Game Recap: SJS 0, CGY 2, November 13, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

SJS0

FinalThu, Nov 13, 2025Every game that night

CGY2

CGY beat SJS 2-0, and the chances backed it up: 4.06 expected goals to 1.63. CGY outshot SJS 36 to 17. R. Lomberg had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 0.9. D. Wolf stopped 17 of 17.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SJS	0	0	0	0
CGY	0	1	1	2

2nd 5:46CGYB. Coleman0.18 xG
3rd 19:55CGYS. HonzekEN0.61 xG

Team Stats

SJSCGY

17Shots on goal36

1.63Expected goals4.06

42Shot attempts78

95v5 shots on goal29

0/2Power play0/3

19Hits10

25Blocked shots13

6Penalty minutes4

14Giveaways14

4Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SJS 1.63 xGCGY 4.06 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SJS17 on goal, 0 scored

CGY36 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SJS Skaters

Player	Pos	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Celebrini	C	3	0	2	-2	0	21:11	2:00
A. Wennberg	C	1	0	2	-1	0	20:29	2:06
W. Eklund	LW	2	2	2	-1	0	19:16	1:54
C. Graf	RW	1	0	1	0	0	18:08	2:04
T. Dellandrea	C	0	3	3	0	0	17:55	0:02
A. Gaudette	RW	1	3	0	0	0	17:07	2:00
P. Kurashev	C	2	1	0	-1	2	16:58	2:38
W. Smith	C	3	0	0	-2	0	14:27	1:22
T. Toffoli	C	1	1	0	-1	0	14:12	1:46
B. Goodrow	C	0	0	2	0	0	11:32	0:00
R. Reaves	RW	1	2	1	0	0	9:07	0:00
J. Skinner	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0:42	0:00
M. Ferraro	D	0	3	2	0	0	22:07	0:00
T. Liljegren	D	0	2	3	-1	0	22:00	0:08
J. Klingberg	D	1	0	1	-1	2	21:18	2:07
D. Orlov	D	0	1	2	0	0	20:05	1:53
V. Desharnais	D	0	1	4	0	2	14:42	0:00
S. Dickinson	D	1	0	0	-1	0	14:21	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
Y. Askarov	35	34	1	.971	58:23	Loss
J. Skarek	0	0	0	–	0:00

CGY Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Backlund	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	+2	0	16:00	1:29
B. Coleman	LW	1	0	1	3	2	0	+2	0	15:19	0:24
S. Honzek	LW	1	0	1	1	1	1	+2	0	15:18	0:22
M. Coronato	RW	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	4	19:40	3:23
N. Kadri	C	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	19:36	3:37
J. Huberdeau	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	18:53	3:22
M. Frost	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	15:49	3:31
R. Kerins	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	15:49	2:05
J. Farabee	LW	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	15:12	0:56
C. Zary	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	11:40	2:15
A. Klapka	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	9:52	1:16
R. Lomberg	LW	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	7:24	0:00
R. Andersson	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	25:24	3:37
K. Bahl	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	23:21	0:20
M. Weegar	D	0	0	0	5	2	0	+1	0	20:50	2:20
Y. Kuznetsov	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	+1	0	18:05	0:11
J. Bean	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	+1	0	14:20	0:52
B. Pachal	D	0	0	0	1	2	0	+1	0	13:28	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Wolf	17	17	0	1.000	60:00	Win
D. Cooley	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

SJS

Line 1A. Wennberg14:42P. Kurashev13:52W. Eklund15:08

Line 2T. Dellandrea15:05C. Graf12:47A. Gaudette15:07

Line 3R. Reaves9:07B. Goodrow9:14M. Celebrini17:10

Line 4T. Toffoli10:49W. Smith11:18

Pair 1D. Orlov15:46T. Liljegren19:08

Pair 2J. Klingberg17:34M. Ferraro18:12

Pair 3V. Desharnais12:05S. Dickinson14:09

CGY

Line 1J. Huberdeau14:14M. Coronato14:59M. Frost12:18

Line 2N. Kadri14:38R. Kerins13:44J. Farabee12:17

Line 3B. Coleman12:34S. Honzek12:46M. Backlund12:07

Line 4C. Zary9:25A. Klapka8:36R. Lomberg7:24

Pair 1K. Bahl19:00R. Andersson17:39

Pair 2M. Weegar17:01Y. Kuznetsov16:25

Pair 3J. Bean13:25B. Pachal13:23

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamDevin Cooley CGY Faces SJS, his team until Apr 20240 saves on 0

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	SJS 2.7, CGY 3.5	SJS 0, CGY 2
Total goals	6.3	2
Shots on goal	SJS 25.6, CGY 33.3	SJS 17, CGY 36
Win chance	CGY 63%	CGY won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
CGY N. Kadri	3.7	3	1.05	0	36%	0
SJS M. Celebrini	3.0	3	0.90	0	28%	0
CGY M. Coronato	2.7	4	0.71	0	27%	0
SJS T. Toffoli	2.6	1	0.67	0	29%	0
CGY R. Andersson	2.4	0	0.57	0	15%	0
CGY B. Coleman	2.4	3	0.58	1	25%	1
CGY M. Weegar	2.4	5	0.63	0	13%	0
CGY M. Backlund	2.2	2	0.48	1	18%	0
CGY J. Huberdeau	2.2	0	0.93	0	28%	0
SJS W. Eklund	2.1	2	0.69	0	21%	0
CGY J. Farabee	2.1	3	0.51	0	21%	0
SJS W. Smith	2.1	3	0.76	0	25%	0
CGY M. Frost	2.0	2	0.63	0	21%	0
SJS J. Skinner	1.9	0	0.49	0	23%	0
CGY Y. Kuznetsov	1.7	0	0.27	0	5%	0
CGY C. Zary	1.7	3	0.46	0	19%	0
SJS P. Kurashev	1.6	2	0.51	0	18%	0
SJS D. Orlov	1.6	0	0.42	0	7%	0
SJS J. Klingberg	1.5	1	0.43	0	8%	0
CGY S. Honzek	1.4	1	0.25	1	12%	1
CGY A. Klapka	1.4	1	0.35	0	17%	0
CGY J. Bean	1.2	2	0.21	0	6%	0
SJS A. Wennberg	1.2	1	0.49	0	16%	0
SJS T. Liljegren	1.1	0	0.27	0	6%	0
SJS A. Gaudette	1.1	1	0.31	0	16%	0
CGY K. Bahl	1.1	1	0.28	0	5%	0
SJS T. Dellandrea	1.1	0	0.24	0	9%	0
SJS C. Graf	1.0	1	0.30	0	13%	0
SJS M. Ferraro	1.0	0	0.20	0	4%	0
CGY R. Kerins	1.0	1	0.56	0	13%	0
SJS S. Dickinson	1.0	1	0.16	0	4%	0
CGY R. Lomberg	0.9	4	0.17	0	8%	0
CGY B. Pachal	0.9	1	0.21	0	4%	0
SJS B. Goodrow	0.8	0	0.16	0	9%	0
SJS V. Desharnais	0.6	0	0.10	0	1%	0
SJS R. Reaves	0.5	1	0.11	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.