Game Recap: NSH 2, LAK 3 (SO), April 6, 2026

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Game Recap

NSH2

Final/SOMon, Apr 6, 2026Every game that night

LAK3

LAK beat NSH 3-2 in a shootout despite fewer good chances: 2.49 expected goals to 3.46. R. Josi led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). S. Laughton had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.5. A. Forsberg stopped 29 of 31.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	SO	T
NSH	0	1	1	0	2
LAK	1	1	0	1	3

1st 5:36LAKJ. Armia0.06 xG
2nd 4:29NSHS. StamkosPP0.17 xG
2nd 13:57LAKS. Laughton0.16 xG
3rd 4:18NSHR. Josi0.05 xG

Team Stats

NSHLAK

31Shots on goal28

3.46Expected goals2.49

68Shot attempts63

275v5 shots on goal26

1/2Power play0/0

24Hits18

20Blocked shots18

0Penalty minutes4

18Giveaways13

3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NSH 3.46 xGLAK 2.49 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NSH31 on goal, 2 scored

LAK27 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NSH Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
R. O'Reilly	C	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	22:10	2:00
S. Stamkos	C	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	21:38	2:00
F. Forsberg	LW	0	1	1	4	3	1	+1	20:41	2:00
E. Haula	LW	0	1	1	1	2	3	+1	15:41	0:04
J. Marchessault	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	+1	19:25	2:00
M. Wood	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-2	17:14	0:00
L. Evangelista	RW	0	0	0	3	1	0	-1	16:41	0:04
T. Jost	C	0	0	0	2	1	1	-2	13:57	0:00
Z. L'Heureux	LW	0	0	0	2	4	2	0	13:49	0:04
F. Svechkov	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	10:29	0:00
J. Kemell	RW	0	0	0	1	4	0	-1	10:11	0:00
R. Schaefer	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	9:54	0:00
R. Josi	D	1	1	2	2	0	0	+1	28:09	1:53
B. Skjei	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	22:45	0:04
A. Wilsby	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	22:25	0:00
J. Barron	D	0	0	0	1	1	5	0	22:00	0:00
N. Perbix	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	-2	14:26	0:00
R. Ufko	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	13:25	0:11

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Saros	28	26	2	.929	65:00	OT loss
J. Annunen	0	0	0	–	0:00

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
S. Laughton	C	1	0	1	5	1	1	+2	2	15:05	0:00
J. Armia	RW	1	0	1	2	1	0	+2	0	14:56	0:00
J. Wright	RW	0	1	1	1	1	0	+2	0	13:22	0:00
A. Panarin	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	20:52	0:00
Q. Byfield	RW	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	20:52	0:00
A. Laferriere	RW	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	20:45	0:00
A. Kopitar	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	0	19:48	0:00
A. Kempe	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	19:21	0:00
T. Moore	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	17:43	0:00
T. Ward	RW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	8:31	0:00
J. Malott	LW	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	7:47	0:00
S. Helenius	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	7:41	0:00
D. Doughty	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	-1	0	25:14	0:00
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	1	1	3	-1	2	23:31	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	0	0	2	0	7	+1	0	21:29	0:00
J. Edmundson	D	0	0	0	2	1	0	+1	0	20:55	0:00
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	+1	0	17:45	0:00
B. Dumoulin	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	16:03	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Forsberg	31	29	2	.935	65:00	Win
D. Kuemper	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NSH

Line 1S. Stamkos17:55R. O'Reilly18:08Z. L'Heureux13:45

Line 2J. Marchessault16:15F. Forsberg17:06E. Haula14:44

Line 3T. Jost13:57L. Evangelista16:37M. Wood14:37

Line 4J. Kemell10:11R. Schaefer9:54F. Svechkov10:29

Pair 1J. Barron22:00A. Wilsby22:25

Pair 2R. Josi22:55B. Skjei21:02

Pair 3R. Ufko13:14N. Perbix14:26

LAK

Line 1Q. Byfield19:01A. Laferriere19:19T. Moore15:58

Line 2A. Kopitar17:51A. Kempe16:34A. Panarin18:01

Line 3J. Armia14:27J. Wright13:22S. Laughton15:01

Line 4S. Helenius7:41T. Ward8:31J. Malott7:47

Pair 1D. Doughty21:47M. Anderson23:27

Pair 2J. Edmundson19:42B. Clarke19:32

Pair 3B. Dumoulin15:35C. Ceci16:04

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamErik Haula LAK First game against NSH since he left (his team until Apr 2026)1 A, 1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NSH 2.9, LAK 3.3	NSH 2, LAK 3
Total goals	6.2	5
Shots on goal	NSH 26.0, LAK 30.0	NSH 31, LAK 28
Win chance	LAK 57%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK A. Panarin	3.0	2	1.25	0	35%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.8	2	0.66	0	25%	0
LAK A. Kempe	2.7	0	0.97	0	34%	0
NSH F. Forsberg	2.7	4	0.86	1	32%	0
LAK T. Moore	2.4	0	0.57	0	22%	0
NSH R. Josi	2.3	2	0.72	2	16%	1
LAK Q. Byfield	2.1	2	0.63	0	23%	0
NSH J. Marchessault	2.0	1	0.64	0	25%	0
NSH S. Stamkos	2.0	1	0.71	1	29%	1
LAK B. Clarke	1.8	2	0.54	0	11%	0
NSH R. O'Reilly	1.8	1	0.77	1	24%	0
NSH L. Evangelista	1.7	3	0.47	0	13%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.5	2	0.79	0	24%	0
NSH T. Jost	1.5	2	0.30	0	12%	0
LAK S. Laughton	1.5	5	0.38	1	16%	1
NSH E. Haula	1.4	1	0.37	1	15%	0
LAK D. Doughty	1.4	2	0.50	0	12%	0
NSH M. Wood	1.3	2	0.39	0	17%	0
NSH Z. L'Heureux	1.3	2	0.25	0	11%	0
NSH B. Skjei	1.3	2	0.36	0	9%	0
LAK J. Wright	1.2	1	0.18	1	8%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.2	2	0.31	1	13%	1
NSH J. Kemell	1.1	1	0.15	0	9%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.0	2	0.22	0	4%	0
NSH A. Wilsby	0.9	3	0.23	0	3%	0
LAK T. Ward	0.9	1	0.20	0	9%	0
NSH N. Perbix	0.8	1	0.18	0	4%	0
LAK J. Malott	0.8	3	0.15	0	6%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.8	1	0.27	0	6%	0
NSH F. Svechkov	0.8	1	0.24	0	8%	0
NSH J. Barron	0.7	1	0.18	0	5%	0
LAK S. Helenius	0.7	1	0.17	0	8%	0
NSH R. Schaefer	0.7	2	0.16	0	10%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.6	0	0.16	0	3%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.6	0	0.20	0	4%	0
NSH R. Ufko	0.5	1	0.32	0	6%	0

Shots on goal: 26 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.