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Game Recap
TBL6
FinalTue, Jan 11, 2022Every game that night
BUF1

TBL beat BUF 6-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.77 expected goals to 1.30. TBL outshot BUF 36 to 18. N. Kucherov scored three for TBL. A. Vasilevskiy stopped 17 of 18.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
TBL2316
BUF0011
  1. 1st 2:16TBLO. Palat0.12 xG
  2. 1st 10:45TBLA. Cirelli0.20 xG
  3. 2nd 0:27TBLN. KucherovPP0.03 xG
  4. 2nd 10:21TBLN. Kucherov0.19 xG
  5. 2nd 14:04TBLS. Stamkos0.11 xG
  6. 3rd 5:31BUFV. HinostrozaPP0.26 xG
  7. 3rd 13:57TBLN. Kucherov0.03 xG

Team Stats

TBLBUF
36Shots on goal18
3.77Expected goals1.30
54Shot attempts33
325v5 shots on goal12
1/2Power play1/4
7Hits12
11Blocked shots8
8Penalty minutes4
5Giveaways3
5Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

TBL 3.77 xGBUF 1.30 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdTBL goal, 2:16TBL goal, 10:45TBL goal, 0:27TBL goal, 10:21TBL goal, 14:04BUF goal, 5:31TBL goal, 13:57

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

TBL36 on goal, 6 scored
BUF18 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

TBL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. KucherovRW303700+3218:482:28
A. KillornLW033210+3017:481:54
S. StamkosC123200+3016:262:28
A. CirelliC112101+3016:440:21
B. PointC011401+1017:212:28
C. PerryRW011011+1413:330:21
O. PalatLW101210+108:120:48
M. JosephRW0003000015:430:00
R. ColtonC0003000013:450:00
P. BellemareLW0002000012:400:00
P. MaroonLW0002000212:310:28
T. RaddyshRW0004000011:500:00
V. HedmanD022101+2020:182:28
M. SergachevD011001+1022:270:21
J. RuttaD011101+3016:500:00
E. CernakD0000220020:320:00
Z. BogosianD000020+2018:250:00
C. FooteD000203+2018:170:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Vasilevskiy18171.94460:00Win
B. Elliott000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
V. HinostrozaC101110-1017:092:43
D. CozensC000120-2218:073:57
J. SkinnerLW000101-1016:333:57
J. QuinnRW000300-1016:303:07
J. HaydenC000030-2016:000:00
R. AsplundC000100-2015:493:33
M. JankowskiLW0001110015:040:00
Z. GirgensonsC0000100214:552:41
C. EakinC000110-1014:090:00
A. BjorkLW000000-1013:520:00
V. OlofssonLW000100-2012:344:10
B. MurrayLW000000-209:550:02
W. ButcherD011103-1019:192:18
C. MillerD011220-1018:342:43
M. PysykD000102-1021:170:00
R. DahlinD000201-3019:554:09
H. JokiharjuD000110-2018:460:00
J. BrysonD000100-2017:590:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen972.77820:00Loss
M. Subban27234.85239:34

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.