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Game Recap
NYI2
CGY4
CGY beat NYI 4-2 despite fewer good chances: 1.92 expected goals to 3.73. NYI outshot CGY 30 to 19. A. Klapka led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Lee had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 2.5. D. Wolf stopped 28 of 30.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| CGY | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
- 1st 11:51CGYY. Sharangovich0.12 xG
- 2nd 3:04CGYA. Klapka0.10 xG
- 2nd 9:50CGYJ. Kirkland0.15 xG
- 2nd 11:49CGYY. Kuznetsov0.04 xG
- 2nd 12:21NYIJ. Pageau0.08 xG
- 3rd 17:04NYIA. Lee0.02 xG
Team Stats
NYICGY
30Shots on goal19
3.73Expected goals1.92
75Shot attempts51
215v5 shots on goal14
0/2Power play0/3
25Hits9
16Blocked shots14
6Penalty minutes4
9Giveaways17
4Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
NYI 3.73 xGCGY 1.92 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
NYI Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Holmstrom | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:07 | 2:28 |
| J. Pageau | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:07 | 0:56 |
| A. Lee | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:58 | 1:23 |
| C. Ritchie | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | 2:24 |
| M. Barzal | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 21:46 | 2:55 |
| E. Heineman | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:44 | 2:49 |
| A. Duclair | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:20 | 1:09 |
| J. Drouin | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:09 | 1:25 |
| M. Shabanov | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 12:47 | 0:40 |
| C. Cizikas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0:00 |
| K. MacLean | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:31 | 0:00 |
| M. Gatcomb | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:35 | 0:00 |
| M. Schaefer | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 25:35 | 2:19 |
| T. DeAngelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23:59 | 1:30 |
| R. Pulock | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:56 | 0:39 |
| A. Pelech | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 4 | 19:20 | 0:17 |
| S. Mayfield | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 13:48 | 0:00 |
| A. Boqvist | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 10:34 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rittich | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 52:16 | Loss |
| I. Sorokin | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
CGY Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Klapka | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:38 | 0:10 |
| Y. Sharangovich | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:31 | 2:53 |
| N. Kadri | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:28 | 2:48 |
| C. Zary | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:20 | 2:50 |
| M. Frost | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:48 | 3:03 |
| J. Kirkland | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 10:45 | 0:15 |
| R. Lomberg | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:37 | 0:06 |
| M. Backlund | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 | 2:54 |
| M. Coronato | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:34 | 2:55 |
| J. Farabee | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 16:27 | 0:00 |
| J. Huberdeau | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:17 | 2:55 |
| M. Gridin | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 2:57 |
| K. Bahl | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 21:38 | 0:00 |
| R. Andersson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 25:40 | 2:56 |
| Y. Kuznetsov | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:03 | 0:00 |
| M. Weegar | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:00 | 3:05 |
| J. Hanley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 | 0:13 |
| H. Brzustewicz | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
NYI
Line 1A. Duclair13:22M. Barzal14:49A. Lee11:47
Line 2J. Pageau11:29J. Drouin11:35S. Holmstrom11:03
Line 3C. Cizikas8:48K. MacLean9:17M. Gatcomb8:35
Line 4C. Ritchie9:05M. Shabanov9:55E. Heineman12:07
Pair 1A. Pelech18:07T. DeAngelo19:44
Pair 2M. Schaefer16:07R. Pulock14:43
Pair 3S. Mayfield10:08A. Boqvist10:24
CGY
Line 2M. Backlund11:25M. Coronato11:15Y. Sharangovich11:08
Line 3J. Farabee10:53M. Frost10:24J. Huberdeau10:44
Line 4R. Lomberg10:28A. Klapka10:29J. Kirkland9:34
Pair 1K. Bahl16:45R. Andersson16:13
Pair 2M. Weegar14:46Y. Kuznetsov14:28
Pair 3J. Hanley13:22H. Brzustewicz13:19
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NYI 2.9, CGY 2.9 | NYI 2, CGY 4 |
| Total goals | 5.8 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | NYI 27.5, CGY 30.3 | NYI 30, CGY 19 |
| Win chance | CGY 52% | CGY won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY N. Kadri | 3.0 | 2 | 0.76 | 1 | 28% | 0 |
| NYI M. Barzal | 2.6 | 2 | 0.87 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| CGY M. Backlund | 2.6 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| NYI A. Lee | 2.5 | 5 | 0.52 | 1 | 23% | 1 |
| NYI M. Schaefer | 2.3 | 3 | 0.54 | 2 | 16% | 0 |
| CGY R. Andersson | 2.3 | 2 | 0.52 | 1 | 12% | 0 |
| NYI E. Heineman | 2.2 | 3 | 0.52 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| CGY M. Weegar | 2.2 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| CGY M. Coronato | 2.2 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| CGY J. Farabee | 2.0 | 1 | 0.42 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| CGY Y. Sharangovich | 1.9 | 3 | 0.50 | 1 | 23% | 1 |
| CGY C. Zary | 1.8 | 1 | 0.46 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| NYI T. DeAngelo | 1.8 | 3 | 0.42 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| CGY J. Huberdeau | 1.7 | 0 | 0.63 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| CGY M. Frost | 1.6 | 0 | 0.40 | 1 | 15% | 0 |
| NYI A. Pelech | 1.6 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NYI A. Duclair | 1.5 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| CGY A. Klapka | 1.4 | 1 | 0.29 | 2 | 15% | 1 |
| NYI S. Holmstrom | 1.3 | 0 | 0.53 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| NYI C. Ritchie | 1.3 | 1 | 0.35 | 1 | 16% | 0 |
| NYI R. Pulock | 1.2 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NYI J. Drouin | 1.2 | 3 | 0.54 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| NYI J. Pageau | 1.2 | 2 | 0.44 | 1 | 15% | 1 |
| NYI M. Gatcomb | 1.2 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CGY Y. Kuznetsov | 1.1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 7% | 1 |
| NYI M. Shabanov | 1.1 | 3 | 0.37 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| CGY K. Bahl | 1.1 | 2 | 0.23 | 2 | 5% | 0 |
| NYI C. Cizikas | 1.0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| CGY H. Brzustewicz | 1.0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| CGY R. Lomberg | 0.9 | 0 | 0.14 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| NYI S. Mayfield | 0.8 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NYI K. MacLean | 0.8 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| NYI A. Boqvist | 0.7 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| CGY J. Hanley | 0.6 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| CGY J. Kirkland | 0.6 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 7% | 1 |
Shots on goal: 20 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.