Game Recap: SJS 6, WPG 1, April 16, 2026

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Game Recap

SJS6

FinalThu, Apr 16, 2026Every game that night

WPG1

SJS beat WPG 6-1, and the chances backed it up: 4.17 expected goals to 3.15. W. Eklund led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). M. Misa had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.1. A. Nedeljkovic stopped 25 of 26.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SJS	2	3	1	6
WPG	1	0	0	1

1st 3:28WPGC. Koepke0.18 xG
1st 6:26SJSI. ChernyshovPP0.32 xG
1st 16:54SJSW. Smith0.15 xG
2nd 5:51SJSC. Graf0.25 xG
2nd 18:01SJSM. Misa0.19 xG
2nd 19:55SJSW. Eklund0.53 xG
3rd 1:14SJSM. Celebrini0.20 xG

Team Stats

SJSWPG

33Shots on goal26

4.17Expected goals3.15

55Shot attempts59

295v5 shots on goal18

1/2Power play0/3

15Hits10

10Blocked shots7

16Penalty minutes8

10Giveaways15

7Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

SJS 4.17 xGWPG 3.15 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

SJS33 on goal, 6 scored

WPG27 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

SJS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Celebrini	C	1	2	3	3	0	0	+2	0	14:41	0:59
W. Eklund	LW	1	2	3	3	0	1	+2	0	14:24	0:59
W. Smith	C	1	1	2	5	0	0	+2	0	13:38	0:59
C. Graf	RW	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	17:33	1:13
I. Chernyshov	LW	1	0	1	2	0	0	+2	0	15:23	0:59
K. Sherwood	LW	0	1	1	4	1	1	+2	0	14:05	0:00
M. Misa	C	1	0	1	5	0	0	+1	0	13:34	1:03
T. Dellandrea	C	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	2	16:44	0:43
P. Kurashev	C	0	0	0	1	1	2	+1	0	14:47	1:00
Z. Ostapchuk	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	+1	0	14:39	0:53
B. Goodrow	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	14:07	0:56
P. Regenda	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	-1	10	9:00	0:00
J. Klingberg	D	0	3	3	0	0	0	+3	0	20:54	0:56
M. Ferraro	D	0	1	1	1	3	3	+1	0	21:22	0:00
S. Mukhamadullin	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	21:24	0:49
S. Dickinson	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+4	2	21:08	1:07
L. Cagnoni	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	18:07	1:59
D. Orlov	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	16:30	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Nedeljkovic	26	25	1	.962	60:00	Win
Y. Askarov	0	0	0	–	0:00

WPG Skaters

Player	Pos	G	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Koepke	LW	1	1	2	2	1	+1	0	11:52	0:00
M. Scheifele	C	0	0	0	0	0	-2	0	18:34	4:11
K. Connor	LW	0	0	7	0	1	-2	0	18:18	4:11
G. Vilardi	C	0	0	0	1	0	-2	0	17:24	4:11
C. Perfetti	C	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	17:16	1:49
J. Toews	C	0	0	0	0	1	-3	0	16:10	4:11
N. Niederreiter	RW	0	0	3	1	0	-1	2	15:37	1:49
B. Lambert	C	0	0	2	1	0	-2	0	14:44	1:49
A. Lowry	C	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	14:42	0:00
I. Rosen	RW	0	0	2	0	0	-2	0	13:25	1:49
B. Yager	C	0	0	0	0	0	+1	0	12:17	0:00
N. Chibrikov	RW	0	0	0	2	0	+1	0	10:37	0:00
J. Morrissey	D	0	0	1	0	1	-1	2	21:36	4:10
D. DeMelo	D	0	0	0	2	1	-4	0	19:45	0:00
D. Samberg	D	0	0	4	0	1	-1	0	19:17	0:00
H. Fleury	D	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	18:59	0:00
C. Miller	D	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	18:38	1:49
V. Heinola	D	0	0	0	0	0	-1	4	15:54	0:01

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
E. Comrie	33	27	6	.818	60:00	Loss
C. Hellebuyck	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

SJS

Line 1I. Chernyshov14:24M. Celebrini13:36W. Smith12:39

Line 2T. Dellandrea13:47C. Graf13:05P. Kurashev12:42

Line 3K. Sherwood13:43W. Eklund12:15M. Misa11:38

Line 4B. Goodrow9:44Z. Ostapchuk10:17P. Regenda9:00

Pair 1S. Dickinson17:00J. Klingberg18:57

Pair 2D. Orlov15:29S. Mukhamadullin16:16

Pair 3L. Cagnoni15:16M. Ferraro15:37

WPG

Line 1A. Lowry14:13C. Perfetti14:26N. Niederreiter12:54

Line 2M. Scheifele13:36K. Connor13:02G. Vilardi13:13

Line 3J. Toews11:59I. Rosen11:36B. Lambert12:04

Line 4C. Koepke9:59N. Chibrikov9:34B. Yager10:38

Pair 1D. DeMelo17:44J. Morrissey16:59

Pair 2H. Fleury16:01V. Heinola15:00

Pair 3D. Samberg17:07C. Miller15:20

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamEric Comrie SJS First game back in Winnipeg, his team until Apr 202627 saves on 33
Old teamMario Ferraro WPG First game against SJS since he left (his team until Apr 2026)1 A, 1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	SJS 2.6, WPG 3.6	SJS 6, WPG 1
Total goals	6.2	7
Shots on goal	SJS 24.2, WPG 28.5	SJS 33, WPG 26
Win chance	WPG 66%	SJS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
WPG K. Connor	3.5	7	1.37	0	44%	0
SJS M. Celebrini	3.1	3	1.02	3	30%	1
WPG M. Scheifele	2.4	0	1.39	0	41%	0
WPG C. Perfetti	2.1	2	0.65	0	23%	0
WPG J. Morrissey	2.1	1	0.96	0	20%	0
SJS W. Smith	2.0	5	0.70	2	23%	1
SJS K. Sherwood	2.0	4	0.43	1	20%	0
WPG G. Vilardi	1.9	0	0.93	0	34%	0
SJS W. Eklund	1.7	3	0.50	3	14%	1
WPG C. Koepke	1.7	2	0.34	1	16%	1
WPG J. Toews	1.4	0	0.53	0	19%	0
WPG N. Niederreiter	1.4	3	0.40	0	20%	0
SJS I. Chernyshov	1.4	2	0.48	1	17%	1
SJS P. Regenda	1.4	0	0.26	0	15%	0
WPG D. Samberg	1.4	4	0.33	0	6%	0
SJS C. Graf	1.4	2	0.43	1	16%	1
WPG A. Lowry	1.3	1	0.45	0	18%	0
SJS L. Cagnoni	1.3	1	0.30	0	6%	0
SJS J. Klingberg	1.2	0	0.34	3	8%	0
SJS D. Orlov	1.2	0	0.38	0	7%	0
WPG B. Lambert	1.2	2	0.38	0	15%	0
SJS M. Ferraro	1.1	1	0.24	1	6%	0
WPG C. Miller	1.1	1	0.25	0	6%	0
WPG V. Heinola	1.1	0	0.23	0	4%	0
WPG N. Chibrikov	1.1	0	0.25	0	13%	0
SJS M. Misa	1.1	5	0.36	1	13%	1
SJS P. Kurashev	1.0	1	0.33	0	11%	0
SJS S. Dickinson	1.0	0	0.20	0	3%	0
WPG I. Rosen	1.0	2	0.26	0	14%	0
WPG D. DeMelo	1.0	0	0.32	0	6%	0
SJS S. Mukhamadullin	1.0	1	0.23	0	7%	0
SJS T. Dellandrea	0.8	3	0.17	0	6%	0
SJS B. Goodrow	0.7	0	0.14	0	7%	0
WPG H. Fleury	0.7	1	0.16	0	4%	0
SJS Z. Ostapchuk	0.7	2	0.10	0	6%	0

Shots on goal: 15 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.