Game Recap: SEA 2, MIN 5, April 7, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

SEA2

FinalTue, Apr 7, 2026Every game that night

MIN5

MIN beat SEA 5-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.52 expected goals to 2.65. J. Eriksson Ek led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). A. Larsson had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.3. J. Wallstedt stopped 25 of 27.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SEA	2	0	0	2
MIN	1	2	2	5

1st 10:23SEAB. Montour0.04 xG
1st 11:57MINM. Boldy0.16 xG
1st 13:10SEAA. Larsson0.20 xG
2nd 0:38MINM. Foligno0.21 xG
2nd 12:46MINV. Tarasenko0.26 xG
3rd 6:49MINM. Johansson0.14 xG
3rd 17:17MINJ. Eriksson EkEN0.62 xG

Team Stats

SEAMIN

27Shots on goal29

2.65Expected goals3.52

64Shot attempts46

215v5 shots on goal27

0/3Power play0/1

9Hits15

11Blocked shots18

9Penalty minutes13

14Giveaways20

3Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SEA 2.65 xGMIN 3.52 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SEA27 on goal, 2 scored

MIN28 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SEA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Schwartz	LW	0	1	1	4	0	0	-1	0	16:27	2:50
C. Stephenson	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	-2	0	16:02	3:13
K. Kakko	RW	0	1	1	0	0	0	-1	0	14:41	2:50
M. Beniers	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	18:56	3:10
J. Eberle	RW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	18:26	3:10
B. McMann	C	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	18:26	2:50
J. McCann	LW	0	0	0	4	1	0	-1	0	17:55	3:10
F. Gaudreau	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	16:44	0:00
B. Catton	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	-1	0	13:46	2:47
B. Meyers	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	13:11	0:00
E. Tolvanen	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-2	0	10:43	0:00
O. Fisker Molgaard	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9:31	0:00
A. Larsson	D	1	0	1	4	0	1	+1	0	22:18	0:00
B. Montour	D	1	0	1	3	0	1	-2	2	19:43	2:57
V. Dunn	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	22:18	3:03
R. Evans	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	-3	2	19:23	0:00
R. Lindgren	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-2	0	15:14	0:00
J. Oleksiak	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	5	14:08	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Daccord	28	24	4	.857	58:08	Loss
M. Murray	0	0	0	–	0:00

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Eriksson Ek	C	1	2	3	3	1	2	+3	2	13:09	1:35
M. Boldy	LW	1	1	2	1	0	1	+2	0	14:29	1:35
M. Johansson	LW	1	1	2	1	0	0	+3	0	12:12	0:25
R. Hartman	RW	0	1	1	3	1	0	+1	0	18:27	0:25
M. Foligno	LW	1	0	1	2	2	3	+2	5	12:52	0:00
Y. Trenin	C	0	1	1	1	5	0	0	0	12:34	0:00
V. Tarasenko	RW	1	0	1	2	0	1	-1	2	11:40	0:25
K. Kaprizov	LW	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	20:58	1:35
M. Zuccarello	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	18:28	1:35
M. McCarron	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	+2	0	14:22	0:00
B. Brink	RW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	12:29	0:09
D. Yurov	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	11:53	0:00
J. Spurgeon	D	0	1	1	3	1	3	+3	0	18:29	0:16
Q. Hughes	D	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	25:19	1:35
B. Faber	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+2	2	23:10	0:25
J. Brodin	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	+2	0	18:59	0:00
J. Middleton	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	17:30	0:00
J. Petry	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	15:00	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Wallstedt	27	25	2	.926	60:00	Win
F. Gustavsson	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

SEA

Line 1J. Eberle14:00M. Beniers14:27B. McMann14:27

Line 2J. Schwartz13:09J. McCann13:21F. Gaudreau14:09

Line 3C. Stephenson10:44K. Kakko11:08B. Catton10:15

Line 4E. Tolvanen10:08B. Meyers11:36O. Molgaard9:31

Pair 1A. Larsson19:03V. Dunn17:19

Pair 2R. Evans18:20J. Oleksiak13:43

Pair 3R. Lindgren13:39B. Montour16:06

MIN

Line 1R. Hartman17:16K. Kaprizov18:23M. Zuccarello16:53

Line 2V. Tarasenko11:15D. Yurov11:47B. Brink12:20

Line 3M. McCarron11:07Y. Trenin11:20M. Foligno9:59

Line 4M. Johansson9:13M. Boldy8:49J. Ek8:33

Pair 1Q. Hughes22:03B. Faber18:26

Pair 2J. Spurgeon15:20J. Brodin15:27

Pair 3J. Petry13:11J. Middleton13:43

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	SEA 2.7, MIN 3.7	SEA 2, MIN 5
Total goals	6.4	7
Shots on goal	SEA 25.6, MIN 32.0	SEA 27, MIN 29
Win chance	MIN 66%	MIN won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.3	5	1.26	0	45%	0
MIN M. Boldy	3.1	1	1.04	2	35%	1
MIN J. Ek	2.7	3	0.78	3	28%	1
SEA B. Montour	2.7	3	0.45	1	14%	1
MIN Q. Hughes	2.6	1	1.11	0	13%	0
MIN R. Hartman	2.3	3	0.61	1	25%	0
SEA B. McMann	2.3	2	0.52	0	24%	0
MIN M. Zuccarello	2.1	1	0.90	0	24%	0
MIN B. Faber	2.0	1	0.51	0	10%	0
SEA J. McCann	2.0	4	0.59	0	24%	0
SEA V. Dunn	1.9	1	0.47	0	11%	0
SEA J. Eberle	1.9	0	0.57	0	21%	0
MIN V. Tarasenko	1.9	2	0.59	1	24%	1
SEA M. Beniers	1.7	3	0.50	0	20%	0
SEA E. Tolvanen	1.6	2	0.37	0	16%	0
SEA J. Schwartz	1.5	4	0.39	1	17%	0
MIN B. Brink	1.3	0	0.46	0	17%	0
SEA A. Larsson	1.3	4	0.26	1	6%	1
MIN M. Johansson	1.3	1	0.49	2	15%	1
MIN Y. Trenin	1.3	1	0.28	1	13%	0
SEA B. Catton	1.3	3	0.26	0	11%	0
MIN M. McCarron	1.2	2	0.23	0	11%	0
MIN J. Brodin	1.2	2	0.28	0	5%	0
SEA K. Kakko	1.1	0	0.42	1	15%	0
MIN J. Spurgeon	1.1	3	0.31	1	7%	0
MIN M. Foligno	1.1	2	0.31	1	15%	1
SEA C. Stephenson	1.1	0	0.53	1	17%	0
MIN D. Yurov	1.0	1	0.37	0	14%	0
SEA F. Gaudreau	1.0	0	0.29	0	12%	0
SEA B. Meyers	1.0	0	0.20	0	10%	0
MIN J. Middleton	1.0	0	0.25	0	5%	0
MIN J. Petry	0.8	0	0.20	0	3%	0
SEA J. Oleksiak	0.8	1	0.14	0	4%	0
SEA O. Molgaard	0.8	0	0.20	0	7%	0
SEA R. Evans	0.8	0	0.23	0	7%	0
SEA R. Lindgren	0.7	0	0.17	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.