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Game Recap
NSH7
FinalTue, Mar 21, 2023Every game that night
BUF3

NSH beat BUF 7-3, with the chances close: 4.04 expected goals to 3.49. L. Evangelista led the way with 4 points (2 G, 2 A). J. Saros stopped 28 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
NSH2417
BUF0213
  1. 1st 11:45NSHP. Tomasino0.12 xG
  2. 1st 18:43NSHM. Duchene0.08 xG
  3. 2nd 3:36BUFD. Cozens0.20 xG
  4. 2nd 4:00NSHT. Novak0.19 xG
  5. 2nd 9:21NSHL. Evangelista0.07 xG
  6. 2nd 10:01NSHL. Evangelista0.21 xG
  7. 2nd 15:52NSHR. McDonagh0.08 xG
  8. 2nd 17:17BUFT. ThompsonPP0.12 xG
  9. 3rd 7:45BUFJ. Skinner0.09 xG
  10. 3rd 17:37NSHM. DucheneEN0.51 xG

Team Stats

NSHBUF
27Shots on goal31
4.04Expected goals3.49
48Shot attempts56
215v5 shots on goal26
0/3Power play1/4
16Hits19
8Blocked shots9
13Penalty minutes9
7Giveaways5
13Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NSH 4.04 xGBUF 3.49 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdNSH goal, 11:45NSH goal, 18:43BUF goal, 3:36NSH goal, 4:00NSH goal, 9:21NSH goal, 10:01NSH goal, 15:52BUF goal, 17:17BUF goal, 7:45NSH goal, 17:37

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NSH27 on goal, 7 scored
BUF31 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
L. EvangelistaRW224701+4015:493:57
M. DucheneC213310+3014:353:40
T. NovakC112401+3015:303:38
P. TomasinoRW112600+2013:182:21
K. SherwoodLW011000+4512:081:24
Y. TreninC0001200018:112:20
C. SissonsC0001210217:451:55
C. SmithRW0000400017:130:00
C. GlassC000100+2015:493:51
M. JankowskiLW000010-1214:100:00
E. AfanasyevLW000130-2012:510:46
R. AsplundC0001000011:590:00
R. McDonaghD112101+2217:080:00
J. LauzonD011010+3020:110:00
T. BarrieD0111010019:333:44
D. FabbroD000021+2220:020:00
J. GrossD0000000019:042:24
C. FooteD000002+3018:150:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Saros31283.90359:58Win
K. Lankinen000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC1012000018:422:30
J. QuinnRW0112000017:552:26
A. TuchRW011201-3017:313:51
V. OlofssonLW011200-2015:483:48
J. PeterkaRW011300+1015:442:23
J. SkinnerLW101300-2014:563:51
T. ThompsonC101331-2714:504:00
C. MittelstadtC000200-1016:182:16
T. JostC000110-2014:520:00
P. KrebsC000241-1012:270:00
K. OkposoRW000110-3011:170:00
Z. GirgensonsC000100-2010:570:00
R. DahlinD011222-2025:444:07
O. PowerD000001-2021:582:05
H. JokiharjuD000100-2220:130:08
I. LyubushkinD0003230018:480:00
K. ClagueD000110-2013:280:00
R. StillmanD000050-1013:170:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson20146.70035:52Loss
U. Luukkonen6601.00023:23