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Game Recap
SEA4
LAK2
SEA beat LAK 4-2, with the chances close: 2.56 expected goals to 2.55. A. Kuzmenko led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Kuzmenko had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. J. Daccord stopped 25 of 27.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| LAK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
- 1st 7:42LAKA. KuzmenkoPP0.12 xG
- 1st 9:16SEAS. Wright0.14 xG
- 1st 10:14SEAA. Larsson0.19 xG
- 1st 15:21SEAV. DunnPP0.07 xG
- 2nd 10:27LAKA. KuzmenkoPP0.15 xG
- 3rd 5:50SEAS. WrightPP0.13 xG
Team Stats
SEALAK
23Shots on goal27
2.56Expected goals2.55
48Shot attempts63
125v5 shots on goal16
2/6Power play2/4
17Hits18
17Blocked shots15
12Penalty minutes16
12Giveaways11
5Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
SEA 2.56 xGLAK 2.55 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
SEA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Stephenson | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:23 | 5:51 |
| F. Gaudreau | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:16 | 3:33 |
| S. Wright | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:01 | 3:21 |
| J. McCann | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 | 7:00 |
| R. Winterton | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:01 | 0:33 |
| K. Kakko | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:19 | 2:33 |
| M. Beniers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:41 | 6:51 |
| E. Tolvanen | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:38 | 3:28 |
| J. Eberle | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:23 | 6:37 |
| T. Kartye | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 | 0:00 |
| O. Fisker Molgaard | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:42 | 0:00 |
| J. Melanson | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:25 | 0:00 |
| A. Larsson | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 0 | 21:14 | 1:11 |
| V. Dunn | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:50 | 6:00 |
| B. Montour | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:19 | 4:13 |
| R. Lindgren | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 17:56 | 1:13 |
| J. Oleksiak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:09 | 0:00 |
| R. Evans | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:42 | 0:16 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Daccord | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 60:00 | Win |
| P. Grubauer | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
LAK Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Fiala | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:23 | 4:34 |
| A. Kuzmenko | LW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:57 | 3:34 |
| A. Kempe | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 18:39 | 4:34 |
| Q. Byfield | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:21 | 0:41 |
| A. Kopitar | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:43 | 1:51 |
| T. Moore | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:44 | 0:00 |
| A. Laferriere | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 14:15 | 0:41 |
| J. Armia | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:48 | 0:00 |
| C. Perry | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:00 | 4:34 |
| S. Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 8:29 | 0:00 |
| J. Malott | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 7:48 | 0:00 |
| T. Ward | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 7:25 | 0:30 |
| B. Clarke | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 22:05 | 4:34 |
| D. Doughty | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 24:32 | 0:41 |
| B. Dumoulin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:42 | 0:01 |
| J. Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 17:56 | 0:00 |
| C. Ceci | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:30 | 0:00 |
| J. Moverare | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 7:11 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kuemper | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 60:00 | Loss |
| A. Forsberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
SEA
Line 1C. Stephenson12:21E. Tolvanen12:21F. Gaudreau11:06
Line 2J. Eberle10:48M. Beniers10:46J. McCann10:33
Line 3R. Winterton11:14S. Wright10:34K. Kakko9:46
Line 4T. Kartye7:43O. Molgaard6:42J. Melanson6:25
Pair 1A. Larsson14:54V. Dunn13:19
Pair 2J. Oleksiak15:34B. Montour14:34
Pair 3R. Lindgren12:06R. Evans10:19
LAK
Line 1A. Kuzmenko14:02K. Fiala13:03Q. Byfield12:59
Line 2J. Armia9:54T. Moore10:02A. Kopitar11:51
Line 3C. Perry8:26A. Kempe11:11A. Laferriere9:27
Line 4J. Malott7:11T. Ward6:55S. Helenius8:29
Pair 1D. Doughty16:30B. Dumoulin16:26
Pair 2J. Edmundson10:35B. Clarke15:03
Pair 3C. Ceci11:50J. Moverare7:11
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SEA 2.7, LAK 3.3 | SEA 4, LAK 2 |
| Total goals | 6.0 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | SEA 24.2, LAK 29.2 | SEA 23, LAK 27 |
| Win chance | LAK 61% | SEA won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK A. Kempe | 2.8 | 4 | 0.92 | 1 | 35% | 0 |
| LAK A. Laferriere | 2.7 | 2 | 0.59 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| LAK K. Fiala | 2.6 | 3 | 0.81 | 2 | 32% | 0 |
| LAK B. Clarke | 2.3 | 1 | 0.59 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| SEA J. McCann | 2.2 | 3 | 0.64 | 1 | 25% | 0 |
| SEA B. Montour | 2.2 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| LAK Q. Byfield | 2.0 | 0 | 0.65 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| LAK T. Moore | 2.0 | 1 | 0.48 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK C. Perry | 1.9 | 2 | 0.60 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| SEA J. Eberle | 1.8 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| SEA M. Beniers | 1.7 | 2 | 0.51 | 0 | 19% | 0 |
| SEA E. Tolvanen | 1.7 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SEA V. Dunn | 1.6 | 4 | 0.45 | 1 | 9% | 1 |
| LAK D. Doughty | 1.6 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| LAK J. Armia | 1.4 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kuzmenko | 1.4 | 4 | 0.58 | 2 | 24% | 2 |
| SEA S. Wright | 1.3 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 17% | 2 |
| LAK J. Edmundson | 1.3 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| SEA K. Kakko | 1.2 | 1 | 0.37 | 1 | 13% | 0 |
| SEA R. Winterton | 1.2 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 7% | 0 |
| LAK A. Kopitar | 1.2 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| LAK T. Ward | 1.1 | 2 | 0.34 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| SEA C. Stephenson | 1.1 | 0 | 0.54 | 2 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA F. Gaudreau | 1.1 | 0 | 0.30 | 2 | 13% | 0 |
| SEA A. Larsson | 1.0 | 1 | 0.23 | 1 | 5% | 1 |
| LAK J. Malott | 1.0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK C. Ceci | 0.9 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| SEA J. Melanson | 0.9 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| LAK B. Dumoulin | 0.9 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| SEA T. Kartye | 0.8 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| SEA J. Oleksiak | 0.8 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK S. Helenius | 0.8 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| SEA R. Lindgren | 0.7 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| SEA R. Evans | 0.6 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| LAK J. Moverare | 0.4 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 24 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.