Game Recap: STL 2, NYR 3, November 24, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

STL2

FinalMon, Nov 24, 2025Every game that night

NYR3

NYR beat STL 3-2, with the chances close: 2.23 expected goals to 2.23. V. Gavrikov led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). I. Shesterkin stopped 19 of 21.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
STL	1	0	1	2
NYR	0	1	2	3

1st 17:36STLD. Holloway0.03 xG
2nd 10:06NYRV. Trocheck0.09 xG
3rd 0:40NYRA. Lafrenière0.13 xG
3rd 8:56NYRA. Edstrom0.16 xG
3rd 18:45STLB. Schenn0.16 xG

Team Stats

STLNYR

21Shots on goal21

2.23Expected goals2.23

51Shot attempts51

175v5 shots on goal21

0/4Power play0/0

18Hits31

19Blocked shots15

0Penalty minutes8

6Giveaways12

3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

STL 2.23 xGNYR 2.23 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

STL21 on goal, 2 scored

NYR19 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

STL Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	TOI	PP TOI
D. Holloway	LW	1	0	1	1	2	0	+1	20:04	3:11
B. Schenn	C	1	0	1	2	2	1	+1	17:57	2:19
P. Buchnevich	LW	0	1	1	0	0	1	+1	17:48	3:42
R. Thomas	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	21:49	3:47
J. Kyrou	RW	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	18:47	3:12
P. Suter	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	16:13	1:09
J. Neighbours	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	15:51	2:18
J. Snuggerud	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	14:41	1:49
D. Dvorsky	RW	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	13:58	2:51
O. Sundqvist	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	12:18	1:06
N. Walker	LW	0	0	0	0	3	1	-1	10:32	0:00
A. Toropchenko	RW	0	0	0	1	2	4	-1	9:14	0:00
J. Faulk	D	0	1	1	3	0	1	+1	24:11	3:37
P. Broberg	D	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	21:21	0:00
C. Parayko	D	0	1	1	1	1	3	0	20:56	0:00
C. Fowler	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	-1	20:10	1:54
L. Mailloux	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-2	13:59	0:32
T. Tucker	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13:11	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Hofer	21	18	3	.857	57:00	Loss
J. Binnington	0	0	0	–	0:00

NYR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
V. Trocheck	C	1	0	1	1	4	0	+1	2	20:14	0:00
W. Cuylle	LW	0	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	17:39	0:00
J. Brodzinski	C	0	1	1	3	0	0	+1	0	15:50	0:00
A. Lafrenière	LW	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	14:56	0:00
A. Edstrom	C	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	8:35	0:00
A. Panarin	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	19:12	0:00
M. Zibanejad	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	18:56	0:00
N. Laba	C	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	13:27	0:00
T. Raddysh	RW	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	12:05	0:00
S. Carrick	C	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	11:29	0:00
C. Sheary	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	11:27	0:00
B. Berard	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	9:21	0:00
V. Gavrikov	D	0	2	2	2	0	2	+2	0	26:09	0:00
A. Fox	D	0	2	2	1	0	2	+2	0	24:00	0:00
C. Soucy	D	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	19:29	0:00
B. Schneider	D	0	0	0	1	1	3	+1	2	18:30	0:00
M. Robertson	D	0	0	0	2	1	2	-1	0	18:17	0:00
U. Vaakanainen	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	-2	0	14:21	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Shesterkin	21	19	2	.905	60:00	Win
D. Garand	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

STL

Line 1P. Suter14:54D. Holloway15:22J. Kyrou15:17

Line 2B. Schenn14:03P. Buchnevich12:29D. Dvorsky10:47

Line 3R. Thomas16:27J. Neighbours13:27J. Snuggerud12:36

Line 4O. Sundqvist11:12N. Walker10:32A. Toropchenko9:14

Pair 1P. Broberg21:21C. Parayko20:56

Pair 2J. Faulk19:02T. Tucker13:11

Pair 3C. Fowler16:54L. Mailloux13:01

NYR

Line 1V. Trocheck17:05A. Panarin19:12J. Brodzinski15:50

Line 2M. Zibanejad15:33A. Lafrenière14:28W. Cuylle14:02

Line 3C. Sheary11:27N. Laba11:06B. Berard9:13

Line 4S. Carrick9:34T. Raddysh9:35A. Edstrom8:35

Pair 1V. Gavrikov20:32A. Fox21:36

Pair 2C. Soucy16:50B. Schneider17:22

Pair 3U. Vaakanainen13:54M. Robertson14:51

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	STL 2.8, NYR 3.0	STL 2, NYR 3
Total goals	5.8	5
Shots on goal	STL 25.8, NYR 26.9	STL 21, NYR 21
Win chance	NYR 53%	NYR won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
NYR A. Panarin	2.8	2	1.16	0	35%	0
STL J. Kyrou	2.5	3	0.66	0	27%	0
NYR M. Zibanejad	2.5	1	0.84	0	28%	0
NYR V. Trocheck	2.1	1	0.77	1	26%	1
NYR W. Cuylle	2.1	1	0.57	1	23%	0
NYR A. Fox	2.1	1	0.93	2	15%	0
STL D. Holloway	2.0	1	0.59	1	21%	1
STL P. Buchnevich	1.8	0	0.69	1	23%	0
NYR A. Lafrenière	1.8	1	0.58	1	22%	1
STL J. Snuggerud	1.8	1	0.49	0	17%	0
STL J. Faulk	1.7	3	0.40	1	8%	0
STL R. Thomas	1.6	1	0.87	0	20%	0
STL P. Suter	1.6	2	0.46	0	19%	0
STL C. Parayko	1.6	1	0.37	1	9%	0
STL B. Schenn	1.6	2	0.55	1	19%	1
NYR B. Berard	1.6	2	0.29	0	14%	0
STL P. Broberg	1.5	0	0.36	1	9%	0
NYR J. Brodzinski	1.5	3	0.35	1	16%	0
NYR V. Gavrikov	1.4	2	0.35	2	7%	0
STL J. Neighbours	1.3	2	0.51	0	22%	0
STL C. Fowler	1.3	2	0.47	0	7%	0
STL D. Dvorsky	1.3	0	0.31	0	15%	0
NYR C. Sheary	1.3	2	0.35	0	13%	0
NYR B. Schneider	1.2	1	0.26	0	6%	0
NYR N. Laba	1.1	0	0.29	0	14%	0
STL N. Walker	1.1	0	0.28	0	13%	0
STL A. Toropchenko	1.1	1	0.25	0	11%	0
NYR C. Soucy	1.0	0	0.22	0	7%	0
NYR T. Raddysh	1.0	0	0.26	0	11%	0
STL O. Sundqvist	0.9	0	0.31	0	9%	0
NYR S. Carrick	0.8	0	0.20	0	8%	0
STL L. Mailloux	0.8	1	0.20	0	5%	0
NYR M. Robertson	0.8	2	0.12	0	5%	0
NYR U. Vaakanainen	0.8	1	0.21	0	2%	0
NYR A. Edstrom	0.7	1	0.17	1	9%	1
STL T. Tucker	0.7	1	0.13	0	4%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.