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Game Recap
SEA5
SJS8
SJS beat SEA 8-5 despite fewer good chances: 1.80 expected goals to 3.30. C. Stephenson led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). V. Vanecek stopped 26 of 31.
Team Stats
SEASJS
31Shots on goal27
3.30Expected goals1.80
64Shot attempts51
235v5 shots on goal22
2/6Power play0/1
26Hits18
15Blocked shots13
7Penalty minutes17
18Giveaways17
7Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
SEA 3.30 xGSJS 1.80 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
SEA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Stephenson | C | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 16:54 | 5:44 |
| O. Bjorkstrand | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:01 | 5:39 |
| S. Wright | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:48 | 5:42 |
| J. Schwartz | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 18:10 | 5:50 |
| Y. Gourde | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 16:34 | 0:04 |
| B. Tanev | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 14:39 | 0:04 |
| E. Tolvanen | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 | 3:59 |
| J. McCann | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 18:09 | 4:21 |
| M. Beniers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:56 | 4:18 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 | 4:07 |
| T. Kartye | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:10 | 0:04 |
| R. Winterton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0:00 |
| R. Evans | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 20:41 | 4:19 |
| B. Montour | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 22:43 | 5:45 |
| A. Larsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 19:00 | 0:04 |
| J. Oleksiak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 18:26 | 0:00 |
| J. Mahura | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 | 0:00 |
| W. Borgen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 14:04 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Grubauer | 26 | 19 | 7 | .731 | 59:29 | Loss |
| J. Daccord | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SJS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Eklund | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:13 | 0:57 |
| F. Zetterlund | LW | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:28 | 0:57 |
| M. Celebrini | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 15:24 | 1:03 |
| M. Granlund | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:22 | 1:03 |
| W. Smith | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 12:20 | 0:57 |
| K. Kostin | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +2 | 7 | 9:48 | 0:57 |
| A. Wennberg | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 19:19 | 1:03 |
| T. Toffoli | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:17 | 1:03 |
| N. Sturm | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:06 | 0:00 |
| E. Cardwell | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:15 | 0:00 |
| L. Kunin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:05 | 0:00 |
| T. Dellandrea | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:08 | 0:00 |
| J. Walman | D | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 18:23 | 1:03 |
| T. Liljegren | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:52 | 0:57 |
| H. Thrun | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 15:40 | 0:00 |
| M. Ferraro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 24:50 | 0:00 |
| C. Ceci | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 22:16 | 0:00 |
| J. Rutta | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:14 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vanecek | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 60:00 | Win |
| M. Blackwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Storylines That Played Out
As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SEA 3.3, SJS 2.7 | SEA 5, SJS 8 |
| Total goals | 6.0 | 13 |
| Shots on goal | SEA 30.5, SJS 26.9 | SEA 31, SJS 27 |
| Win chance | SEA 60% | SJS won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA B. Montour | 3.0 | 4 | 0.70 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 3.0 | 3 | 0.76 | 2 | 28% | 1 |
| SEA J. McCann | 2.9 | 3 | 1.01 | 0 | 37% | 0 |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 2.8 | 2 | 0.72 | 1 | 31% | 0 |
| SEA J. Schwartz | 2.3 | 0 | 0.66 | 1 | 25% | 0 |
| SJS F. Zetterlund | 2.3 | 1 | 0.59 | 2 | 23% | 0 |
| SEA O. Bjorkstrand | 2.2 | 2 | 0.69 | 2 | 25% | 1 |
| SJS M. Granlund | 2.1 | 3 | 0.82 | 2 | 18% | 1 |
| SJS J. Walman | 2.1 | 4 | 0.38 | 2 | 12% | 2 |
| SEA M. Beniers | 1.9 | 1 | 0.61 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| SEA A. Burakovsky | 1.8 | 0 | 0.59 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| SEA A. Larsson | 1.7 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| SJS W. Eklund | 1.7 | 2 | 0.70 | 2 | 20% | 0 |
| SEA Y. Gourde | 1.6 | 2 | 0.51 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| SEA E. Tolvanen | 1.5 | 1 | 0.43 | 1 | 19% | 0 |
| SEA R. Evans | 1.4 | 1 | 0.47 | 2 | 8% | 0 |
| SJS W. Smith | 1.4 | 2 | 0.41 | 2 | 15% | 1 |
| SEA B. Tanev | 1.4 | 2 | 0.38 | 1 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA C. Stephenson | 1.3 | 1 | 0.81 | 3 | 23% | 1 |
| SEA J. Oleksiak | 1.3 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SJS L. Kunin | 1.2 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| SJS A. Wennberg | 1.2 | 1 | 0.45 | 1 | 16% | 0 |
| SJS T. Liljegren | 1.2 | 1 | 0.31 | 1 | 7% | 1 |
| SJS C. Ceci | 1.1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS M. Ferraro | 1.1 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| SEA R. Winterton | 1.1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SEA T. Kartye | 1.1 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| SEA W. Borgen | 1.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 1.0 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SEA S. Wright | 0.9 | 3 | 0.37 | 2 | 17% | 2 |
| SEA J. Mahura | 0.9 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| SJS J. Rutta | 0.9 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| SJS N. Sturm | 0.8 | 0 | 0.21 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| SJS K. Kostin | 0.7 | 2 | 0.27 | 2 | 13% | 1 |
| SJS H. Thrun | 0.7 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 4% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 22 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.