Game Recap: SJS 6, VAN 3, December 27, 2025

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Game Recap

SJS6

FinalSat, Dec 27, 2025Every game that night

VAN3

SJS beat VAN 6-3, and the chances backed it up: 6.40 expected goals to 2.63. SJS outshot VAN 37 to 27. M. Celebrini led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). M. Celebrini had 8 shots on goal against our projection of 3.2. Y. Askarov stopped 24 of 27.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SJS	2	1	3	6
VAN	1	0	2	3

1st 6:11SJSR. Reaves0.71 xG
1st 7:55SJSJ. Klingberg0.04 xG
1st 10:04VANL. KarlssonPP0.17 xG
2nd 12:38SJSW. Eklund0.38 xG
3rd 0:36VANM. Rossi0.23 xG
3rd 4:47SJSI. ChernyshovPP0.17 xG
3rd 10:43VAND. O'ConnorSH0.07 xG
3rd 16:20SJSM. Celebrini0.12 xG
3rd 16:55SJSC. GrafEN0.94 xG

Team Stats

SJSVAN

37Shots on goal27

6.40Expected goals2.63

71Shot attempts54

245v5 shots on goal20

1/5Power play1/4

12Hits25

13Blocked shots9

8Penalty minutes10

15Giveaways17

7Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SJS 6.40 xGVAN 2.63 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SJS38 on goal, 6 scored

VAN27 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SJS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Celebrini	C	1	1	2	8	1	0	+1	0	21:47	5:41
W. Eklund	LW	1	1	2	4	0	1	+1	0	21:09	5:24
I. Chernyshov	LW	1	1	2	2	0	0	+2	0	14:43	1:03
A. Wennberg	C	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	2	21:24	5:16
C. Graf	RW	1	0	1	2	1	2	+1	0	17:49	1:11
A. Gaudette	RW	0	1	1	5	2	1	0	0	13:54	1:00
B. Goodrow	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	+2	0	10:43	0:00
R. Reaves	RW	1	0	1	1	0	1	+1	0	7:51	0:00
T. Toffoli	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	15:40	5:01
T. Dellandrea	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	12:14	0:11
J. Skinner	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	12:12	1:13
Z. Ostapchuk	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	+1	0	8:23	0:00
M. Ferraro	D	0	1	1	2	3	0	+1	0	22:05	0:12
J. Klingberg	D	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	22:00	5:16
D. Orlov	D	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	0	17:06	1:39
V. Iorio	D	0	1	1	2	0	1	+2	2	14:56	0:00
S. Mukhamadullin	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	+1	0	20:55	0:12
S. Dickinson	D	0	0	0	2	0	0	+2	0	17:36	0:31

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
Y. Askarov	27	24	3	.889	60:00	Win
A. Nedeljkovic	0	0	0	–	0:00

VAN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Garland	RW	0	2	2	1	1	1	+1	0	14:44	0:46
M. Rossi	C	1	0	1	1	0	1	-1	0	16:23	4:31
D. O'Connor	LW	1	0	1	3	0	0	+1	0	12:46	0:00
L. Karlsson	C	1	0	1	1	2	0	-2	0	9:07	0:40
E. Pettersson	C	0	0	0	3	1	1	-3	0	20:47	4:25
J. DeBrusk	LW	0	0	0	2	4	0	-1	0	18:01	4:29
K. Sherwood	LW	0	0	0	5	5	0	-2	0	16:22	0:35
B. Boeser	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	15:42	4:37
E. Kane	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2	2	15:00	0:56
D. Kampf	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	14:56	0:00
L. Ohgren	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	0	11:18	0:00
M. Sasson	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	9:50	0:11
F. Hronek	D	0	2	2	1	2	1	0	0	21:56	1:19
Z. Buium	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-2	2	22:24	3:58
M. Pettersson	D	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	2	21:50	0:03
T. Myers	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	4	19:46	0:00
T. Willander	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	-3	0	15:52	0:10
E. Pettersson	D	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	0	13:29	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
T. Demko	36	32	5	.889	59:56	Loss
K. Lankinen	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

SJS

Line 1W. Eklund13:40M. Celebrini14:04I. Chernyshov13:40

Line 2A. Wennberg14:00C. Graf13:26T. Toffoli10:39

Line 3A. Gaudette12:33T. Dellandrea10:42J. Skinner10:38

Line 4R. Reaves7:51B. Goodrow8:01Z. Ostapchuk7:19

Pair 1M. Ferraro17:06S. Mukhamadullin15:52

Pair 2D. Orlov14:30J. Klingberg15:27

Pair 3V. Iorio14:13S. Dickinson14:24

VAN

Line 1E. Kane14:04K. Sherwood13:42E. Pettersson13:32

Line 2D. O'Connor11:39L. Ohgren11:18D. Kampf11:55

Line 3M. Rossi11:03J. DeBrusk10:52L. Karlsson8:27

Line 4C. Garland10:35B. Boeser9:26

Pair 1M. Pettersson16:42F. Hronek15:12

Pair 2T. Myers16:36Z. Buium16:57

Pair 3E. Pettersson12:29T. Willander14:37

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamKiefer Sherwood SJS First game back in Vancouver, his team until Jan 20265 SOG
HometownMacklin Celebrini SJS Plays near home (born in North Vancouver)1 G, 1 A, 8 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	SJS 2.7, VAN 3.4	SJS 6, VAN 3
Total goals	6.1	9
Shots on goal	SJS 25.1, VAN 29.3	SJS 37, VAN 27
Win chance	VAN 62%	SJS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
SJS M. Celebrini	3.2	8	1.19	2	31%	1
VAN E. Kane	2.8	1	0.65	0	30%	0
SJS T. Toffoli	2.6	2	0.73	0	28%	0
VAN C. Garland	2.5	1	0.80	2	27%	0
VAN J. DeBrusk	2.5	2	0.69	0	31%	0
VAN B. Boeser	2.5	2	0.88	0	36%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	2.3	3	1.09	0	36%	0
VAN K. Sherwood	2.3	5	0.64	0	28%	0
SJS W. Eklund	2.3	4	0.70	2	20%	1
VAN M. Rossi	1.9	1	0.77	1	27%	1
SJS J. Skinner	1.7	2	0.46	0	20%	0
SJS J. Klingberg	1.6	1	0.52	1	14%	1
VAN F. Hronek	1.6	1	0.60	2	8%	0
VAN L. Karlsson	1.5	1	0.42	1	17%	1
VAN D. O'Connor	1.4	3	0.37	1	17%	1
VAN L. Ohgren	1.4	2	0.24	0	12%	0
SJS C. Graf	1.4	2	0.52	1	19%	1
SJS D. Orlov	1.3	0	0.42	1	9%	0
SJS A. Gaudette	1.3	5	0.35	1	17%	0
VAN T. Myers	1.3	0	0.34	0	6%	0
SJS A. Wennberg	1.3	1	0.55	1	16%	0
VAN M. Sasson	1.2	1	0.33	0	18%	0
VAN D. Kampf	1.1	1	0.32	0	13%	0
VAN Z. Buium	1.1	0	0.53	0	10%	0
SJS T. Dellandrea	1.0	0	0.24	0	8%	0
SJS M. Ferraro	1.0	2	0.20	1	5%	0
VAN M. Pettersson	1.0	1	0.38	0	5%	0
SJS S. Dickinson	0.9	2	0.15	0	5%	0
SJS S. Mukhamadullin	0.9	0	0.25	0	6%	0
VAN T. Willander	0.8	2	0.34	0	4%	0
SJS B. Goodrow	0.8	2	0.17	1	9%	0
VAN E. Pettersson	0.8	0	0.21	0	5%	0
SJS V. Iorio	0.7	2	0.13	1	3%	0
SJS R. Reaves	0.6	1	0.13	1	6%	1
SJS Z. Ostapchuk	0.6	1	0.09	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.