Game Recap: NYR 0, CHI 3, December 10, 2025

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Game Recap

NYR0

FinalWed, Dec 10, 2025Every game that night

CHI3

CHI beat NYR 3-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.05 expected goals to 2.22. C. Bedard led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). S. Knight stopped 21 of 21.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYR	0	0	0	0
CHI	0	2	1	3

2nd 7:08CHIL. CrevierSH0.07 xG
2nd 14:27CHIC. Bedard0.22 xG
3rd 3:52CHIT. Bertuzzi0.54 xG

Team Stats

NYRCHI

21Shots on goal25

2.22Expected goals3.05

48Shot attempts53

195v5 shots on goal22

0/3Power play0/3

36Hits12

13Blocked shots14

8Penalty minutes6

15Giveaways9

2Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYR 2.22 xGCHI 3.05 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYR20 on goal, 0 scored

CHI25 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYR Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
V. Trocheck	C	2	6	2	-3	0	21:50	4:09
J. Miller	C	0	0	0	-2	0	20:11	4:29
A. Panarin	LW	1	0	0	-2	0	20:10	4:47
M. Zibanejad	C	3	1	0	-1	0	19:20	4:09
A. Lafrenière	LW	2	1	1	-1	0	18:30	1:32
C. Sheary	LW	3	1	1	-1	2	16:51	1:37
W. Cuylle	LW	0	5	0	-1	0	14:48	3:14
N. Laba	C	2	2	1	0	0	12:29	0:17
J. Brodzinski	C	0	3	1	0	0	10:02	1:12
J. Chmelar	RW	0	4	0	0	0	9:55	0:00
B. Berard	LW	0	3	1	0	0	9:44	0:00
S. Carrick	C	0	4	0	0	4	9:41	0:00
V. Gavrikov	D	2	0	0	-2	0	24:27	2:03
B. Schneider	D	1	2	1	-1	0	23:28	0:17
W. Borgen	D	2	1	1	-1	0	19:23	0:00
C. Soucy	D	1	2	0	0	0	18:12	0:00
S. Morrow	D	1	0	2	0	0	13:38	2:14
M. Robertson	D	0	1	2	0	2	13:02	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Shesterkin	25	22	3	.880	60:00	Loss
J. Quick	0	0	0	–	0:00

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Bedard	C	1	1	2	3	0	0	+2	0	17:34	1:45
T. Bertuzzi	LW	1	0	1	2	1	2	+1	0	18:00	2:10
R. Greene	C	0	1	1	3	0	1	+2	0	16:51	1:57
J. Dickinson	C	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	2	15:27	0:00
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	1	1	1	0	2	+1	0	14:48	2:04
T. Teravainen	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	19:26	2:14
I. Mikheyev	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	18:22	0:00
F. Nazar	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	16:10	1:44
R. Donato	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	13:19	2:34
O. Moore	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9:57	0:00
C. Dach	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	9:48	2:15
S. Lafferty	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	7:27	0:00
M. Grzelcyk	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	+2	0	19:45	1:39
L. Crevier	D	1	0	1	3	2	0	+2	2	17:18	0:13
C. Murphy	D	0	0	0	2	1	4	0	0	21:02	0:19
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	21:01	0:01
A. Levshunov	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	+1	0	20:22	2:21
W. Kaiser	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	17:25	0:19

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Knight	21	21	0	1.000	59:58	Win
A. Soderblom	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NYR

Line 1A. Panarin15:23A. Lafrenière16:58M. Zibanejad13:16

Line 2V. Trocheck15:48J. Miller14:15C. Sheary15:12

Line 3S. Carrick9:01J. Chmelar9:55J. Brodzinski8:50

Line 4W. Cuylle9:45N. Laba11:14B. Berard9:44

Pair 1V. Gavrikov19:16B. Schneider20:24

Pair 2C. Soucy16:38W. Borgen18:10

Pair 3S. Morrow11:24M. Robertson13:02

CHI

Line 1J. Dickinson12:59I. Mikheyev14:34T. Teravainen15:04

Line 2A. Burakovsky12:44C. Bedard15:47R. Greene12:52

Line 3T. Bertuzzi15:48F. Nazar13:04O. Moore9:45

Line 4S. Lafferty7:27C. Dach7:33R. Donato10:43

Pair 1M. Grzelcyk16:41A. Levshunov18:01

Pair 2A. Vlasic17:22L. Crevier15:23

Pair 3C. Murphy16:29W. Kaiser15:59

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NYR 3.1, CHI 2.7	NYR 0, CHI 3
Total goals	5.8	3
Shots on goal	NYR 28.2, CHI 26.8	NYR 21, CHI 25
Win chance	NYR 57%	CHI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NYR A. Panarin	3.0	1	1.20	0	35%	0
CHI C. Bedard	2.9	3	0.94	2	28%	1
NYR M. Zibanejad	2.8	3	0.88	0	29%	0
NYR V. Trocheck	2.5	2	0.90	0	29%	0
NYR J. Miller	2.4	0	1.08	0	32%	0
NYR W. Cuylle	2.2	0	0.58	0	23%	0
CHI F. Nazar	2.1	3	0.66	0	21%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	2.1	2	0.68	1	27%	1
NYR A. Lafrenière	1.9	2	0.58	0	22%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.9	2	0.41	0	20%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.9	3	0.52	0	21%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.7	1	0.64	1	20%	0
NYR B. Berard	1.7	0	0.26	0	13%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.5	3	0.40	1	17%	0
NYR C. Sheary	1.5	3	0.38	0	14%	0
NYR V. Gavrikov	1.5	2	0.44	0	10%	0
NYR J. Brodzinski	1.5	0	0.34	0	14%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.3	1	0.64	0	20%	0
NYR B. Schneider	1.3	1	0.31	0	8%	0
CHI O. Moore	1.3	0	0.40	0	12%	0
CHI A. Levshunov	1.3	1	0.39	0	4%	0
NYR S. Morrow	1.3	1	0.26	0	5%	0
NYR N. Laba	1.2	2	0.31	0	15%	0
CHI J. Dickinson	1.2	0	0.31	1	14%	0
NYR W. Borgen	1.2	2	0.26	0	7%	0
NYR M. Robertson	1.1	0	0.18	0	5%	0
CHI C. Dach	1.1	0	0.24	0	10%	0
NYR C. Soucy	1.1	1	0.25	0	8%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	1.1	1	0.18	0	4%	0
CHI L. Crevier	1.1	3	0.20	1	5%	1
CHI A. Vlasic	1.0	0	0.21	0	3%	0
CHI M. Grzelcyk	0.9	0	0.22	1	1%	0
CHI C. Murphy	0.9	2	0.14	0	3%	0
NYR S. Carrick	0.8	0	0.17	0	7%	0
CHI S. Lafferty	0.8	0	0.17	0	9%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.