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Game Recap
NYR2
Final/OTSat, Mar 11, 2023Every game that night
BUF1

NYR beat BUF 2-1 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.23 expected goals to 3.25. I. Shesterkin stopped 32 of 33.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
NYR01012
BUF01001
  1. 2nd 7:52BUFJ. Skinner0.04 xG
  2. 2nd 11:28NYRP. Kane0.01 xG
  3. OT 2:02NYRA. PanarinPP0.03 xG

Team Stats

NYRBUF
26Shots on goal33
2.23Expected goals3.25
52Shot attempts65
185v5 shots on goal31
1/3Power play0/2
24Hits19
22Blocked shots14
4Penalty minutes4
6Giveaways9
5Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYR 2.23 xGBUF 3.25 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTBUF goal, 7:52NYR goal, 11:28NYR goal, 2:02

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYR26 on goal, 2 scored
BUF33 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
P. KaneRW101310+1022:002:18
A. PanarinLW101501+1020:052:29
M. ZibanejadC0111000017:443:11
V. TrocheckC000110+1020:311:39
A. LafrenièreLW0000000016:081:28
F. ChytilC0002020015:272:11
C. KreiderLW0002200215:012:21
V. TarasenkoRW0002000013:242:21
K. KakkoRW0000110012:520:11
B. GoodrowC000032-1011:120:00
T. MotteC000110-1010:100:00
J. VeseyLW000100-109:530:00
A. FoxD0112140026:293:59
K. MillerD0111120022:030:21
J. TroubaD0111330221:450:51
N. MikkolaD0002850021:230:00
B. SchneiderD0002110014:210:00
B. HarpurD0000110012:370:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Shesterkin33321.97061:53Win
J. Halak000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC0112200018:462:14
J. SkinnerLW1013000017:342:24
J. GreenwayLW0001300017:020:00
P. KrebsC0001100016:141:40
D. CozensC0003200015:462:14
J. PeterkaRW0006100015:421:25
K. OkposoRW0001210015:220:14
J. QuinnRW0003100014:391:28
T. JostC0003100013:320:00
V. OlofssonLW0002010013:112:22
Z. GirgensonsC0000110212:500:13
C. MittelstadtC0001010012:271:28
I. LyubushkinD011111+1015:540:00
R. DahlinD0002120227:012:42
M. SamuelssonD0002250022:170:00
H. JokiharjuD000100-1021:430:18
O. PowerD0001010020:531:18
R. StillmanD0000110011:130:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen26242.92362:02OT loss
C. Anderson000–0:00