Game Recap: SEA 2, WPG 6, April 6, 2026

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Game Recap

SEA2

FinalMon, Apr 6, 2026Every game that night

WPG6

WPG beat SEA 6-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.95 expected goals to 3.10. M. Scheifele led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). E. Tolvanen had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. C. Hellebuyck stopped 22 of 24.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SEA	1	0	1	2
WPG	1	2	3	6

1st 9:17SEAJ. Eberle0.22 xG
1st 12:39WPGJ. ToewsPP0.78 xG
2nd 9:55WPGG. VilardiPP0.25 xG
2nd 12:09WPGK. ConnorPP0.07 xG
3rd 2:28SEAJ. McCann0.05 xG
3rd 5:59WPGB. Lambert0.06 xG
3rd 15:19WPGK. Connor0.19 xG
3rd 17:56WPGV. NamestnikovEN0.64 xG

Team Stats

SEAWPG

24Shots on goal31

3.10Expected goals4.95

56Shot attempts64

245v5 shots on goal25

0/0Power play3/3

16Hits27

10Blocked shots11

6Penalty minutes0

14Giveaways13

5Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SEA 3.10 xGWPG 4.95 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SEA23 on goal, 2 scored

WPG31 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SEA Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
J. Eberle	RW	1	0	1	4	0	0	-1	0	16:37	0:00
M. Beniers	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	-1	0	15:21	0:00
J. McCann	LW	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	12:36	0:00
K. Kakko	RW	0	1	1	0	0	0	-1	0	12:26	0:00
C. Stephenson	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	18:03	0:00
E. Tolvanen	RW	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	0	17:06	0:00
B. McMann	C	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	16:52	0:00
J. Schwartz	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	15:38	0:00
F. Gaudreau	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	14:41	0:00
R. Winterton	C	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	13:38	0:00
B. Catton	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	2	12:43	0:00
O. Fisker Molgaard	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	12:28	0:00
R. Evans	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1	0	21:49	0:00
B. Montour	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	-1	0	21:38	0:00
A. Larsson	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	2	19:25	0:00
R. Lindgren	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	19:11	0:00
V. Dunn	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	-2	0	19:09	0:00
C. Fleury	D	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	2	18:52	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
P. Grubauer	18	15	3	.833	33:20	Loss
J. Daccord	12	10	2	.833	26:05

WPG Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
M. Scheifele	C	0	3	3	4	0	2	+1	22:44	2:22
K. Connor	LW	2	0	2	3	2	0	+1	21:30	2:22
G. Vilardi	C	1	1	2	3	0	0	-1	16:44	2:22
J. Toews	C	1	1	2	2	1	0	+1	14:31	2:22
A. Iafallo	LW	0	1	1	4	2	0	+1	20:45	0:00
A. Lowry	C	0	1	1	1	4	0	0	15:24	0:00
V. Namestnikov	C	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	11:03	0:00
B. Lambert	C	1	0	1	3	2	1	0	10:52	0:00
C. Perfetti	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	16:17	0:00
N. Niederreiter	RW	0	0	0	0	1	0	+2	11:20	0:00
C. Koepke	LW	0	0	0	3	3	2	-1	10:54	0:00
I. Rosen	RW	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	10:05	0:00
J. Morrissey	D	0	2	2	1	1	0	-1	22:13	2:22
N. Pionk	D	0	1	1	1	5	0	+2	22:15	0:00
D. Samberg	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	+2	22:42	0:00
D. DeMelo	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	19:53	0:00
J. Bryson	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	15:28	0:00
H. Fleury	D	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	15:20	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Hellebuyck	24	22	2	.917	60:00	Win
E. Comrie	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

SEA

Line 1J. Eberle16:02B. McMann16:24M. Beniers15:13

Line 2J. Schwartz15:31E. Tolvanen15:41C. Stephenson16:10

Line 3J. McCann12:09K. Kakko12:26B. Catton12:36

Line 4R. Winterton12:41O. Molgaard12:28F. Gaudreau13:44

Pair 1A. Larsson17:41R. Evans21:49

Pair 2V. Dunn18:34C. Fleury18:14

Pair 3B. Montour21:03R. Lindgren16:49

WPG

Line 1M. Scheifele19:55K. Connor18:42A. Iafallo20:23

Line 2A. Lowry15:24C. Perfetti16:17G. Vilardi14:22

Line 3J. Toews12:01C. Koepke10:54I. Rosen10:05

Line 4N. Niederreiter11:11V. Namestnikov10:51B. Lambert10:52

Pair 1D. Samberg22:19N. Pionk21:52

Pair 2D. DeMelo19:41J. Morrissey19:38

Pair 3H. Fleury15:20J. Bryson15:28

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	SEA 2.7, WPG 3.2	SEA 2, WPG 6
Total goals	5.9	8
Shots on goal	SEA 24.3, WPG 28.0	SEA 24, WPG 31
Win chance	WPG 59%	WPG won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WPG K. Connor	3.3	3	1.23	2	40%	2
SEA B. Montour	2.5	2	0.48	0	14%	0
WPG C. Perfetti	2.4	1	0.72	0	24%	0
WPG M. Scheifele	2.3	4	1.23	3	38%	0
SEA B. McMann	2.2	3	0.56	0	25%	0
WPG J. Morrissey	2.1	1	0.79	2	14%	0
SEA J. McCann	2.0	3	0.65	1	24%	1
WPG G. Vilardi	1.9	3	0.85	2	32%	1
SEA V. Dunn	1.9	1	0.50	0	11%	0
WPG N. Pionk	1.8	1	0.42	1	8%	0
SEA J. Eberle	1.8	4	0.61	1	21%	1
SEA M. Beniers	1.7	1	0.55	1	20%	0
WPG A. Iafallo	1.5	4	0.41	1	18%	0
WPG D. Samberg	1.5	1	0.29	0	4%	0
WPG N. Niederreiter	1.5	0	0.38	0	19%	0
SEA J. Schwartz	1.4	0	0.41	0	17%	0
WPG C. Koepke	1.4	3	0.28	0	13%	0
SEA E. Tolvanen	1.4	4	0.38	0	16%	0
SEA R. Winterton	1.3	2	0.28	0	8%	0
SEA B. Catton	1.3	0	0.28	0	11%	0
WPG A. Lowry	1.2	1	0.40	1	16%	0
SEA A. Larsson	1.2	2	0.27	0	6%	0
WPG J. Toews	1.2	2	0.37	2	14%	1
SEA K. Kakko	1.1	0	0.46	1	15%	0
WPG B. Lambert	1.1	3	0.34	1	12%	1
WPG D. DeMelo	1.1	1	0.27	0	4%	0
SEA C. Stephenson	1.0	0	0.57	0	17%	0
WPG V. Namestnikov	1.0	1	0.31	1	12%	1
SEA F. Gaudreau	1.0	1	0.31	0	12%	0
WPG I. Rosen	0.9	1	0.25	0	11%	0
SEA C. Fleury	0.8	0	0.10	0	3%	0
SEA R. Evans	0.7	0	0.23	0	7%	0
WPG H. Fleury	0.7	1	0.11	0	2%	0
SEA R. Lindgren	0.7	0	0.18	0	3%	0
SEA O. Molgaard	0.7	1	0.21	0	7%	0
WPG J. Bryson	0.4	0	0.14	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.