0:00
S. Mayfield	D	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	12:34	0:00
M. Schaefer	D	0	0	0	4	0	2	-2	2	28:01	3:17
T. DeAngelo	D	0	0	0	3	1	2	-1	0	22:44	0:43
A. Pelech	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	19:30	0:00
C. Soucy	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	-1	0	12:40	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Sorokin	22	18	4	.818	56:57	Loss
D. Rittich	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

MTL

Line 1J. Slafkovský15:32N. Suzuki14:31C. Caufield14:16

Line 2P. Danault13:35J. Anderson11:58J. Evans11:52

Line 3Z. Bolduc13:48K. Dach10:57O. Kapanen10:04

Line 4A. Newhook10:46I. Demidov8:47A. Texier8:46

Pair 1M. Matheson19:34K. Guhle20:29

Pair 2J. Struble16:52L. Hutson17:55

Pair 3A. Xhekaj11:25D. Reinbacher10:43

NYI

Line 1B. Schenn14:40M. Barzal15:17C. Ritchie13:37

Line 2B. Horvat12:35S. Holmstrom12:35A. Lee12:26

Line 3J. Pageau13:39E. Heineman11:45A. Duclair11:39

Line 4K. MacLean8:45M. Gatcomb8:42C. Cizikas9:39

Pair 1T. DeAngelo21:00M. Schaefer19:51

Pair 2S. Mayfield11:53C. Soucy11:56

Pair 3A. Pelech17:16R. Pulock14:35

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamEmil Heineman NYI Faces MTL, his team until Apr 20250 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	MTL 3.1, NYI 3.1	MTL 4, NYI 1
Total goals	6.2	5
Shots on goal	MTL 25.4, NYI 29.3	MTL 22, NYI 33
Win chance	NYI 52%	MTL won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NYI B. Horvat	3.2	3	0.84	0	35%	0
MTL C. Caufield	3.0	1	0.86	0	35%	0
NYI M. Schaefer	2.7	4	0.76	0	21%	0
NYI M. Barzal	2.4	4	0.93	0	24%	0
NYI A. Lee	2.3	3	0.54	0	25%	0
MTL J. Slafkovský	2.2	1	0.77	1	25%	0
MTL N. Suzuki	2.1	4	0.96	2	27%	1
NYI E. Heineman	1.8	0	0.37	0	21%	0
NYI T. DeAngelo	1.8	3	0.44	0	9%	0
MTL I. Demidov	1.7	1	0.73	1	20%	1
NYI B. Schenn	1.7	3	0.64	0	24%	0
MTL L. Hutson	1.5	0	0.94	2	11%	0
MTL A. Newhook	1.5	1	0.42	2	18%	1
NYI C. Ritchie	1.4	2	0.56	0	21%	0
NYI A. Pelech	1.4	0	0.25	0	4%	0
NYI S. Holmstrom	1.4	1	0.56	0	23%	0
MTL A. Texier	1.4	1	0.36	0	15%	0
MTL M. Matheson	1.4	1	0.39	0	8%	0
MTL O. Kapanen	1.3	0	0.37	0	17%	0
MTL Z. Bolduc	1.3	1	0.38	2	17%	1
NYI J. Pageau	1.3	1	0.51	0	19%	0
NYI C. Cizikas	1.2	1	0.25	1	11%	1
MTL J. Anderson	1.2	0	0.27	0	15%	0
NYI R. Pulock	1.1	2	0.28	1	6%	0
MTL K. Dach	1.1	1	0.32	1	13%	0
NYI A. Duclair	1.1	2	0.38	0	18%	0
NYI M. Gatcomb	1.1	1	0.19	0	12%	0
MTL P. Danault	1.0	3	0.31	0	12%	0
MTL J. Evans	1.0	2	0.34	0	12%	0
MTL K. Guhle	1.0	2	0.26	0	6%	0
NYI C. Soucy	0.8	0	0.17	0	6%	0
NYI K. MacLean	0.7	1	0.16	0	7%	0
NYI S. Mayfield	0.7	2	0.15	1	3%	0
MTL A. Xhekaj	0.7	0	0.09	0	3%	0
MTL J. Struble	0.6	1	0.21	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.