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Game Recap
SEA5
VAN0
SEA beat VAN 5-0, with the chances close: 2.87 expected goals to 3.00. J. McCann led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). J. Daccord stopped 24 of 24.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 1st 16:42SEAM. Eyssimont0.17 xG
- 2nd 9:49SEAC. Stephenson0.05 xG
- 2nd 16:00SEAS. Wright0.04 xG
- 3rd 8:55SEAA. Burakovsky0.22 xG
- 3rd 16:24SEAA. LarssonEN0.60 xG
Team Stats
SEAVAN
19Shots on goal24
2.87Expected goals3.00
38Shot attempts77
145v5 shots on goal15
0/2Power play0/3
15Hits30
24Blocked shots10
10Penalty minutes18
12Giveaways9
0Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
SEA 2.87 xGVAN 3.00 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
SEA Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCann | LW | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +3 | 0 | 17:37 | 2:04 |
| A. Burakovsky | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:56 | 2:00 |
| C. Stephenson | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:28 | 2:00 |
| S. Wright | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:40 | 2:04 |
| M. Eyssimont | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 11:55 | 0:00 |
| T. Kartye | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 11:06 | 0:00 |
| M. Beniers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:40 | 1:56 |
| J. Eberle | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:44 | 2:16 |
| K. Kakko | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 | 1:44 |
| J. Nyman | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:27 | 1:56 |
| R. Winterton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:22 | 0:00 |
| J. Hayden | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:16 | 0:00 |
| V. Dunn | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 21:05 | 2:01 |
| A. Larsson | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 22:08 | 0:00 |
| R. Evans | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20:23 | 0:00 |
| B. Montour | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:43 | 1:56 |
| J. Oleksiak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:52 | 0:00 |
| C. Fleury | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:39 | 0:03 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Daccord | 24 | 24 | 0 | 1.000 | 60:00 | Win |
| P. Grubauer | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
VAN Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Suter | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 21:39 | 3:26 |
| B. Boeser | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 20:13 | 3:53 |
| C. Garland | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 19:37 | 2:28 |
| J. DeBrusk | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 16:06 | 3:46 |
| K. Sherwood | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:23 | 2:02 |
| D. O'Connor | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 0:00 |
| J. Lekkerimäki | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 13:48 | 3:32 |
| T. Blueger | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:59 | 0:00 |
| L. Karlsson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:39 | 1:44 |
| A. Räty | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 11:16 | 0:30 |
| N. Aman | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 10:17 | 0:00 |
| D. Joshua | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 12 | 10:11 | 0:05 |
| Q. Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 27:45 | 5:30 |
| F. Hronek | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 22:26 | 1:58 |
| M. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 20:00 | 0:30 |
| T. Myers | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 | 0:36 |
| D. Forbort | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 15:23 | 0:00 |
| E. Pettersson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:53 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Demko | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 58:11 | Loss |
| K. Lankinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SEA 3.0, VAN 3.3 | SEA 5, VAN 0 |
| Total goals | 6.3 | 5 |
| Shots on goal | SEA 26.2, VAN 27.1 | SEA 19, VAN 24 |
| Win chance | VAN 55% | SEA won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN Q. Hughes | 2.6 | 1 | 1.15 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| SEA B. Montour | 2.3 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA J. McCann | 2.3 | 2 | 0.68 | 3 | 26% | 0 |
| VAN J. DeBrusk | 2.3 | 3 | 0.68 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| VAN C. Garland | 2.2 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| VAN B. Boeser | 2.1 | 4 | 0.83 | 0 | 33% | 0 |
| VAN P. Suter | 1.9 | 1 | 0.65 | 0 | 26% | 0 |
| VAN K. Sherwood | 1.9 | 3 | 0.56 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| SEA J. Nyman | 1.9 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA V. Dunn | 1.8 | 2 | 0.59 | 2 | 15% | 0 |
| SEA M. Beniers | 1.7 | 2 | 0.55 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| SEA J. Eberle | 1.7 | 1 | 0.58 | 0 | 20% | 0 |
| SEA M. Eyssimont | 1.5 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 9% | 1 |
| VAN F. Hronek | 1.5 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| VAN D. O'Connor | 1.5 | 2 | 0.38 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| SEA K. Kakko | 1.4 | 1 | 0.48 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| SEA A. Burakovsky | 1.3 | 1 | 0.43 | 2 | 14% | 1 |
| VAN T. Myers | 1.3 | 2 | 0.35 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SEA A. Larsson | 1.3 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 8% | 1 |
| SEA S. Wright | 1.2 | 2 | 0.59 | 1 | 22% | 1 |
| VAN T. Blueger | 1.2 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN J. Lekkerimäki | 1.2 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| VAN L. Karlsson | 1.1 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| VAN A. Räty | 1.1 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| VAN D. Joshua | 1.0 | 2 | 0.39 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| SEA C. Stephenson | 1.0 | 1 | 0.63 | 1 | 17% | 1 |
| SEA R. Winterton | 1.0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| VAN M. Pettersson | 0.9 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| SEA J. Hayden | 0.9 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA J. Oleksiak | 0.8 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SEA T. Kartye | 0.8 | 1 | 0.18 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| SEA R. Evans | 0.8 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SEA C. Fleury | 0.8 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| VAN D. Forbort | 0.6 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| VAN E. Pettersson | 0.6 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| VAN N. Aman | 0.6 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 28 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.