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Game Recap
NYR2
DET0
NYR beat DET 2-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.12 expected goals to 1.59. D. Garand stopped 22 of 22.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 1st 5:12NYRS. DurziPP0.10 xG
- 3rd 18:44NYRE. TolvanenEN0.60 xG
Team Stats
NYRDET
21Shots on goal22
3.12Expected goals1.59
42Shot attempts44
165v5 shots on goal19
1/4Power play0/2
26Hits29
13Blocked shots12
11Penalty minutes15
11Giveaways13
5Takeaways3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
NYR 3.12 xGDET 1.59 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
NYR Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Perreault | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 | 2:03 |
| T. Kartye | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0:06 |
| W. Cuylle | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 | 2:06 |
| E. Tolvanen | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:26 | 2:15 |
| A. Lafrenière | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:30 | 5:29 |
| M. Zibanejad | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:21 | 5:01 |
| P. Dorofeyev | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:30 | 5:32 |
| J. Miller | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:28 | 4:54 |
| J. Veleno | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:34 | 0:00 |
| O. Bjorkstrand | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 2:35 |
| N. Laba | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0:10 |
| J. Chmelar | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:11 | 0:06 |
| A. Fox | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:50 | 5:17 |
| S. Durzi | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19:19 | 2:18 |
| M. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:56 | 0:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:07 | 0:06 |
| B. Schneider | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:36 | 0:27 |
| A. Smits | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:26 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Garand | 22 | 22 | 0 | 1.000 | 60:00 | Win |
| I. Shesterkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
DET Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Copp | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 22:17 | 2:06 |
| L. Raymond | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 20:01 | 2:04 |
| A. DeBrincat | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:43 | 2:07 |
| J. Compher | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:28 | 0:03 |
| V. Arvidsson | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 16:17 | 2:06 |
| M. Rasmussen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0:57 |
| E. Finnie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 | 1:46 |
| M. Kasper | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:50 | 0:57 |
| K. Kolesar | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:23 | 0:07 |
| M. Appleton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0:00 |
| N. Danielson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:41 | 0:59 |
| M. Brandsegg-Nygård | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:39 | 0:56 |
| M. Seider | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 25:16 | 2:16 |
| J. Faulk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:29 | 1:41 |
| A. Johansson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:10 | 0:07 |
| B. Chiarot | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:31 | 0:02 |
| A. Johansson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:29 | 0:00 |
| A. Sandin-Pellikka | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:27 | 1:46 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gibson | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 59:02 | Loss |
| D. Tarasov | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
NYR
Line 1M. Zibanejad14:47A. Lafrenière15:39G. Perreault13:21
Line 2J. Miller11:33P. Dorofeyev11:58O. Bjorkstrand10:47
Line 3J. Veleno11:42J. Chmelar9:05T. Kartye12:44
Line 4W. Cuylle11:09N. Laba10:59E. Tolvanen7:50
Pair 1M. Pettersson18:30S. Durzi15:42
Pair 2V. Gavrikov19:26A. Fox15:03
Pair 3B. Schneider15:04A. Smits11:26
DET
Line 1A. Copp15:47L. Raymond16:26A. DeBrincat16:24
Line 2J. Compher13:05V. Arvidsson13:13E. Finnie11:37
Line 3M. Rasmussen10:47K. Kolesar9:42M. Kasper9:04
Line 4N. Danielson8:42M. Brandsegg-Nygård8:38M. Appleton7:12
Pair 1J. Faulk18:40A. Johansson18:05
Pair 2M. Seider17:42A. Johansson13:25
Pair 3B. Chiarot15:46A. Sandin-Pellikka12:30
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
Prop Results
4 of 17 overs hit (24%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | SOG | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET A. DeBrincat | 3.5 | +100 | -130 | 1 | Under |
| NYR A. Lafrenière | 2.5 | +150 | -165 | 1 | Under |
| DET L. Raymond | 2.5 | +125 | -146 | 2 | Under |
| DET M. Seider | 2.5 | +130 | -165 | 2 | Under |
| NYR M. Zibanejad | 2.5 | +130 | -145 | 1 | Under |
| NYR P. Dorofeyev | 2.5 | -125 | +104 | 2 | Under |
| DET V. Arvidsson | 2.5 | -118 | -110 | 1 | Under |
| DET A. Copp | 1.5 | +105 | -130 | 1 | Under |
| NYR A. Fox | 1.5 | +110 | -105 | 2 | Over |
| DET E. Finnie | 1.5 | -120 | -115 | 1 | Under |
| NYR E. Tolvanen | 1.5 | -105 | -120 | 1 | Under |
| NYR G. Perreault | 1.5 | +115 | -150 | 2 | Over |
| DET J. Faulk | 1.5 | -110 | +100 | 1 | Under |
| NYR J. Miller | 1.5 | -160 | +142 | 2 | Over |
| NYR O. Bjorkstrand | 1.5 | -104 | -120 | 0 | Under |
| NYR V. Gavrikov | 1.5 | +130 | -150 | 0 | Under |
| NYR W. Cuylle | 1.5 | -125 | +100 | 2 | Over |
2 of 34 overs hit (6%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | G | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET A. Copp | 0.5 | +340 | -420 | 0 | Under |
| DET A. DeBrincat | 0.5 | +135 | -170 | 0 | Under |
| NYR A. Fox | 0.5 | +600 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| DET A. Johansson | 0.5 | +1300 | -4000 | 0 | Under |
| NYR A. Lafrenière | 0.5 | +260 | -360 | 0 | Under |
| DET A. Sandin-Pellikka | 0.5 | +1200 | -10000 | 0 | Under |
| DET B. Chiarot | 0.5 | +1600 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| NYR B. Schneider | 0.5 | +1550 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
| DET E. Finnie | 0.5 | +330 | -550 | 0 | Under |
| NYR E. Tolvanen | 0.5 | +430 | -750 | 1 | Over |
| NYR G. Perreault | 0.5 | +360 | -500 | 0 | Under |
| NYR J. Chmelar | 0.5 | +600 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| DET J. Compher | 0.5 | +600 | -900 | 0 | Under |
| DET J. Faulk | 0.5 | +700 | -2000 | 0 | Under |
| NYR J. Miller | 0.5 | +290 | -420 | 0 | Under |
| NYR J. Veleno | 0.5 | +1300 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
| DET K. Kolesar | 0.5 | +850 | – | 0 | Under |
| DET L. Raymond | 0.5 | +230 | -310 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Appleton | 0.5 | +700 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Brandsegg-Nygård | 0.5 | +800 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Kasper | 0.5 | +475 | -800 | 0 | Under |
| NYR M. Pettersson | 0.5 | +2100 | -10000 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Rasmussen | 0.5 | +650 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Seider | 0.5 | +450 | -750 | 0 | Under |
| NYR M. Zibanejad | 0.5 | +210 | -290 | 0 | Under |
| DET N. Danielson | 0.5 | +900 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| NYR N. Laba | 0.5 | +700 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| NYR O. Bjorkstrand | 0.5 | +425 | -700 | 0 | Under |
| NYR P. Dorofeyev | 0.5 | +200 | -240 | 0 | Under |
| NYR S. Durzi | 0.5 | +850 | -2000 | 1 | Over |
| NYR T. Kartye | 0.5 | +1000 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| DET V. Arvidsson | 0.5 | +210 | -290 | 0 | Under |
| NYR V. Gavrikov | 0.5 | +1200 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| NYR W. Cuylle | 0.5 | +360 | -650 | 0 | Under |
3 of 25 overs hit (12%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET A. Copp | 0.5 | +165 | -215 | 0 | Under |
| DET A. DeBrincat | 0.5 | +125 | -155 | 0 | Under |
| NYR A. Fox | 0.5 | +108 | -125 | 1 | Over |
| DET A. Johansson | 0.5 | +650 | -1100 | 0 | Under |
| NYR A. Lafrenière | 0.5 | +175 | -230 | 0 | Under |
| DET E. Finnie | 0.5 | +240 | -330 | 0 | Under |
| NYR E. Tolvanen | 0.5 | +330 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| NYR G. Perreault | 0.5 | +285 | -400 | 1 | Over |
| DET J. Compher | 0.5 | +260 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| DET J. Faulk | 0.5 | +260 | -360 | 0 | Under |
| NYR J. Miller | 0.5 | +126 | -165 | 0 | Under |
| DET L. Raymond | 0.5 | +125 | -150 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Appleton | 0.5 | +475 | -750 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Brandsegg-Nygård | 0.5 | +400 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| NYR M. Pettersson | 0.5 | +320 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Seider | 0.5 | +130 | -170 | 0 | Under |
| NYR M. Zibanejad | 0.5 | +124 | -160 | 0 | Under |
| DET N. Danielson | 0.5 | +500 | -800 | 0 | Under |
| NYR N. Laba | 0.5 | +340 | -500 | 0 | Under |
| NYR O. Bjorkstrand | 0.5 | +240 | -340 | 0 | Under |
| NYR P. Dorofeyev | 0.5 | +215 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| NYR S. Durzi | 0.5 | +255 | -360 | 0 | Under |
| DET V. Arvidsson | 0.5 | +190 | – | 0 | Under |
| NYR V. Gavrikov | 0.5 | +240 | -340 | 0 | Under |
| NYR W. Cuylle | 0.5 | +310 | -450 | 1 | Over |
5 of 25 overs hit (20%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | P | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET A. Copp | 0.5 | +105 | -120 | 0 | Under |
| DET A. DeBrincat | 0.5 | -200 | +160 | 0 | Under |
| NYR A. Fox | 0.5 | -130 | +105 | 1 | Over |
| DET A. Johansson | 0.5 | +425 | -650 | 0 | Under |
| NYR A. Lafrenière | 0.5 | -105 | -115 | 0 | Under |
| DET E. Finnie | 0.5 | +120 | -160 | 0 | Under |
| NYR E. Tolvanen | 0.5 | +170 | -235 | 1 | Over |
| NYR G. Perreault | 0.5 | +145 | -175 | 1 | Over |
| DET J. Compher | 0.5 | +165 | -200 | 0 | Under |
| DET J. Faulk | 0.5 | +170 | -230 | 0 | Under |
| NYR J. Miller | 0.5 | -132 | +105 | 0 | Under |
| DET L. Raymond | 0.5 | -150 | +125 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Appleton | 0.5 | +265 | -380 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Brandsegg-Nygård | 0.5 | +250 | -350 | 0 | Under |
| NYR M. Pettersson | 0.5 | +265 | -370 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Seider | 0.5 | -110 | -115 | 0 | Under |
| NYR M. Zibanejad | 0.5 | -150 | +125 | 0 | Under |
| DET N. Danielson | 0.5 | +310 | -450 | 0 | Under |
| NYR N. Laba | 0.5 | +225 | -310 | 0 | Under |
| NYR O. Bjorkstrand | 0.5 | +140 | -190 | 0 | Under |
| NYR P. Dorofeyev | 0.5 | -120 | -110 | 0 | Under |
| NYR S. Durzi | 0.5 | +190 | -260 | 1 | Over |
| DET V. Arvidsson | 0.5 | -120 | – | 0 | Under |
| NYR V. Gavrikov | 0.5 | +180 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| NYR W. Cuylle | 0.5 | +150 | -200 | 1 | Over |
0 of 9 overs hit (0%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | PPP | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET A. Copp | 0.5 | +280 | -550 | 0 | Under |
| DET A. DeBrincat | 0.5 | +160 | -240 | 0 | Under |
| NYR A. Fox | 0.5 | +180 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| NYR A. Lafrenière | 0.5 | +250 | -425 | 0 | Under |
| NYR J. Miller | 0.5 | +195 | -280 | 0 | Under |
| DET L. Raymond | 0.5 | +190 | -290 | 0 | Under |
| DET M. Seider | 0.5 | +185 | -280 | 0 | Under |
| NYR M. Zibanejad | 0.5 | +185 | -260 | 0 | Under |
| NYR P. Dorofeyev | 0.5 | +220 | -350 | 0 | Under |
0 of 2 overs hit (0%).
Each player's main line (the one most books posted) at the last price before puck drop, the best price on each side there, and what he did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NYR 2.9, DET 3.3 | NYR 2, DET 0 |
| Total goals | 6.2 | 2 |
| Shots on goal | NYR 24.0, DET 29.5 | NYR 21, DET 22 |
| Win chance | DET 57% | NYR won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET A. DeBrincat | 3.4 | 1 | 0.97 | 0 | 34% | 0 |
| NYR P. Dorofeyev | 2.6 | 2 | 0.61 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| NYR M. Zibanejad | 2.3 | 1 | 0.82 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| DET M. Seider | 2.2 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| DET L. Raymond | 2.2 | 2 | 0.89 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| DET V. Arvidsson | 2.1 | 1 | 0.56 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| NYR A. Lafrenière | 1.9 | 1 | 0.61 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| DET J. Faulk | 1.8 | 1 | 0.42 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| NYR J. Miller | 1.7 | 2 | 0.73 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| DET M. Kasper | 1.7 | 4 | 0.33 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| NYR W. Cuylle | 1.7 | 2 | 0.38 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| NYR E. Tolvanen | 1.6 | 1 | 0.38 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| DET A. Copp | 1.6 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| DET E. Finnie | 1.5 | 1 | 0.40 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| DET M. Brandsegg-Nygård | 1.5 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| NYR O. Bjorkstrand | 1.5 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| NYR A. Fox | 1.4 | 2 | 0.74 | 1 | 12% | 0 |
| NYR G. Perreault | 1.4 | 2 | 0.44 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| DET B. Chiarot | 1.4 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| DET J. Compher | 1.3 | 1 | 0.43 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| NYR V. Gavrikov | 1.3 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| NYR S. Durzi | 1.2 | 2 | 0.36 | 1 | 7% | 1 |
| DET M. Appleton | 1.1 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| DET N. Danielson | 1.1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| NYR B. Schneider | 1.1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| NYR T. Kartye | 1.1 | 1 | 0.34 | 1 | 13% | 0 |
| DET M. Rasmussen | 1.0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NYR N. Laba | 1.0 | 2 | 0.32 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| DET A. Sandin-Pellikka | 1.0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| NYR J. Chmelar | 1.0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| NYR M. Pettersson | 0.8 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| NYR J. Veleno | 0.8 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| DET A. Johansson | 0.8 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| DET K. Kolesar | 0.7 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 24 of 34 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.