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Game Recap
NYI2
Final/OTThu, Jan 19, 2023Every game that night
BUF3

BUF beat NYI 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.43 expected goals to 3.38. BUF outshot NYI 45 to 26. R. Dahlin led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 24 of 26.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
NYI11002
BUF01113
  1. 1st 7:19NYIB. Nelson0.09 xG
  2. 2nd 8:26BUFA. Tuch0.02 xG
  3. 2nd 18:30NYIM. Martin0.23 xG
  4. 3rd 9:32BUFV. Olofsson0.11 xG
  5. OT 0:12BUFD. Cozens0.25 xG

Team Stats

NYIBUF
26Shots on goal45
3.38Expected goals4.43
48Shot attempts87
235v5 shots on goal39
0/1Power play0/3
24Hits9
28Blocked shots10
6Penalty minutes2
4Giveaways9
6Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYI 3.38 xGBUF 4.43 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTNYI goal, 7:19BUF goal, 8:26NYI goal, 18:30BUF goal, 9:32BUF goal, 0:12

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYI25 on goal, 2 scored
BUF44 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. NelsonC1014010018:131:09
J. BaileyRW011011+2017:541:09
A. BeauvillierRW0113010017:031:03
C. CizikasC0113200016:320:04
M. MartinLW1013102-1015:020:04
J. PageauC000302-1217:590:47
Z. PariseLW000002-1017:341:09
M. BarzalC0001010015:360:47
A. LeeLW0001000014:070:47
C. ClutterbuckRW000040-1010:210:04
S. HolmstromRW000000008:490:00
R. JohnstonLW000010005:470:00
S. MayfieldD000233+1023:250:10
S. AhoD000205-1222:420:06
N. DobsonD000222-1221:370:41
R. PulockD000103-1021:340:41
A. RomanovD0001140018:460:10
D. CholowskiD000001+1011:351:09
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Sorokin45423.93360:12OT loss
S. Varlamov000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC011400+1019:273:11
A. TuchRW1014110018:533:13
J. SkinnerLW0112000018:392:32
V. OlofssonLW101300+1015:223:23
C. MittelstadtC011201+1015:222:53
T. JostC011110+1012:570:00
D. CozensC1012100012:552:33
P. KrebsC0002110015:550:00
K. OkposoRW0004100015:090:00
J. PeterkaRW000200-1013:573:24
J. QuinnRW000501-1013:432:47
Z. GirgensonsC0002010012:480:00
R. DahlinD022200+2225:122:50
M. SamuelssonD000211+1023:310:00
O. PowerD0003010021:283:11
H. JokiharjuD000302-1019:400:03
I. LyubushkinD0001210013:200:00
J. BrysonD000110-1010:490:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen26242.92359:41Win
C. Anderson000–0:00