Game Recap: SJS 2, CHI 5, April 15, 2026

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Game Recap

SJS2

FinalWed, Apr 15, 2026Every game that night

CHI5

CHI beat SJS 5-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.10 expected goals to 1.88. L. Crevier led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). R. Donato had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.7. S. Knight stopped 15 of 17.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SJS	1	1	0	2
CHI	0	1	4	5

1st 8:09SJSM. Ferraro0.04 xG
2nd 5:17SJSM. MisaPP0.15 xG
2nd 19:30CHIS. Rinzel0.02 xG
3rd 3:51CHIL. Crevier0.20 xG
3rd 8:35CHIR. Greene0.22 xG
3rd 10:32CHIL. Crevier0.03 xG
3rd 14:44CHIN. Lardis0.17 xG

Team Stats

SJSCHI

17Shots on goal24

1.88Expected goals3.10

41Shot attempts48

165v5 shots on goal18

1/4Power play0/3

26Hits13

10Blocked shots14

6Penalty minutes8

15Giveaways11

8Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SJS 1.88 xGCHI 3.10 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SJS17 on goal, 2 scored

CHI24 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SJS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
K. Sherwood	LW	0	2	2	0	6	0	0	0	18:17	3:23
M. Misa	C	1	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	14:37	2:44
A. Wennberg	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	19:52	4:39
M. Celebrini	C	0	0	0	3	0	1	-3	0	18:54	4:47
W. Eklund	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	17:03	2:53
W. Smith	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	16:59	4:30
I. Chernyshov	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	-2	2	15:33	2:57
C. Graf	RW	0	0	0	1	3	0	-1	0	15:25	0:00
T. Toffoli	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	14:07	4:03
Z. Ostapchuk	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	10:53	0:01
B. Goodrow	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	10:11	0:00
A. Gaudette	RW	0	0	0	3	2	0	-1	0	9:46	0:00
M. Ferraro	D	1	0	1	3	1	1	-3	0	18:44	0:03
D. Orlov	D	0	1	1	1	2	0	-2	0	18:29	2:38
L. Cagnoni	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	-1	2	21:06	4:53
V. Desharnais	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	20:45	0:00
S. Mukhamadullin	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	17:06	0:04
S. Dickinson	D	0	0	0	0	3	1	-2	0	16:34	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
Y. Askarov	24	19	5	.792	59:39	Loss
A. Nedeljkovic	0	0	0	–	0:00

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Bedard	C	0	2	2	0	0	0	+1	6	17:51	3:07
R. Greene	C	1	0	1	2	2	0	+2	0	18:09	2:21
R. Donato	C	0	1	1	5	1	1	+2	2	16:03	2:48
T. Bertuzzi	LW	0	1	1	1	0	1	+2	0	15:51	3:21
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	1	1	1	0	0	+2	0	15:14	2:51
N. Lardis	LW	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	13:59	2:54
I. Mikheyev	RW	0	0	0	3	0	1	+2	0	17:51	0:15
F. Nazar	C	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	17:51	2:48
T. Teravainen	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	15:02	3:08
A. Frondell	C	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	13:14	3:11
L. Slaggert	LW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	11:40	0:00
S. Lafferty	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8:44	0:00
L. Crevier	D	2	0	2	2	1	2	+2	0	19:09	0:13
W. Kaiser	D	0	1	1	2	1	2	+1	0	21:30	0:00
S. Rinzel	D	1	0	1	1	1	1	+2	0	19:00	2:40
E. Del Mastro	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	14:01	0:00
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	+3	0	21:20	0:23
K. Korchinski	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	16:00	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
S. Knight	17	15	2	.882	60:00	Win
A. Soderblom	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

SJS

Line 1K. Sherwood13:50W. Eklund13:12A. Wennberg11:52

Line 2M. Celebrini13:38I. Chernyshov12:36W. Smith12:19

Line 3C. Graf11:58M. Misa11:53T. Toffoli10:00

Line 4A. Gaudette9:46Z. Ostapchuk9:04B. Goodrow8:09

Pair 1L. Cagnoni16:08V. Desharnais16:38

Pair 2D. Orlov15:32S. Mukhamadullin14:49

Pair 3M. Ferraro15:06S. Dickinson14:10

CHI

Line 1C. Bedard14:28F. Nazar13:21N. Lardis10:49

Line 2A. Burakovsky12:18R. Donato13:02R. Greene12:59

Line 3T. Bertuzzi12:30I. Mikheyev12:49A. Frondell10:03

Line 4S. Lafferty8:44L. Slaggert9:04T. Teravainen8:34

Pair 1A. Vlasic15:48L. Crevier13:25

Pair 2S. Rinzel16:01W. Kaiser17:54

Pair 3E. Mastro12:55K. Korchinski15:56

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	SJS 3.2, CHI 3.2	SJS 2, CHI 5
Total goals	6.4	7
Shots on goal	SJS 27.6, CHI 26.4	SJS 17, CHI 24
Win chance	SJS 50%	CHI won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
SJS M. Celebrini	3.6	3	1.27	0	36%	0
CHI C. Bedard	3.3	0	1.15	2	34%	0
CHI A. Frondell	3.2	1	0.91	0	26%	0
SJS W. Smith	2.4	0	0.86	0	27%	0
CHI T. Bertuzzi	2.3	1	0.89	1	34%	0
SJS K. Sherwood	2.2	0	0.49	2	23%	0
CHI F. Nazar	2.1	0	0.72	0	25%	0
SJS T. Toffoli	2.0	0	0.59	0	24%	0
SJS W. Eklund	1.9	1	0.60	0	17%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.8	3	0.57	0	25%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.7	5	0.56	1	24%	0
CHI N. Lardis	1.7	1	0.46	1	22%	1
SJS I. Chernyshov	1.6	0	0.59	0	20%	0
CHI S. Rinzel	1.6	1	0.34	1	7%	1
SJS C. Graf	1.6	1	0.52	0	19%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.5	2	0.42	1	17%	1
CHI L. Crevier	1.4	2	0.33	2	8%	2
CHI T. Teravainen	1.4	1	0.71	0	24%	0
SJS D. Orlov	1.3	1	0.46	1	9%	0
SJS A. Wennberg	1.3	0	0.63	0	18%	0
SJS M. Ferraro	1.2	3	0.28	1	7%	1
SJS A. Gaudette	1.2	3	0.29	0	16%	0
SJS L. Cagnoni	1.2	2	0.32	0	6%	0
SJS M. Misa	1.1	2	0.41	1	14%	1
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.1	1	0.45	1	16%	0
SJS S. Dickinson	1.1	0	0.25	0	4%	0
SJS S. Mukhamadullin	1.1	0	0.28	0	9%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	1.1	2	0.28	1	8%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	1.0	2	0.31	0	4%	0
CHI L. Slaggert	0.9	0	0.19	0	8%	0
SJS B. Goodrow	0.8	0	0.17	0	9%	0
CHI E. Mastro	0.8	1	0.17	1	5%	0
CHI K. Korchinski	0.8	1	0.16	0	5%	0
SJS V. Desharnais	0.8	0	0.16	0	2%	0
SJS Z. Ostapchuk	0.7	1	0.12	0	7%	0
CHI S. Lafferty	0.7	0	0.17	0	9%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.