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Game Recap
NYR2
Final/OTFri, Mar 31, 2023Every game that night
BUF3

BUF beat NYR 3-2 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.98 expected goals to 3.51. C. Mittelstadt led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). D. Levi stopped 31 of 33.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
NYR01102
BUF11013
  1. 1st 11:20BUFJ. Peterka0.28 xG
  2. 2nd 7:39BUFJ. Greenway0.18 xG
  3. 2nd 12:17NYRK. Kakko0.28 xG
  4. 3rd 9:45NYRA. Fox0.05 xG
  5. OT 1:50BUFJ. Skinner0.15 xG

Team Stats

NYRBUF
33Shots on goal34
3.51Expected goals2.98
62Shot attempts61
275v5 shots on goal32
0/1Power play0/2
30Hits14
15Blocked shots12
4Penalty minutes2
1Giveaways11
5Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYR 3.51 xGBUF 2.98 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTBUF goal, 11:20BUF goal, 7:39NYR goal, 12:17NYR goal, 9:45BUF goal, 1:50

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYR33 on goal, 2 scored
BUF34 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
F. ChytilC011200+1017:060:47
A. LafrenièreLW011200+1016:020:47
K. KakkoRW101400+1015:120:00
B. GoodrowC011202+1013:010:08
T. MotteC011450+1012:350:08
A. PanarinLW000300-2217:221:05
M. ZibanejadC000020-1216:331:05
V. TarasenkoRW000232-1016:280:47
V. TrocheckC000241-2015:590:47
C. KreiderLW0001100014:321:05
P. KaneRW000100-2013:451:05
J. VeseyLW000300+1012:540:08
A. FoxD101403+2023:201:05
K. MillerD000142-2023:100:08
J. TroubaD000142-1020:450:47
N. MikkolaD0000100019:030:00
B. SchneiderD0000210017:000:08
B. HarpurD0001420016:430:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Halak34313.91261:50OT loss
I. Shesterkin000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC022100+1017:071:59
J. SkinnerLW101421+1016:522:07
D. CozensC011100+1016:471:55
J. QuinnRW011511+1015:432:07
J. PeterkaRW1015000015:201:51
J. GreenwayLW1013210011:450:00
A. TuchRW0001100019:182:04
P. KrebsC0002100015:451:53
Z. GirgensonsC0000210014:380:00
K. OkposoRW0005010014:330:00
V. OlofssonLW000100-1013:491:58
T. JostC000210-1013:320:01
R. DahlinD0111110027:012:15
O. PowerD011001+1025:041:47
H. JokiharjuD000201+1022:580:03
M. SamuelssonD000032-1022:130:00
I. LyubushkinD0001010212:280:00
J. BrysonD000001008:370:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi33312.93961:50Win
E. Comrie000–0:00