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Game Recap
SEA1
LAK2
LAK beat SEA 2-1, with the chances close: 2.10 expected goals to 1.66. A. Kopitar led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). W. Foegele had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.2. D. Rittich stopped 19 of 20.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| LAK | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
- 2nd 4:19LAKA. Kempe0.13 xG
- 2nd 6:03LAKQ. ByfieldPP0.10 xG
- 3rd 18:26SEAB. Montour0.04 xG
Team Stats
SEALAK
20Shots on goal21
1.66Expected goals2.10
44Shot attempts57
145v5 shots on goal18
0/3Power play1/1
24Hits24
15Blocked shots15
4Penalty minutes8
14Giveaways11
3Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
SEA 1.66 xGLAK 2.10 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
SEA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Gourde | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:36 | 0:09 |
| O. Bjorkstrand | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:07 | 2:53 |
| C. Stephenson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 20:32 | 4:35 |
| J. Schwartz | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 20:19 | 5:10 |
| J. McCann | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 | 3:08 |
| M. Beniers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:57 | 3:10 |
| D. Sprong | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:36 | 4:09 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:42 | 1:22 |
| B. Tanev | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 | 0:00 |
| E. Tolvanen | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:22 | 0:43 |
| T. Kartye | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:14 | 0:09 |
| B. Meyers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:39 | 0:00 |
| B. Montour | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 25:04 | 4:19 |
| R. Evans | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 22:13 | 1:19 |
| A. Larsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 21:06 | 0:07 |
| J. Oleksiak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:23 | 0:00 |
| J. Mahura | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 | 0:00 |
| W. Borgen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Daccord | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 56:38 | Loss |
| P. Grubauer | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:17 | 1:00 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:24 | 1:00 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:56 | 1:00 |
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 | 1:00 |
| A. Turcotte | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:59 | 0:00 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:55 | 0:00 |
| P. Danault | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:41 | 0:00 |
| W. Foegele | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | 0:00 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 12:48 | 1:00 |
| T. Lewis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0:00 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:48 | 0:00 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0:00 |
| M. Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:55 | 0:00 |
| V. Gavrikov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25:19 | 0:00 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22:17 | 0:00 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 18:18 | 0:00 |
| J. Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0:00 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rittich | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 60:00 | Win |
| P. Copley | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SEA 2.6, LAK 3.0 | SEA 1, LAK 2 |
| Total goals | 5.5 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | SEA 24.7, LAK 29.1 | SEA 20, LAK 21 |
| Win chance | LAK 57% | LAK won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 3.0 | 4 | 0.90 | 1 | 35% | 1 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.6 | 1 | 0.85 | 1 | 29% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.5 | 0 | 0.59 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| SEA J. McCann | 2.4 | 4 | 0.78 | 0 | 31% | 0 |
| LAK W. Foegele | 2.2 | 6 | 0.49 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| SEA B. Montour | 2.2 | 3 | 0.51 | 1 | 12% | 1 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 2.2 | 3 | 0.50 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.2 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| SEA O. Bjorkstrand | 2.0 | 0 | 0.57 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| SEA J. Schwartz | 2.0 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 1.9 | 1 | 0.58 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| SEA D. Sprong | 1.8 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK P. Danault | 1.7 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| SEA M. Beniers | 1.5 | 0 | 0.49 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.5 | 1 | 0.83 | 2 | 24% | 0 |
| SEA A. Burakovsky | 1.5 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| SEA Y. Gourde | 1.4 | 1 | 0.41 | 1 | 15% | 0 |
| SEA E. Tolvanen | 1.3 | 1 | 0.35 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| LAK V. Gavrikov | 1.3 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| SEA A. Larsson | 1.3 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK J. Spence | 1.3 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK T. Lewis | 1.3 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| SEA B. Tanev | 1.2 | 2 | 0.32 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| SEA C. Stephenson | 1.2 | 0 | 0.66 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| LAK M. Anderson | 1.2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA R. Evans | 1.1 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.1 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA J. Oleksiak | 1.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SEA T. Kartye | 1.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK A. Turcotte | 1.0 | 2 | 0.24 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| SEA W. Borgen | 0.9 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| LAK T. Jeannot | 0.8 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.8 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SEA J. Mahura | 0.7 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| SEA B. Meyers | 0.6 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.5 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.