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Game Recap
NSH2
FinalThu, Mar 2, 2023Every game that night
FLA1

NSH beat FLA 2-1 despite fewer good chances: 2.51 expected goals to 4.26. FLA outshot NSH 31 to 23. R. Josi led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). K. Lankinen stopped 30 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
NSH2002
FLA0101
  1. 1st 13:40NSHM. DuchenePP0.06 xG
  2. 1st 19:49NSHJ. Leonard0.07 xG
  3. 2nd 3:21FLAB. Montour0.15 xG

Team Stats

NSHFLA
23Shots on goal31
2.51Expected goals4.26
39Shot attempts82
225v5 shots on goal30
1/1Power play0/0
33Hits18
28Blocked shots10
0Penalty minutes2
10Giveaways9
7Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NSH 2.51 xGFLA 4.26 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdNSH goal, 13:40NSH goal, 19:49FLA goal, 3:21

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NSH22 on goal, 2 scored
FLA31 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. DucheneC101212+1017:030:07
C. GlassC011003+1016:250:07
J. LeonardLW101111+1014:370:00
L. EvangelistaRW0110000012:530:07
Y. TreninC0004100019:440:00
C. SmithRW0001510017:550:00
C. SissonsC0000300016:260:00
M. JankowskiLW000112-1014:100:00
Z. SanfordLW000314-1013:260:00
T. NovakC0001100012:420:07
P. TomasinoRW000200-1012:190:00
K. SherwoodLW0001810012:030:00
R. JosiD0223310028:110:07
R. McDonaghD0000360025:090:00
T. BarrieD000101-1021:580:00
J. LauzonD0001310019:030:00
D. FabbroD0001130018:420:00
A. CarrierD000112+107:140:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Lankinen31301.96860:00Win
J. Saros000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. LombergLW011011+1016:570:00
M. TkachukLW000310-1024:300:00
S. ReinhartC000300-1023:360:00
A. LundellC000102-1022:140:00
C. VerhaegheC0002400020:020:00
E. StaalC000010+1018:120:00
A. DuclairLW0003000017:520:00
E. LuostarinenC0002100016:230:00
N. CousinsC0003010015:160:00
C. WhiteC000201+104:200:00
Z. DalpeC000110004:050:00
B. MontourD1012010026:060:00
R. GudasD011132+1216:270:00
G. ForslingD0001000022:300:00
A. EkbladD0005200020:300:00
M. StaalD0000110013:180:00
J. MahuraD000211-1013:010:00
C. FitzgeraldD000020006:160:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Bobrovsky23212.91358:18Loss
A. Lyon000–0:00