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Game Recap
SEA8
MTL2
SEA beat MTL 8-2, with the chances close: 3.13 expected goals to 3.23. B. Montour scored three for SEA. J. Daccord stopped 28 of 30.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| MTL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
- 1st 0:25SEAJ. Oleksiak0.02 xG
- 1st 3:49SEAR. Evans0.02 xG
- 1st 7:27SEAJ. SchwartzPP0.20 xG
- 1st 10:33SEAO. Bjorkstrand0.25 xG
- 1st 16:11MTLC. Caufield0.02 xG
- 2nd 1:32SEAB. MontourPP0.05 xG
- 2nd 8:44SEAB. Montour0.20 xG
- 3rd 14:12SEAB. MontourPP0.13 xG
- 3rd 15:14SEAE. Tolvanen0.26 xG
- 3rd 15:28MTLJ. Anderson0.11 xG
Team Stats
SEAMTL
23Shots on goal30
3.13Expected goals3.23
44Shot attempts72
145v5 shots on goal21
3/6Power play0/4
16Hits19
17Blocked shots13
12Penalty minutes26
12Giveaways11
4Takeaways2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
SEA 3.13 xGMTL 3.23 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
SEA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Stephenson | C | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 | 2:35 |
| J. Schwartz | LW | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:23 | 2:42 |
| J. McCann | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:53 | 1:58 |
| O. Bjorkstrand | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 10:43 | 3:20 |
| M. Beniers | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:32 | 1:48 |
| E. Tolvanen | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:22 | 1:44 |
| J. Eberle | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:05 | 1:43 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 | 1:05 |
| Y. Gourde | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:08 | 1:45 |
| B. Tanev | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 17:01 | 1:07 |
| T. Kartye | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 | 1:45 |
| S. Wright | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:25 | 3:00 |
| B. Montour | D | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:50 | 2:38 |
| J. Oleksiak | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:23 | 1:19 |
| R. Evans | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 | 1:47 |
| J. Mahura | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:28 | 1:07 |
| A. Larsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:31 | 1:19 |
| W. Borgen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18:52 | 1:08 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Daccord | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 59:40 | Win |
| P. Grubauer | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
MTL Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Caufield | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:42 | 4:57 |
| J. Slafkovský | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:10 | 3:02 |
| J. Anderson | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:24 | 0:20 |
| N. Suzuki | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:33 | 5:13 |
| J. Armia | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 16:02 | 2:41 |
| J. Evans | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:45 | 0:20 |
| K. Dach | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 2 | 15:03 | 5:15 |
| A. Newhook | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 14:56 | 4:40 |
| B. Gallagher | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 2:46 |
| O. Kapanen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:05 | 2:25 |
| E. Heineman | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:03 | 0:00 |
| C. Dvorak | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 10:47 | 0:00 |
| M. Matheson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:14 | 5:09 |
| L. Mailloux | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 4 | 18:58 | 0:20 |
| J. Struble | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15:28 | 0:00 |
| L. Hutson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 23:27 | 2:51 |
| A. Xhekaj | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 17:15 | 0:00 |
| D. Savard | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0:01 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Montembeault | 10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 21:00 | Loss |
| C. Primeau | 13 | 10 | 3 | .769 | 37:23 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SEA 3.3, MTL 3.0 | SEA 8, MTL 2 |
| Total goals | 6.4 | 10 |
| Shots on goal | SEA 30.7, MTL 26.9 | SEA 23, MTL 30 |
| Win chance | SEA 55% | SEA won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL C. Caufield | 3.1 | 4 | 0.72 | 1 | 31% | 1 |
| SEA J. McCann | 2.7 | 1 | 0.87 | 2 | 34% | 0 |
| SEA B. Montour | 2.6 | 4 | 0.66 | 4 | 14% | 3 |
| MTL B. Gallagher | 2.1 | 2 | 0.44 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SEA J. Eberle | 2.1 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 25% | 0 |
| SEA O. Bjorkstrand | 2.0 | 2 | 0.59 | 2 | 22% | 1 |
| MTL N. Suzuki | 2.0 | 4 | 0.82 | 0 | 27% | 0 |
| SEA J. Schwartz | 1.9 | 2 | 0.54 | 3 | 22% | 1 |
| MTL J. Armia | 1.9 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SEA M. Beniers | 1.9 | 0 | 0.60 | 1 | 23% | 0 |
| MTL J. Slafkovský | 1.8 | 2 | 0.64 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| SEA A. Burakovsky | 1.8 | 0 | 0.56 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| MTL M. Matheson | 1.8 | 4 | 0.62 | 1 | 11% | 0 |
| MTL K. Dach | 1.7 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| MTL J. Anderson | 1.6 | 2 | 0.34 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| SEA E. Tolvanen | 1.6 | 2 | 0.43 | 1 | 18% | 1 |
| SEA A. Larsson | 1.5 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| SEA Y. Gourde | 1.5 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| SEA R. Evans | 1.4 | 1 | 0.37 | 1 | 6% | 1 |
| SEA J. Oleksiak | 1.4 | 2 | 0.27 | 2 | 5% | 1 |
| SEA C. Stephenson | 1.4 | 1 | 0.78 | 4 | 24% | 0 |
| SEA B. Tanev | 1.4 | 1 | 0.35 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| MTL A. Xhekaj | 1.3 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| MTL A. Newhook | 1.3 | 3 | 0.46 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| MTL O. Kapanen | 1.2 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| SEA S. Wright | 1.2 | 1 | 0.42 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| SEA T. Kartye | 1.2 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| MTL J. Evans | 1.1 | 1 | 0.42 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| MTL L. Mailloux | 1.1 | 2 | 0.32 | 1 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA W. Borgen | 1.1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| MTL L. Hutson | 1.1 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| MTL C. Dvorak | 1.1 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| MTL E. Heineman | 1.0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| MTL J. Struble | 0.9 | 0 | 0.20 | 1 | 5% | 0 |
| SEA J. Mahura | 0.8 | 0 | 0.21 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| MTL D. Savard | 0.8 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 24 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.