Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
NSH6
Final/OTFri, Dec 15, 2023Every game that night
CAR5

NSH beat CAR 6-5 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.50 expected goals to 2.37. R. Josi led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). K. Lankinen stopped 26 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
NSH13116
CAR23005
  1. 1st 5:18NSHJ. Parssinen0.06 xG
  2. 1st 10:23CARS. NoesenPP0.11 xG
  3. 1st 12:13CART. DeAngeloPP0.04 xG
  4. 2nd 3:47NSHR. Josi0.04 xG
  5. 2nd 4:50CARJ. Chatfield0.18 xG
  6. 2nd 5:09CARS. Aho0.15 xG
  7. 2nd 9:26NSHR. O'ReillyPP0.25 xG
  8. 2nd 9:51CARM. Necas0.05 xG
  9. 2nd 10:18NSHT. Barrie0.13 xG
  10. 3rd 10:57NSHJ. Lauzon0.13 xG
  11. OT 0:33NSHF. Forsberg0.13 xG

Team Stats

NSHCAR
30Shots on goal31
3.50Expected goals2.37
57Shot attempts64
245v5 shots on goal28
1/3Power play2/3
23Hits25
20Blocked shots15
4Penalty minutes6
3Giveaways7
6Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NSH 3.50 xGCAR 2.37 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTNSH goal, 5:18CAR goal, 10:23CAR goal, 12:13NSH goal, 3:47CAR goal, 4:50CAR goal, 5:09NSH goal, 9:26CAR goal, 9:51NSH goal, 10:18NSH goal, 10:57NSH goal, 0:33

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NSH30 on goal, 6 scored
CAR31 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. O'ReillyC123203+2019:543:15
F. ForsbergLW112322+2019:303:11
J. ParssinenC1121000014:220:34
G. NyquistRW011004+1018:403:11
L. EvangelistaRW011210+1013:090:04
T. NovakC011300+1012:280:34
C. SmithRW0111100012:050:00
P. TomasinoRW0114100011:520:35
C. SissonsC0004200017:203:04
Y. TreninC000213-1214:320:00
C. GlassC000120-1013:570:31
M. McCarronC0000210012:560:00
R. JosiD123201+3024:443:22
T. BarrieD1011020018:440:38
J. LauzonD101371-1018:020:00
R. McDonaghD000002+2020:330:10
A. CarrierD000010-1217:500:00
L. SchennD0001310017:250:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Lankinen31265.83960:19Win
J. Saros000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. NecasC112210-1016:310:31
S. NoesenRW1121500015:380:25
M. BuntingLW0223210012:172:22
J. MartinookLW0111010019:260:00
S. AhoC1013100019:222:51
S. JarvisRW0110400217:162:28
J. DruryC011200+1012:230:32
T. TeravainenC0000100018:262:27
J. FastRW000120-1018:100:00
J. StaalC000320-2217:440:11
J. KotkaniemiC000202-1011:090:00
J. ChatfieldD1012120012:230:00
T. DeAngeloD101300005:392:58
B. SkjeiD000232-1024:170:05
J. SlavinD000314-1022:470:00
B. PesceD000112-2021:060:00
B. BurnsD0000010220:140:00
D. OrlovD0002100012:060:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta30246.80060:33OT loss
P. Kochetkov000–0:00