Game Recap: SEA 3, CHI 2, November 20, 2025

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Game Recap

SEA3

FinalThu, Nov 20, 2025Every game that night

CHI2

SEA beat CHI 3-2, with the chances close: 2.39 expected goals to 2.83. T. Teravainen led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). R. Greene had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.0. J. Daccord stopped 22 of 24.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SEA	0	0	3	3
CHI	0	2	0	2

2nd 0:43CHIT. Bertuzzi0.20 xG
2nd 10:07CHIT. TeravainenPP0.15 xG
3rd 5:09SEAT. Kartye0.12 xG
3rd 7:13SEAS. Wright0.14 xG
3rd 17:42SEAJ. SchwartzPP0.11 xG

Team Stats

SEACHI

27Shots on goal24

2.39Expected goals2.83

47Shot attempts49

215v5 shots on goal20

1/3Power play1/2

16Hits11

10Blocked shots6

2Penalty minutes6

16Giveaways18

4Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SEA 2.39 xGCHI 2.83 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SEA26 on goal, 3 scored

CHI23 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SEA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Marchment	LW	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	20:19	2:03
J. Schwartz	LW	1	0	1	1	0	1	-1	0	16:57	2:15
B. Catton	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	13:43	2:15
S. Wright	C	1	0	1	3	0	2	+1	0	13:31	1:23
T. Kartye	LW	1	0	1	1	2	0	+1	0	8:40	0:00
O. Fisker Molgaard	C	0	1	1	0	1	0	+1	0	6:50	0:00
M. Beniers	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	-1	0	24:08	3:48
J. Eberle	RW	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	21:40	3:42
C. Stephenson	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	18:04	3:45
E. Tolvanen	RW	0	0	0	1	6	0	-1	0	15:51	3:44
F. Gaudreau	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	+2	0	14:25	0:00
R. Winterton	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7:55	0:00
B. Montour	D	0	2	2	3	1	1	+1	0	21:29	2:10
R. Evans	D	0	1	1	1	0	1	+1	0	16:49	0:50
A. Larsson	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	20:17	0:00
R. Lindgren	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	+1	0	19:54	0:00
V. Dunn	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	-1	0	19:21	3:55
J. Oleksiak	D	0	0	0	3	1	1	+1	0	17:01	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Daccord	24	22	2	.917	60:00	Win
P. Grubauer	0	0	0	–	0:00

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Teravainen	C	1	1	2	2	0	0	+1	0	21:26	1:12
T. Bertuzzi	LW	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	20:50	1:14
F. Nazar	C	0	1	1	4	0	0	+1	2	20:09	1:25
C. Bedard	C	0	0	0	5	0	0	-2	2	21:43	1:05
R. Greene	C	0	0	0	4	0	2	-1	0	20:08	1:57
R. Donato	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:30	1:54
I. Mikheyev	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	2	15:57	0:00
O. Moore	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	14:21	0:00
S. Lafferty	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	11:03	0:17
C. Dach	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	10:20	0:48
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6:20	0:32
A. Levshunov	D	0	1	1	2	2	0	-2	0	15:20	1:14
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	21:11	0:17
W. Kaiser	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	18:04	0:00
M. Grzelcyk	D	0	0	0	3	2	0	-2	0	17:47	1:43
S. Rinzel	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	16:26	1:52
C. Murphy	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:23	0:00
L. Crevier	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	13:37	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Knight	27	24	3	.889	58:27	Loss
A. Soderblom	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

SEA

Line 1J. Eberle17:05M. Beniers18:21M. Marchment18:05

Line 2C. Stephenson13:10E. Tolvanen12:07J. Schwartz12:41

Line 3S. Wright12:08B. Catton11:28F. Gaudreau11:33

Line 4T. Kartye7:17R. Winterton7:30O. Molgaard6:50

Pair 1B. Montour18:28R. Lindgren16:40

Pair 2A. Larsson16:55V. Dunn15:26

Pair 3J. Oleksiak15:47R. Evans15:24

CHI

Line 1C. Bedard19:05R. Greene15:13T. Bertuzzi18:03

Line 2R. Donato13:59I. Mikheyev14:08T. Teravainen15:12

Line 3F. Nazar15:25O. Moore12:38

Line 4S. Lafferty10:46C. Dach8:28

Pair 1A. Vlasic17:31S. Rinzel14:34

Pair 2M. Grzelcyk16:04A. Levshunov12:33

Pair 3C. Murphy11:00W. Kaiser15:26

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	SEA 3.1, CHI 2.9	SEA 3, CHI 2
Total goals	6.0	5
Shots on goal	SEA 27.8, CHI 25.4	SEA 27, CHI 24
Win chance	SEA 53%	SEA won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
CHI C. Bedard	2.6	5	0.96	0	29%	0
SEA B. Montour	2.4	3	0.51	2	16%	0
SEA J. Eberle	2.3	4	0.73	0	26%	0
SEA J. Schwartz	2.3	1	0.58	1	25%	1
SEA V. Dunn	2.1	2	0.66	0	14%	0
SEA M. Marchment	2.1	1	0.60	1	23%	0
CHI F. Nazar	1.9	4	0.64	1	23%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.9	0	0.52	0	24%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	1.9	1	0.68	2	27%	1
SEA M. Beniers	1.9	3	0.65	0	24%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.8	0	0.72	0	23%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.8	0	0.57	0	23%	0
SEA E. Tolvanen	1.7	1	0.49	0	21%	0
CHI T. Teravainen	1.5	2	0.78	2	24%	1
CHI O. Moore	1.4	0	0.53	0	15%	0
CHI S. Rinzel	1.3	1	0.28	0	5%	0
SEA C. Stephenson	1.3	2	0.71	0	21%	0
SEA A. Larsson	1.3	1	0.32	0	8%	0
SEA S. Wright	1.2	3	0.48	1	19%	1
SEA F. Gaudreau	1.2	0	0.32	0	15%	0
CHI C. Dach	1.1	0	0.26	0	11%	0
SEA R. Winterton	1.1	0	0.19	0	10%	0
CHI A. Levshunov	1.1	2	0.42	1	3%	0
SEA T. Kartye	1.1	1	0.26	1	13%	1
CHI A. Vlasic	1.0	0	0.25	0	3%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	1.0	2	0.19	0	4%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.0	4	0.39	0	17%	0
SEA R. Lindgren	0.9	1	0.28	0	5%	0
CHI M. Grzelcyk	0.9	3	0.27	0	2%	0
CHI C. Murphy	0.9	0	0.17	0	4%	0
CHI L. Crevier	0.9	0	0.25	0	6%	0
SEA B. Catton	0.9	0	0.23	1	9%	0
SEA J. Oleksiak	0.8	3	0.21	0	5%	0
SEA R. Evans	0.8	1	0.28	1	6%	0
CHI S. Lafferty	0.7	0	0.18	0	9%	0

Shots on goal: 16 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.