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Game Recap
NYI5
BOS4
NYI beat BOS 5-4 in overtime, with the chances close: 3.02 expected goals to 3.38. R. Pulock led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). A. Lee had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.4. I. Sorokin stopped 26 of 30.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| BOS | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
- 1st 3:01BOSC. Koepke0.21 xG
- 1st 3:22NYIB. HorvatSH0.12 xG
- 1st 5:33NYIR. Pulock0.01 xG
- 2nd 4:11NYIA. Lee0.05 xG
- 2nd 10:18BOSJ. Brazeau0.17 xG
- 3rd 3:41NYIA. Lee0.23 xG
- 3rd 4:35BOSD. Pastrnak0.10 xG
- 3rd 12:44BOSD. Pastrnak0.44 xG
- OT 3:10NYIB. Horvat0.29 xG
Team Stats
NYIBOS
37Shots on goal30
3.02Expected goals3.38
84Shot attempts55
355v5 shots on goal25
0/0Power play0/1
14Hits31
19Blocked shots22
11Giveaways19
5Takeaways9
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
NYI 3.02 xGBOS 3.38 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
NYI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Horvat | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0:00 |
| A. Lee | LW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:00 | 0:00 |
| M. Barzal | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 20:58 | 0:00 |
| J. Pageau | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:20 | 0:00 |
| B. Nelson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:38 | 0:00 |
| M. Tsyplakov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 16:48 | 0:00 |
| K. Palmieri | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:04 | 0:00 |
| A. Duclair | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 | 0:00 |
| C. Cizikas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 14:22 | 0:00 |
| P. Engvall | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 10:53 | 0:00 |
| K. MacLean | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 10:20 | 0:00 |
| H. Fasching | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 9:44 | 0:00 |
| R. Pulock | D | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 22:45 | 0:00 |
| A. Romanov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 0 | 25:21 | 0:00 |
| A. Pelech | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 25:14 | 0:00 |
| N. Dobson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:23 | 0:00 |
| S. Mayfield | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 14:42 | 0:00 |
| D. Cholowski | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:45 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sorokin | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 63:10 | Win |
| M. Hogberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
BOS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pastrnak | RW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:34 | 1:13 |
| M. Geekie | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:23 | 0:52 |
| P. Zacha | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:21 | 1:08 |
| J. Brazeau | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0:48 |
| M. Kastelic | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:50 | 0:00 |
| C. Koepke | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:07 | 0:00 |
| B. Marchand | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 15:40 | 1:12 |
| T. Frederic | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:31 | 0:00 |
| E. Lindholm | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 0 | 15:18 | 1:10 |
| C. Coyle | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 15:05 | 0:50 |
| O. Wahlstrom | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:58 | 0:47 |
| J. Beecher | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:03 | 0:00 |
| C. McAvoy | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 24:15 | 1:13 |
| N. Zadorov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:39 | 0:00 |
| A. Peeke | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 19:37 | 0:00 |
| P. Wotherspoon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:15 | 0:00 |
| M. Lohrei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:47 | 0:47 |
| B. Carlo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Korpisalo | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 63:10 | OT loss |
| J. Swayman | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NYI 2.7, BOS 2.9 | NYI 5, BOS 4 |
| Total goals | 5.6 | 9 |
| Shots on goal | NYI 27.2, BOS 28.9 | NYI 37, BOS 30 |
| Win chance | BOS 54% | NYI won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 3.8 | 5 | 1.07 | 2 | 39% | 2 |
| NYI B. Horvat | 2.6 | 3 | 0.70 | 2 | 28% | 2 |
| NYI M. Barzal | 2.5 | 2 | 0.80 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| BOS B. Marchand | 2.5 | 3 | 0.83 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| NYI A. Lee | 2.4 | 7 | 0.59 | 2 | 26% | 2 |
| NYI B. Nelson | 2.3 | 1 | 0.72 | 0 | 30% | 0 |
| NYI N. Dobson | 2.2 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| NYI K. Palmieri | 2.1 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| BOS M. Geekie | 1.9 | 2 | 0.50 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 1.8 | 2 | 0.57 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 1.8 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| BOS P. Zacha | 1.7 | 2 | 0.65 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| NYI A. Duclair | 1.6 | 1 | 0.57 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| BOS J. Brazeau | 1.5 | 2 | 0.41 | 1 | 19% | 1 |
| NYI J. Pageau | 1.5 | 2 | 0.46 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| BOS T. Frederic | 1.5 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| BOS C. Coyle | 1.4 | 2 | 0.48 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| BOS O. Wahlstrom | 1.4 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 1.4 | 2 | 0.32 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| NYI A. Pelech | 1.3 | 4 | 0.27 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| NYI M. Tsyplakov | 1.3 | 0 | 0.42 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| NYI R. Pulock | 1.2 | 2 | 0.29 | 3 | 6% | 1 |
| NYI A. Romanov | 1.2 | 3 | 0.24 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 1.2 | 0 | 0.24 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| NYI P. Engvall | 1.1 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 1.1 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| BOS B. Carlo | 1.0 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NYI D. Cholowski | 1.0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| BOS C. Koepke | 1.0 | 1 | 0.24 | 1 | 11% | 1 |
| BOS A. Peeke | 1.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| NYI C. Cizikas | 0.9 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| BOS P. Wotherspoon | 0.8 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| NYI S. Mayfield | 0.7 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| BOS J. Beecher | 0.7 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NYI H. Fasching | 0.7 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| NYI K. MacLean | 0.7 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.