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Game Recap
NSH3
FinalFri, Apr 1, 2022Every game that night
BUF4

BUF beat NSH 4-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.54 expected goals to 1.78. BUF outshot NSH 35 to 25. T. Thompson led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). C. Anderson stopped 22 of 25.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
NSH3003
BUF3104
  1. 1st 2:14BUFP. Krebs0.04 xG
  2. 1st 4:32NSHF. Forsberg0.10 xG
  3. 1st 6:58BUFT. Thompson0.12 xG
  4. 1st 13:22BUFT. Thompson0.08 xG
  5. 1st 17:23NSHM. McCarron0.07 xG
  6. 1st 19:01NSHJ. Lauzon0.10 xG
  7. 2nd 14:25BUFV. OlofssonPP0.08 xG

Team Stats

NSHBUF
25Shots on goal35
1.78Expected goals3.54
44Shot attempts51
215v5 shots on goal30
0/1Power play1/2
12Hits20
7Blocked shots11
2Penalty minutes2
4Giveaways7
2Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NSH 1.78 xGBUF 3.54 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdBUF goal, 2:14NSH goal, 4:32BUF goal, 6:58BUF goal, 13:22NSH goal, 17:23NSH goal, 19:01BUF goal, 14:25

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NSH25 on goal, 3 scored
BUF35 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. DucheneC022200+2020:361:00
R. JohansenC022201+2017:111:12
F. ForsbergLW101311+2019:030:59
M. McCarronC101111+1015:520:00
E. TolvanenRW011100+1010:500:43
M. GranlundC000010-1016:461:12
T. JeannotLW000310-1016:250:48
C. SissonsC000010-2014:250:00
Y. TreninC000100-1214:250:00
L. KuninC0003000013:140:00
N. CousinsC000010-2012:280:48
P. TomasinoRW000111-1010:571:01
J. LauzonD1011120019:350:00
M. BenningD0112400014:180:00
R. JosiD000100+1026:561:17
M. EkholmD0003010023:261:00
A. CarrierD0001000020:110:00
J. DaviesD000000-1011:550:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Saros35314.88657:55Loss
D. Rittich000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC0223000016:352:06
T. ThompsonC202400+1215:231:21
A. TuchRW022300+1014:281:21
P. KrebsC112400+1014:052:06
V. OlofssonLW1122010013:482:09
J. SkinnerLW011520+1018:311:21
K. OkposoRW000231-2018:122:07
V. HinostrozaC000210+1015:280:04
C. EakinC000100-1015:060:05
Z. GirgensonsC000330-2014:400:02
C. MittelstadtC0001000013:371:21
R. AsplundC0001000011:180:00
H. JokiharjuD000110+1024:032:06
M. SamuelssonD0000540023:450:05
R. DahlinD000222+1020:351:21
C. FitzgeraldD0001210019:540:05
J. BrysonD000001-1014:570:00
M. PysykD000011-1013:350:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson25223.88060:00Win
D. Tokarski000–0:00