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Game Recap
NYI1
FinalSat, Oct 21, 2023Every game that night
BUF3

BUF beat NYI 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.90 expected goals to 2.27. BUF outshot NYI 42 to 25. J. Skinner led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). E. Comrie stopped 24 of 25.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
NYI0011
BUF0213
  1. 2nd 16:37BUFJ. Skinner0.05 xG
  2. 2nd 19:23BUFM. Samuelsson0.15 xG
  3. 3rd 2:40BUFD. Cozens0.15 xG
  4. 3rd 18:39NYIN. Dobson0.01 xG

Team Stats

NYIBUF
25Shots on goal42
2.27Expected goals3.90
47Shot attempts78
195v5 shots on goal33
0/3Power play0/3
44Hits19
22Blocked shots12
11Penalty minutes11
5Giveaways5
4Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYI 2.27 xGBUF 3.90 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdBUF goal, 16:37BUF goal, 19:23BUF goal, 2:40NYI goal, 18:39

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYI25 on goal, 1 scored
BUF42 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. HorvatC011330+1019:443:33
M. BarzalC011210+1017:033:36
K. PalmieriC000110-1019:153:08
B. NelsonC000202-1017:263:35
A. LeeLW0002500016:352:16
J. PageauC000324-1015:501:49
C. CizikasC000250-1213:500:00
P. EngvallLW000000-2213:371:48
J. GauthierRW000141-1012:580:00
O. WahlstromRW000140+1012:161:18
C. ClutterbuckRW000120-1011:590:00
M. MartinLW000352-1010:450:00
N. DobsonD101212-1024:443:29
R. PulockD0000310223:070:33
A. PelechD000136-1521:550:00
A. RomanovD0000520021:520:00
S. AhoD000001-1011:341:55
S. BolducD000101-1010:230:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Varlamov42393.92959:07Loss
I. Sorokin000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC022100+2015:412:27
J. SkinnerLW112402+2014:102:44
J. GreenwayLW0110210017:390:01
D. CozensC1016000016:242:50
T. ThompsonC00010000018:183:16
J. PeterkaRW000100+1015:332:01
A. TuchRW0001100715:193:14
P. KrebsC0001300014:232:31
K. OkposoRW0003120014:210:05
Z. GirgensonsC0001200013:050:07
T. JostC0002300012:200:05
V. OlofssonLW000500+1011:482:02
R. DahlinD011130+2023:023:16
M. SamuelssonD101120+2218:250:03
O. PowerD000103+1022:302:09
C. CliftonD000222-1018:560:00
E. JohnsonD000102-1017:120:00
H. JokiharjuD000100+1214:540:09
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie25241.96060:00Win
U. Luukkonen000–0:00