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Game Recap
SJS0
FinalMon, Jan 15, 2024Every game that night
BUF3

BUF beat SJS 3-0, and the chances backed it up: 4.00 expected goals to 2.55. C. Mittelstadt led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 28 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
SJS0000
BUF0213
  1. 2nd 11:34BUFC. Mittelstadt0.02 xG
  2. 2nd 14:37BUFA. TuchPP0.14 xG
  3. 3rd 16:34BUFJ. GreenwayEN0.68 xG

Team Stats

SJSBUF
28Shots on goal35
2.55Expected goals4.00
63Shot attempts62
265v5 shots on goal31
0/2Power play1/2
33Hits18
14Blocked shots17
6Penalty minutes6
1Giveaways2
7Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SJS 2.55 xGBUF 4.00 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdBUF goal, 11:34BUF goal, 14:37BUF goal, 16:34

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SJS28 on goal, 0 scored
BUF34 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SJS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
F. ZetterlundLW000220-1220:481:49
T. HertlC000213-1019:592:33
M. GranlundC000132-2018:372:22
W. EklundLW000300-2018:361:50
A. DuclairLW000310-2018:292:11
A. BarabanovLW000400-1015:391:53
L. KuninC0001310015:072:09
F. ZadinaRW0002100013:292:08
J. BaileyRW0001300011:260:00
K. LabancRW0000110010:071:27
S. SabourinRW0001410010:020:00
R. CarpenterC000010009:560:00
M. FerraroD000221-1024:131:38
H. ThrunD0001010022:500:00
M. VlasicD000311-1018:100:00
N. OkhotiukD0001600216:430:00
J. RuttaD0001310016:220:00
K. BurroughsD0000120214:540:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Kahkonen34322.94159:32Loss
M. Blackwood000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC123400+2015:512:10
A. TuchRW1013010018:462:10
J. GreenwayLW101222+2015:180:00
J. QuinnRW0110110014:272:09
K. OkposoRW011110+2013:340:52
T. ThompsonC0005100018:142:10
Z. BensonLW0001000015:360:51
P. KrebsC0001000014:550:00
Z. GirgensonsC0000110214:290:00
J. PeterkaRW0002110013:010:51
D. CozensC0000200011:250:51
E. RobinsonLW0002100011:150:00
R. DahlinD011001+1024:552:10
R. JohnsonD011100+1216:340:00
O. PowerD000312+2220:300:51
H. JokiharjuD0007210019:430:00
C. CliftonD0001340018:270:00
E. JohnsonD0002230017:100:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen282801.00059:50Win
D. Levi000–0:00