Game Recap: NYI 5, DET 0, November 20, 2025

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Game Recap

NYI5

FinalThu, Nov 20, 2025Every game that night

DET0

NYI beat DET 5-0, with the chances close: 3.15 expected goals to 2.65. M. Shabanov led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). A. Copp had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.1. I. Sorokin stopped 29 of 29.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYI	2	2	1	5
DET	0	0	0	0

1st 6:46NYIC. Ritchie0.13 xG
1st 14:54NYIM. Shabanov0.05 xG
2nd 3:19NYIM. Barzal0.07 xG
2nd 5:04NYIB. Horvat0.16 xG
3rd 6:52NYIM. Shabanov0.22 xG

Team Stats

NYIDET

26Shots on goal29

3.15Expected goals2.65

53Shot attempts59

185v5 shots on goal25

0/4Power play0/1

8Hits23

15Blocked shots14

21Penalty minutes37

13Giveaways18

4Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYI 3.15 xGDET 2.65 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYI26 on goal, 5 scored

DET29 on goal, 0 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Shabanov	RW	2	1	3	2	1	1	+4	0	14:31	1:59
C. Ritchie	C	1	1	2	2	0	0	+2	0	13:48	2:10
C. Cizikas	C	0	2	2	0	0	1	+4	0	11:01	0:00
M. Barzal	C	1	0	1	3	1	0	+1	0	21:11	5:50
B. Horvat	C	1	0	1	3	0	0	+2	0	15:47	5:20
E. Heineman	LW	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	2	12:06	2:13
J. Drouin	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	20:11	5:42
A. Lee	LW	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	16:39	2:18
K. Palmieri	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	+1	0	15:44	5:22
S. Holmstrom	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	15:11	0:17
J. Pageau	C	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	14:29	0:00
A. Duclair	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	12:15	0:00
R. Pulock	D	0	1	1	1	2	2	+3	0	21:06	0:14
A. Boqvist	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	+1	0	16:13	0:00
M. Schaefer	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	+3	0	24:12	5:37
T. DeAngelo	D	0	0	0	3	0	2	+1	5	19:41	2:38
A. Pelech	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	18:19	0:20
S. Mayfield	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	14	13:36	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Sorokin	29	29	0	1.000	60:00	Win
D. Rittich	0	0	0	–	0:00

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Larkin	C	1	0	1	0	0	19:45	1:22
L. Raymond	LW	2	0	0	0	0	18:20	1:29
A. DeBrincat	RW	4	1	0	-1	0	16:48	1:29
J. Compher	LW	2	1	1	-2	2	16:17	0:00
P. Kane	RW	1	0	1	0	0	16:09	1:32
E. Finnie	C	2	3	0	-3	0	16:03	0:28
M. Appleton	C	4	1	0	-2	0	12:32	0:00
A. Copp	C	4	0	1	-2	0	12:22	0:38
M. Rasmussen	C	0	1	2	-1	0	12:21	0:00
M. Kasper	C	1	3	0	-1	15	10:46	0:00
N. Danielson	C	2	0	2	-1	0	10:20	0:28
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	0	1	0	-2	0	9:38	0:31
S. Edvinsson	D	1	3	1	-1	2	24:17	0:00
M. Seider	D	4	3	2	-1	2	23:14	0:22
A. Johansson	D	0	1	2	-2	0	20:27	0:03
A. Sandin-Pellikka	D	0	1	0	-2	0	18:19	1:38
T. Hamonic	D	1	3	0	-2	0	16:33	0:00
B. Chiarot	D	0	1	1	-2	16	15:49	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Gibson	26	21	5	.808	60:00	Loss
C. Talbot	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NYI

Line 1A. Lee14:21J. Pageau13:25A. Duclair12:15

Line 2J. Drouin13:04M. Barzal13:52S. Holmstrom13:12

Line 3C. Ritchie11:38M. Shabanov12:32C. Cizikas11:01

Line 4K. Palmieri9:29E. Heineman9:53B. Horvat9:00

Pair 1M. Schaefer16:31R. Pulock18:32

Pair 2A. Pelech16:02T. DeAngelo16:37

Pair 3S. Mayfield13:02A. Boqvist15:34

DET

Line 1D. Larkin15:02L. Raymond14:55A. DeBrincat15:19

Line 2P. Kane13:30J. Compher13:28M. Kasper9:31

Line 3J. Riemsdyk9:07A. Copp9:10M. Rasmussen10:31

Line 4N. Danielson9:15M. Appleton10:17E. Finnie13:18

Pair 1M. Seider18:51S. Edvinsson21:24

Pair 2T. Hamonic12:57A. Johansson17:18

Pair 3B. Chiarot12:02A. Sandin-Pellikka14:05

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NYI 2.9, DET 3.3	NYI 5, DET 0
Total goals	6.2	5
Shots on goal	NYI 27.0, DET 30.2	NYI 26, DET 29
Win chance	DET 56%	NYI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DET A. DeBrincat	3.4	4	0.93	0	33%	0
DET D. Larkin	3.1	1	1.06	0	37%	0
NYI B. Horvat	2.8	3	0.81	1	33%	1
NYI M. Barzal	2.6	3	0.94	1	25%	1
DET P. Kane	2.5	1	0.82	0	25%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.4	2	0.96	0	28%	0
NYI K. Palmieri	2.4	3	0.70	0	28%	0
NYI M. Schaefer	2.4	2	0.64	0	15%	0
NYI A. Lee	2.2	1	0.52	0	23%	0
DET M. Seider	1.9	4	0.51	0	7%	0
DET M. Kasper	1.7	1	0.39	0	19%	0
NYI E. Heineman	1.6	1	0.50	1	24%	0
DET N. Danielson	1.5	2	0.32	0	13%	0
NYI T. DeAngelo	1.5	3	0.41	0	8%	0
DET E. Finnie	1.4	2	0.44	0	19%	0
NYI J. Drouin	1.4	1	0.75	0	18%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.3	0	0.45	0	17%	0
DET A. Sandin-Pellikka	1.3	0	0.36	0	8%	0
NYI A. Pelech	1.3	1	0.27	0	3%	0
NYI S. Holmstrom	1.3	1	0.53	0	22%	0
DET B. Chiarot	1.2	0	0.22	0	6%	0
DET J. Compher	1.2	2	0.41	0	16%	0
NYI J. Pageau	1.2	0	0.47	0	16%	0
DET M. Appleton	1.2	4	0.32	0	11%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.2	1	0.36	0	9%	0
NYI R. Pulock	1.1	1	0.33	1	6%	0
NYI M. Shabanov	1.1	2	0.30	3	12%	2
DET A. Copp	1.1	4	0.38	0	13%	0
DET M. Rasmussen	1.1	0	0.30	0	13%	0
NYI A. Duclair	1.0	1	0.32	0	17%	0
DET T. Hamonic	1.0	1	0.15	0	4%	0
NYI S. Mayfield	0.9	0	0.21	0	5%	0
NYI C. Ritchie	0.9	2	0.18	2	11%	1
NYI A. Boqvist	0.8	1	0.25	1	6%	0
DET A. Johansson	0.8	0	0.14	0	4%	0
NYI C. Cizikas	0.7	0	0.17	2	7%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.