Game Recap: NYR 6, WPG 3, March 12, 2026

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Game Recap

NYR6

FinalThu, Mar 12, 2026Every game that night

WPG3

NYR beat WPG 6-3 despite fewer good chances: 2.42 expected goals to 3.20. WPG outshot NYR 26 to 17. T. Kartye led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). I. Shesterkin stopped 23 of 26.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYR	1	1	4	6
WPG	0	2	1	3

1st 1:08NYRA. FoxPP0.05 xG
2nd 2:21WPGI. Rosen0.20 xG
2nd 7:36NYRA. Lafrenière0.08 xG
2nd 17:49WPGK. Connor0.14 xG
3rd 1:15NYRT. Kartye0.09 xG
3rd 4:19WPGG. Vilardi0.44 xG
3rd 6:57NYRG. Perreault0.10 xG
3rd 11:08NYRA. Edstrom0.06 xG
3rd 19:09NYRN. LabaEN0.94 xG

Team Stats

NYRWPG

17Shots on goal26

2.42Expected goals3.20

48Shot attempts62

155v5 shots on goal23

1/2Power play0/1

24Hits23

18Blocked shots15

2Penalty minutes4

19Giveaways18

6Takeaways1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

NYR 2.42 xGWPG 3.20 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

NYR17 on goal, 6 scored

WPG26 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

NYR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
V. Trocheck	C	0	2	2	1	4	3	0	0	19:32	1:41
G. Perreault	RW	1	1	2	1	0	0	+2	0	19:09	1:17
A. Lafrenière	LW	1	1	2	1	0	1	+2	0	18:19	1:17
T. Kartye	LW	1	1	2	2	4	1	+1	0	14:27	0:00
M. Zibanejad	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+2	0	18:23	1:17
C. Sheary	LW	0	1	1	1	0	0	+1	0	15:08	0:52
N. Laba	C	1	0	1	1	4	1	+1	0	14:24	0:00
A. Edstrom	C	1	0	1	2	1	1	-1	0	13:45	0:00
W. Cuylle	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-2	0	17:34	0:52
J. Brodzinski	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	10:06	0:28
J. Parssinen	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	9:30	0:00
J. Chmelar	RW	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	8:45	0:00
B. Schneider	D	0	2	2	0	3	2	+2	0	22:25	0:00
M. Robertson	D	0	1	1	3	1	1	+1	0	21:22	0:15
A. Fox	D	1	0	1	1	0	4	0	0	21:11	1:54
W. Borgen	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	18:15	0:00
V. Gavrikov	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	19:32	0:52
U. Vaakanainen	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	16:13	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Shesterkin	26	23	3	.885	60:00	Win
J. Quick	0	0	0	–	0:00

WPG Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Scheifele	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	-1	0	24:21	1:17
K. Connor	LW	1	0	1	5	2	1	-1	0	23:25	1:13
G. Vilardi	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	-2	2	17:19	1:13
C. Perfetti	C	0	1	1	1	0	1	-1	0	15:31	1:16
A. Lowry	C	0	1	1	1	6	0	-1	0	13:57	0:02
I. Rosen	RW	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	11:15	0:38
G. Nyquist	RW	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	9:18	0:42
A. Iafallo	LW	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	17:36	0:00
M. Barron	C	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	13:31	0:04
J. Toews	C	0	0	0	2	0	2	-1	0	13:19	0:43
C. Koepke	LW	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	11:02	0:00
B. Lambert	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	10:14	0:47
E. Salomonsson	D	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	2	20:11	0:39
J. Bryson	D	0	1	1	2	0	0	-1	0	13:12	0:00
J. Morrissey	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	0	25:35	1:21
D. DeMelo	D	0	0	0	2	3	1	-1	0	23:18	0:00
D. Samberg	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	+1	0	21:57	0:05
H. Fleury	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	-1	0	14:16	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Hellebuyck	16	11	5	.688	58:34	Loss
E. Comrie	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

NYR

Line 1M. Zibanejad15:49A. Lafrenière16:27G. Perreault17:22

Line 2V. Trocheck16:11W. Cuylle15:58A. Edstrom13:45

Line 3C. Sheary13:33T. Kartye13:03N. Laba13:00

Line 4J. Brodzinski9:38J. Parssinen9:30J. Chmelar8:45

Pair 1B. Schneider20:41M. Robertson20:33

Pair 2V. Gavrikov17:44A. Fox17:33

Pair 3W. Borgen17:06U. Vaakanainen15:27

WPG

Line 1K. Connor19:58M. Scheifele21:38A. Iafallo17:36

Line 2G. Vilardi14:40C. Perfetti13:45A. Lowry12:47

Line 3J. Toews11:40I. Rosen10:37G. Nyquist8:36

Line 4M. Barron12:06C. Koepke10:03B. Lambert9:27

Pair 1D. DeMelo21:09J. Morrissey22:26

Pair 2D. Samberg20:32E. Salomonsson18:36

Pair 3H. Fleury13:44J. Bryson12:45

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	NYR 2.7, WPG 3.1	NYR 6, WPG 3
Total goals	5.8	9
Shots on goal	NYR 24.5, WPG 28.5	NYR 17, WPG 26
Win chance	WPG 57%	NYR won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WPG K. Connor	3.6	5	1.30	1	41%	1
WPG M. Scheifele	2.5	1	1.28	1	39%	0
NYR M. Zibanejad	2.4	0	0.84	1	27%	0
WPG C. Perfetti	2.4	1	0.71	1	23%	0
WPG J. Morrissey	2.2	1	0.78	0	15%	0
NYR A. Lafrenière	2.0	1	0.65	2	23%	1
WPG G. Vilardi	2.0	2	0.86	1	32%	1
NYR A. Fox	1.9	1	0.84	1	14%	1
NYR V. Trocheck	1.9	1	0.74	2	23%	0
NYR W. Cuylle	1.8	1	0.45	0	19%	0
NYR G. Perreault	1.7	1	0.49	2	17%	1
WPG M. Barron	1.5	0	0.32	0	13%	0
WPG D. Samberg	1.5	1	0.29	0	4%	0
NYR V. Gavrikov	1.5	1	0.36	0	9%	0
WPG E. Salomonsson	1.5	1	0.17	1	5%	0
WPG A. Iafallo	1.4	2	0.40	0	16%	0
NYR B. Schneider	1.4	0	0.26	2	6%	0
WPG A. Lowry	1.3	1	0.41	1	16%	0
WPG J. Toews	1.3	2	0.39	0	14%	0
NYR C. Sheary	1.3	1	0.30	1	11%	0
NYR J. Brodzinski	1.2	0	0.28	0	11%	0
NYR M. Robertson	1.2	3	0.23	1	6%	0
WPG G. Nyquist	1.2	1	0.39	1	13%	0
WPG D. DeMelo	1.2	2	0.28	0	5%	0
WPG C. Koepke	1.1	2	0.24	0	11%	0
NYR T. Kartye	1.1	2	0.30	2	12%	1
NYR W. Borgen	1.0	0	0.21	1	5%	0
WPG I. Rosen	1.0	1	0.27	1	11%	1
WPG H. Fleury	1.0	0	0.15	0	3%	0
NYR N. Laba	0.9	1	0.29	1	11%	1
NYR A. Edstrom	0.8	2	0.17	1	9%	1
NYR U. Vaakanainen	0.8	1	0.20	0	2%	0
WPG B. Lambert	0.7	1	0.28	0	11%	0
NYR J. Chmelar	0.7	1	0.15	0	8%	0
NYR J. Parssinen	0.6	0	0.21	0	8%	0
WPG J. Bryson	0.4	2	0.12	1	2%	0

Shots on goal: 24 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.