Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
NYI5
Final/OTThu, Nov 30, 2023Every game that night
CAR4

NYI beat CAR 5-4 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 3.12 expected goals to 4.84. CAR outshot NYI 43 to 16. M. Barzal led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). S. Varlamov stopped 39 of 43.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
NYI12115
CAR11204
  1. 1st 8:08CARJ. Chatfield0.18 xG
  2. 1st 18:00NYIB. Horvat0.08 xG
  3. 2nd 2:01CARJ. Staal0.39 xG
  4. 2nd 15:59NYIS. HolmstromSH0.20 xG
  5. 2nd 18:03NYIP. Engvall0.17 xG
  6. 3rd 0:39CARJ. Drury0.19 xG
  7. 3rd 6:41NYIK. PalmieriPP0.80 xG
  8. 3rd 19:57CARS. Aho0.04 xG
  9. OT 2:46NYIM. Barzal0.24 xG

Team Stats

NYICAR
16Shots on goal43
3.12Expected goals4.84
40Shot attempts96
105v5 shots on goal33
1/4Power play0/3
22Hits15
31Blocked shots10
6Penalty minutes4
7Giveaways8
10Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYI 3.12 xGCAR 4.84 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 8:08NYI goal, 18:00CAR goal, 2:01NYI goal, 15:59NYI goal, 18:03CAR goal, 0:39NYI goal, 6:41CAR goal, 19:57NYI goal, 2:46

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYI16 on goal, 5 scored
CAR43 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. BarzalC134212+2020:562:45
B. HorvatC101221+1021:152:46
K. PalmieriC101301-2018:482:55
P. EngvallLW1012000216:431:51
A. LeeLW011134-1015:271:22
J. PageauC0111010014:391:20
S. HolmstromRW101101008:360:00
B. NelsonC0001110218:093:11
C. CizikasC000012-1015:320:02
C. ClutterbuckRW0000310013:580:00
J. GauthierRW0000210010:500:00
O. WahlstromRW000001-108:141:24
N. DobsonD0332030027:063:09
A. RomanovD000002-1024:300:00
R. PulockD000045+1022:270:18
S. MayfieldD0000030019:440:00
M. ReillyD000100-1213:051:52
S. BolducD0000520012:190:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Varlamov43394.90762:46Win
I. Sorokin000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. StaalC112410+1214:150:00
S. AhoC1014100020:072:03
M. NecasC011421+1016:391:10
M. BuntingLW011200+1015:201:10
J. MartinookLW011302-1012:040:00
S. NoesenRW011221+1012:011:02
J. DruryC101200+1010:210:00
A. SvechnikovRW0004300018:101:55
S. JarvisRW0001110218:041:55
T. TeravainenC000301-1017:501:48
J. KotkaniemiC000211-1017:250:54
J. FastRW000020-109:050:00
J. SlavinD011200-1022:461:29
B. BurnsD011100+1021:411:48
D. OrlovD011122+2017:550:00
J. ChatfieldD101300+1015:320:00
B. SkjeiD000400+1023:110:03
B. PesceD000101-2020:030:08
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Kochetkov16115.68861:05OT loss
A. Raanta000–0:00